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NVD trade ideas

NVDA over $140 could go boomThe significant open interest (OI) in NVDA options at the $140 strike for the February 21, 2025 expiration and at the $150 strike for the February 28, 2025 expiration suggests notable market positioning at these levels. High OI can indicate potential price targets, as large numbers of contracts at specific strikes may influence price movements due to hedging activities and trader sentiment. Given the current price and the upcoming expirations, the clustering of OI around these strike prices could act as magnets, potentially drawing the stock price toward these levels. However, it's essential to consider other market factors, such as overall market conditions, company-specific news, and broader economic indicators, which can also impact price movements. While the high OI at these strikes suggests that many traders anticipate movement toward these levels, it's crucial to conduct comprehensive analysis and consider risk management strategies before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Infinity_Smart_Investing
Nvidia poised for potential upside ahead of earnings report - Key Insights: Nvidia is gearing up for its important earnings report on February 26, with analysts showing cautiously optimistic sentiments due to its strong position in the AI and data center sectors. The market is closely watching the support levels at $136 and $131.60, as these are essential for maintaining upward momentum. Conversely, the resistance around $141.90 could be a pivotal point if breached, suggesting a bullish scenario. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1 at $144 and T2 at $150, while stop levels for long positions are S1 at $135 and S2 at $130. T hese targets and stops align with critical support and resistance levels identified in the analysis, offering a realistic outlook given market conditions. - Recent Performance: Nvidia's recent market activity highlights its volatile nature within the semiconductor space, with fluctuations stemming from market sentiment influenced by broader tech trends and upcoming earnings. Despite this, Nvidia's historical post-earnings performance suggests that a positive report could trigger significant upward movement. - Expert Analysis: Experts attribute Nvidia's growth prospects to its dominance in AI and strategic adjustments to navigate increasing competition. While concerns regarding articles of geopolitical tension and market competition exist, the prevailing sentiment remains focused on Nvidia's innovative capabilities and its proactive business strategies geared towards robust growth. - News Impact: The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be a major influence on Nvidia's stock price, amidst strategic maneuvers in AI and partnerships that could shape future performance. Moreover, competitive pressures from new market entrants in AI telecommunications underscore the necessity for Nvidia to maintain its leadership in technology development.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
NVIDIA Entry StrategySales Behavior at 138: Evaluate market reactions to gauge momentum. Initial Entry at 126: Enter if conditions are stable or show reversal signals. Secondary Entry at 122: Add to your position if the price adjusts. Tertiary Entry at 119: Consider a further entry during a deeper correction. Profit Target: 150 (aim for a 1:3 risk/reward ratio) Risk Management: Use stop-losses based on your risk tolerance. Diversify your positions. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Robert_V12
the last NVDA chart of 2024, and my targets for 2025Boost and follow for more! ❤️‍🔥 first off all we hit 12,000+ followers since my last post, thank you all for the support over the years seriously... it means a lot 🔥 now onto NVDA, the green lines = my bullish posts, yellow = neutral posts and red = bearish posts.. today I'm sharing another bullish post as we head into my extreme trend support zone that has held for 6+ months. The RSI is also starting to hint at a buy,. If we dip more the 120 pivot should hold, once the dipping is over then rally to 160-200+ should follow. I Don't expect these targets to hit until early to mid 2025, but my last TSLA chart also hit my targets much sooner than expected. So NVDA could do the same I guess.. anyways that's it from me until next week, hope you all have a great weekend ❤️‍🔥⚡
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Aura_Trades
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for NVIDIA Market Overview: Trend: NVIDIA is in a strong uptrend, recovering after a pullback. Key Levels: Resistance: $140 - $142 Support: $132 - $133 (weak), $127 (stronger) Indicators: MACD: Bullish momentum, but slightly overextended. EMA: NVDA is above the 200 EMA, confirming bullish dominance. RSI: At 70.69, indicating near overbought territory. 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (Trending Market) Why? NVIDIA is rallying with strong bullish pressure. How? Buy near $135 - $136, aiming for a scalp to $140 - $142. Sell near $142, as resistance may slow down momentum. Stop-loss below $134, in case of a pullback. 🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Resistance is Broken) Trigger: A breakout above $142 or breakdown below $133. Execution: If NVDA breaks $142, scalp long targeting $145 - $148. If NVDA drops below $133, scalp short to $127 - $125. 🩸 3. EMA Scalping Why? NVDA is testing the 9 EMA for support, meaning dips could be buy opportunities. Execution: Buy on EMA bounce (~$135 - $136) for a quick move higher. Short if price rejects resistance (~$140 - $142). 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) Bias: Bullish → Neutral Why? Strong recovery from support, signaling buyers are in control. RSI near overbought levels, meaning a pullback is possible before continuation. If NVDA doesn’t break $142+, expect a retrace to $133 - $127 before another leg up. Only a break above $145 will confirm further bullish extension. 🔥 News & Market Context: Tech sector strength driving NVDA, adding to momentum. Earnings season approaching, could introduce volatility. Market sentiment remains risk-on, favoring further upside. 🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out? 🩸 Short-term: Scalping is viable, but watch resistance at $140 - $142. 🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless NVDA fails to hold above $133. 🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp long on dips but lock profits near resistance. 👑 Final Verdict: NVIDIA is strong, but a pullback to $133 - $127 is possible before a breakout. Above $142, expect $145+ next. 🔥
NASDAQ:NVDA
by LucanInvestor
NVIDIA Bullish Setup!NVIDIA Bullish Setup! 💚 NVIDIA remains in a strong uptrend, respecting its trendline support and showing bullish momentum leading into its earnings report on Feb 26. With buyers stepping in at key levels, a push towards the $150 target looks likely in the short term! 🔹 Current Price: $137 💡 Why bullish? 🔹 Strong long-term uptrend 📈 🔹 Buyers defending higher lows 💪 🔹 Anticipation of earnings momentum 🔥 🎯 My personal target: $150
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Charts_M7M
2
What Nvidia’s Charts Say Ahead of This Month’s Earnings ReportMost "Magnificent Seven" stocks have reported fourth-quarter results by now, and most have disappointed – if not on the top and/or bottom lines, then on something like capex, guidance or where they’re headed with either cloud computing or generative AI. Will numbers due later this month from Mag-7 darling Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA serve as the season’s "make-or-break" release? Let’s check things out: Nvidia’s Fundamental Analysis Nvidia expects to publish fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday, Feb. 26, after the bell. As I write this, Wall Street is projecting that the firm will report $0.85 of adjusted earnings per share on about $38.2 billion of revenue. That would represent 63% earnings growth and 73% in revenue gains year over year when compared to the $0.52 in adjusted EPS on $22.1 billion of revenue that NVDA saw in the same period last year. Those would probably be awesome gains for every company on Wall Street that’s not named Nvidia. But for NVDA, such results would represent its slowest pace of earnings and revenue growth since Q1 2023. Still, many might have anticipated a slowdown in Nvidia’s pace of growth due to the very large numbers now involved. Meanwhile, some on Wall Street expect NVDA’s earnings report to show that the chip giant is beefing-up projections for capex (capital expenditures). That might not be so hot for the stock’s buyers, but it could be music to existing shareholders’ ears. Oh, and we'll probably also find out if CEO Jensen Huang has any thoughts regarding to the whole DeepSeek stunner from a couple of weeks back. NVDA shares fell 18.1% intraday on Jan. 27 after China’s DeepSeek unveiled an AI system that purportedly uses less computing power than American rivals’ do –- potentially bad news for an AI-chip maker like Nvidia. Meanwhile, Cantor Fitzgerald expressed concerns this week that Mag-7 stocks on the whole appear "vulnerable," and that a shift could be coming as to where funds flow when they go into equities. "We could see money move out of the group, with some of the fund flows rotating into other parts of tech and other sectors,” Cantor analysts wrote in a research note. The firm also sees revenue growth potentially declining across Mag-7 stocks as capital expenditures continue to rise significantly. Then again, as mentioned above, this could be a positive for Nvidia -- and indeed, Cantor’s report still ranked Nvidia as its top pick among the Mag-7 names. Nvidia’s Technical Analysis Now let’s check out NVDA’s charts, beginning with this one going back some 2-1/2 years: Readers will see that since hitting lows in late 2022, NVDA recently managed to find support at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the entire rally through late 2024. This level happened to run into the stock's 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line above). So, there was more than one technical reason for the support. Now let's zoom in to the past six months and see what's happening now: What we see is a mixed bag. First, we can see a “double top” pattern of bearish reversal, as marked by the two red boxes above. That appeared to work at first. Nvidia’s share price broke the downside pivot and lost contact with its 200-day SMA (the red line), only to find help and rally from there. The stock took back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked by a green line above). NVDA this week also retook its 50-day SMA, marked with a blue line at $134.90 in the chart above. That’s the stock’s technical pivot point, and if held, could open the door to higher pricing. Meanwhile, note that Nvidia's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) is a little better than neutral in the chart above. However, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is not all that bullish. Yes, the histogram of Nvidia’s 9-day EMA (the blue bars above) is above zero. And yes, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). Those are all typically bullish indicators. However, both of those EMAs are still below zero, which is usually a negative for a stock. All in, technical analysis tells us that to go higher, Nvidia needs to take and hold its 50-day SMA -- $134.90 in the chart above. That will often force portfolio managers to increase their long-side exposure. Conversely, a failure to cross and hold the 50-day SMA would historically mean that the double top above meant something significant. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle owned NVDA stock at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moomoo
1
NVDA Breakout Alert! Bulls Taking Control 🚀NVDA is showing strong momentum, breaking out of a consolidation phase and eyeing key resistance levels. Here's what traders need to watch. 📊 Technical Overview: * Current Price: $135.05 * Support Levels: $130.04, $129.09, $125.00 * Resistance Levels: $136.50, $140.00 * Trend: Bullish breakout * Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum confirmed with a strong crossover. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought, indicating possible short-term retracement but still bullish. * Volume: Increasing buying pressure, signaling strong interest. 📈 Key Trade Setups: 🔷 Bullish Scenario: * A break above $136.50 could push NVDA toward $140.00 and beyond. * Calls or stock entry above $136 targeting $140, $145+. * Stop loss: $133.00 🔻 Bearish Scenario: * If NVDA fails to hold $133, a pullback to $130-$129 is likely. * Puts or short position below $130, targeting $125. * Stop loss: $136.00 📊 Options Market Insight (GEX Analysis): * Highest Gamma Resistance: $140 * Call Walls: $140, $145 (Potential resistance levels) * Put Support: $130, $125 (Stronger buying interest) * Options Sentiment: 44.3% Calls, Bullish bias 🚀 Trade Outlook: NVDA is breaking out with strong buying momentum. If bulls push through $136.50, we could see a fast move towards $140+. However, a rejection here could bring a short-term pullback. Watch for volume confirmation and market sentiment. 📌 Final Thought: NVDA is a HOT stock on the radar, moving aggressively! Keep an eye on key levels for potential high-probability trade setups. 🔹 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA: Bullish Reversal or More Chop? NVIDIA (NVDA) has been consolidating within a defined range, and indicators are flashing early bullish signals. But is this the start of an uptrend or just another fakeout? Let’s break it down: Key Technical Indicators MACD Crossover Forming MACD is turning upwards with light green histogram bars emerging. A bullish crossover could confirm the momentum shift. RSI Recovering from Weakness Currently at 42.55, still below 50 but climbing. If RSI crosses above 50, it could signal growing bullish strength. Sentiment Shifting from Bearish to Bullish Sentiment indicator is still negative at -2.70, but green bars are starting to emerge. If the sentiment turns fully positive, we could see stronger buying pressure. Possible Scenarios Bullish Case: If MACD confirms a crossover, RSI moves above 50, and sentiment turns green, NVDA could push towards new highs. Bearish Case: If price action stalls, MACD fails to cross up, and RSI remains weak, we could see further consolidation or a breakdown. Trading Plan & Key Levels to Watch Breakout Confirmation: RSI crossing 50 + MACD bullish crossover Support Zone: $127 - $130 Resistance Zone: $140 - $145 Final Thoughts: NVDA is at a critical turning point—either it confirms a bullish breakout or remains stuck in consolidation. Watch volume for confirmation! What’s your take? Will NVDA break out, or is this just a fake move? Comment below! #NVDA #Trading #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout
NASDAQ:NVDA
by scottzilla
4
NVIDIA: last accumulation before $260 rally.NVIDIA is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.723, MACD = -1.780, ADX = 32.427) as the price is accumulating in preparation for the 2025 rally. We are on a 1D MA50-100 squeeze that looks very much like November 6th 2023. The 1D RSI patterns among those two Bull Flags are also identical and what followed this squeeze was a +150% rally from the last bottom. The trade is long (TP = 260.00) aiming for a full +150% extension. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
2
NVDA on the Radar! High-Potential Setup in Play 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading * Trend Overview: NVDA is currently trading within a descending wedge, with resistance at $133.78 and support near $129.09. The price is consolidating after a pullback, potentially setting up for a breakout move. * Momentum Indicators: * MACD: Bearish momentum has been weakening, with a potential bullish crossover forming. * Stoch RSI: Currently oversold, suggesting the possibility of a short-term rebound. * Key Levels: * Support: $129.09, $125.00 * Resistance: $133.78, $135.00 * Potential Play: * Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $133.78 could push towards $135-$140. * Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $129.09 could lead to a drop to $125 or lower. GEX Analysis for Options Trading * Gamma Exposure (GEX) Zones: * Bullish Targets: The $135-$140 region aligns with strong call resistance. * Bearish Risk: If price breaks below $129, downside exposure increases, with the next major put wall near $120. * IV and Sentiment: * IVR: 47.5, slightly elevated, suggesting increasing volatility. * Call Positioning: 44.7%, signaling bullish sentiment. * Put Support Levels: Heavy put support at $120, indicating a key level where buyers may step in. Trading Outlook 📌 NVDA is at a crucial level—traders should watch for a breakout above $133.78 or a rejection leading to $129.09 support. With increasing gamma exposure, a strong move is expected soon. 🔴 Risk Management: * Stop Loss: Below $129 for bullish trades. * Profit Targets: $135, $140+ * Watch for market sentiment shifts before entering positions. 🚀 Traders, keep NVDA on your radar—it’s heating up! 🔥
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Nvidia - GAP Attack - Starts tomorrowHello Traders, I believe the time has come for Nvidia to attack the Deepseek FUD gap. Nvidia had some consolidation today I believe so it could get into position to head higher the next two days attacking the gap. I also show channels, 200 DMA, Fib price target levels, Dates, Full Moons, Opex and Vix Expiration, and Support/Resistance levels. I have also confirmed this idea with some of my other TA. Could Nvidia and Tesla both move higher the next two days... Im thinking the answer is yes...Well lets see what happens.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheUniverse618
Nvidia (NVDA) Worth 30x More Than It Is in 2025: BUY!I share a letter I wrote to family regarding the fundamentals and technicals of Nvidia and why Nvidia continues to be a great buy. Fundamentals and Recent Events: I understand your concerns about my investment in the U.S. stock market, especially with the news circulating about DeepSeek and its potential impact on Nvidia. And I heard your concerns with rumors about Nvidia being in a bubble. Let me share my perspective on why I believe this situation presents a unique opportunity, and why for me, this selloff in Nvidia represents an amazing opportunity to load up more shares, as we take advantage of the confusion in the market. So, we all know the news. Recently, a new little kid on the block called DeepSeek (a recent Chinese AI startup) has emerged and hit the news headlines. It introduced its R1 model, an open-source AI application that delivers advanced reasoning capabilities at a fraction of the typical cost. So, the launch of DeepSeek’s chatbot claims to rival top Western models at a fraction of the training cost. This development This spooked investors led to a significant market reaction and a broader tech selloff, with Nvidia's stock experiencing a notable decline. Cisco's researchers point to the much lower budget of DeepSeek compared to rivals as a potential reason for these failings, saying its cheap development came at a "different cost: safety and security." DeepSeek claims its model took just $6 million to develop, while OpenAI's yet-to-be-released GPT-5 is reported to likely cost $500 million. PC Magazine was founded in 1982, and it is a well-known American technology magazine that provides reviews, news, and analysis of the latest hardware, software, and consumer electronics. According to PCMag, Cisco’s research team managed to "jailbreak" DeepSeek R1 model with a 100% attack success rate, using an automatic jailbreaking algorithm in conjunction with 50 prompts related to cybercrime, misinformation, illegal activities, and general harm. This means that DeepSeek, the new kid on the block, failed to stop a single harmful prompt. And I quote: "DeepSeek stacked up poorly compared to many of its competitors in this regard. OpenAI’s GPT-4o has a 14% success rate at blocking harmful jailbreak attempts, while Google’s Gemini 1.5 Pro sported a 35% success rate. Anthropic’s Claude 3.5 performed the second best out of the entire test group, blocking 64% of the attacks, while the preview version of OpenAI's o1 took the top spot, blocking 74% of attempts." Another problem in addition to this is that DeepSeek has been shown to have strong content restrictions—well, but only when it comes to China-related political content. So, this is not a product that scale or be useful for research and getting accurate information, since the information you can get from it is old history and current information is more or less a mix of state-driven propaganda, limited exposure to peer-reviewed research, and a fragmentary sense of historical objectivity. So, the result is a narrow understanding of complex issues, heavily influenced by government-promoted narratives. This myopic view is detrimental to making accurate investment decisions and for gaining an accurate perspective on the world and global issues. Despite this, Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI hardware sector. The company's GPUs are integral to AI development, and even was revealed that DeepSeek's R1 model was trained using Nvidia's H800 series chips! So, Nvidia’s market position is in the AI ecosystem. Let us take a look at the recent drop in Nvidia: Nvidia had a sell from the beginning of in January 2025. Barron’s is a prestigious financial publication that focuses on investing, stock market analysis, and financial news. It is owned by Dow Jones & Company, which also publishes The Wall Street Journal. Barron’s has published an article regarding this called "Nvidia Stock Rises. Why DeepSeek AI Worries Are Overblown" by Elsa Ohlen (Jan. 28, 2025, 5:24 AM ET, Nvidia Stock Rises. Why DeepSeek AI Worries Are Overdone. - Barron's). According to this article in Barron’s, the recent selloff in Nvidia's stock, while significant, can be viewed as an overreaction. Analysts suggest that such market movements often present buying opportunities, especially for companies with strong fundamentals like Nvidia. Fears of an AI Slowdown Are Overblown! Some analysts, including Citi’s Christopher Danely, argue that concerns about DeepSeek disrupting Nvidia’s growth are exaggerated. Firstly, DeepSeek’s AI model is not built entirely from scratch. Instead, it improves upon existing AI models by using a technique called 'distillation'. What is meant by distillation? It essentially means taking a powerful AI model and making a smaller, more efficient version of it. However, this process still requires access to large-scale computing power and cloud infrastructure. So, DeepSeek still needs cloud computing and high-end chips; and these services rely heavily on Nvidia’s high-performance chips. AI models, even smaller ones, still require a lot of computing power. And this means that even with DeepSeek’s innovation, the demand for Nvidia’s hardware and Nvidia’s AI infrastructure will continue to grow, not shrink. DeepSeek relies on existing AI models using distillation techniques, meaning major cloud service providers and high-end computing remain essential—a sign that AI spending will continue. In the end, Nvidia benefits despite DeepSeek’s existence. Because it is Nvidia’s chips that power DeepSeek’s infrastructure it needs for AI to run. Tell DeepSeek to just buy for Nvidia chips. They’ll need it. Hahaha! Nvidia has seen sharp drops before. From a chartist’s perspective, the selloff in Nvidia is pretty common for Nvidia from its outset, and it is healthy for the market. From the year 2017 until 2025, Nvidia dropped beyond 18% or 20%; and in some cases beyond 30%, approximately 15 times. Two times, it fell beyond 50% in 2018 and 2022. . In fact, out of the 10 largest single-day losses in stock market history, Nvidia alone is responsible for 8 of them; more than any other company. This shows that Nvidia’s stock has historically been volatile in the short term, experiencing massive drops at times. But these declines have historically been followed by strong recoveries, and continued its long-term growth. This proves that these selloffs are actually great buying opportunities. So, just because Nvidia had major sells offs, those previous major selloffs did not indicate long-term decline, and spell the end of the world. Investors who previously bought during these dips often saw significant gains as Nvidia continued to dominate the AI and semiconductor industries. Companies like Meta and Amazon also saw $200 billion+ market value losses in a single day in 2022. In April 2024, META dropped 21%. My alerts were fired up and I made the purchase. From that time to today, META has risen from 420 to 690. It was a good, prudent, purchase. Many were calling it a bubble at that time. But history repeats itself in these US markets where they continue to innovative, grow stamina, have risk appetite and evolution to solve real problems and generate quality products and services for people. Below is a chart showing all those significant drops in Nvidia with black arrows. Weekly Chart: And based on my own analysis, Nvidia looked great last quarter and forward guidance for 2025 looks great also. Not as lofty, but still great. Here is a chart of what I see for the year 2025. The numbers of the left are estimated earnings for 2025. The numbers on the right are estimated sales for 2025. As long as we meet or exceed these calculations, we have nothing to worry about. I will monitor them as the quarterly come along. Question & Answers Session: Question 1 : "NVIDIA's valuation is only so high because of its crazy profit growth, but computing power is hitting a ceiling." ANSWER: Partially true, but computing power isn’t hitting a ceiling—it's evolving. • NVIDIA’s valuation is high because of its dominant role in AI infrastructure and its massive profit growth. • However, the idea that computing power is "hitting a ceiling" isn’t entirely accurate—AI efficiency is improving, but demand for higher computing power is still growing. • New AI models, like DeepSeek’s, show that training can be done more efficiently, but this doesn’t mean we’ve reached a limit on computing power. Conclusion: Computing power isn’t stopping—it’s shifting toward more efficient AI training and inference models. ________________________________________ Question 2: "This isn’t just about DeepSeek—it’s a question of open-source vs. closed-source AI." Answer: Good point—DeepSeek represents a bigger shift in AI development. • DeepSeek’s open-source model challenges NVIDIA’s dominance, since it reduces reliance on proprietary AI stacks like CUDA and NVIDIA GPUs. • Companies like Microsoft, Google, and Meta may start investing more in open-source models, which could shift the AI landscape over time. • However, DeepSeek alone won’t make this happen overnight—broad adoption of open-source AI and alternative hardware is required, and most AI companies still rely on NVIDIA. 🔹 Conclusion: Open-source AI is an important trend, but it hasn’t displaced NVIDIA yet. ________________________________________ Question 3: "DeepSeek is already working on supporting Huawei’s GPUs, and that’s happening fast. Within 1-2 years, Huawei could take NVIDIA’s spot in China at the very least." ANSWER: That is speculative—Huawei is improving, but replacing NVIDIA in 1-2 years is unlikely. • DeepSeek is optimizing for Huawei GPUs, which is expected given U.S. export restrictions on NVIDIA chips. • However, Huawei’s AI chips (like Ascend) are still behind NVIDIA’s in performance, and catching up will take time. • Past Chinese AI chip development has lagged by 3+ years compared to NVIDIA, and even if Huawei gains ground in China, NVIDIA’s global leadership remains secure for now. 🔹 Conclusion: Huawei may gain market share in China, but it’s not overtaking NVIDIA worldwide anytime soon. ________________________________________ Question 4: "NVIDIA’s insane profit margins won’t last forever." ANSWER: True—but NVIDIA’s margins are still strong for now. • NVIDIA’s high margins come from its dominance in AI chips and proprietary software (CUDA), which makes switching away from NVIDIA difficult. • DeepSeek shows that AI models can be trained more cheaply, which could put long-term pressure on NVIDIA’s pricing. • However, NVIDIA is still critical for AI training and inference, and demand for GPUs is growing, so their margins won’t collapse overnight. Conclusion: Margins may decline in the future, but NVIDIA remains highly profitable in the short term. ________________________________________ Question 5: "The AI hype bubble is something everyone knows about. DeepSeek is just the first to poke a hole in it—there will be plenty more doing the same soon." ANSWER: Overstated—AI spending is still growing, and NVIDIA isn’t collapsing. • Yes, there’s an AI hype cycle, and some stocks may be overvalued. • DeepSeek’s low-cost model surprised investors, but AI investment is still increasing. • Big tech companies (Microsoft, Google, Meta) are doubling down on AI spending in 2025-2026, and NVIDIA remains a major player. Conclusion: DeepSeek is an early warning of AI cost reductions, not the end of the AI boom. Technicals: Weekly: Engulfing Bullish candle at 61.8% Fib support Expectation: 200 to 250 by end of 2025
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Rocketman
1