NVIDIA - AFTER FED-positive inflation expectation
- more rate cuts expected
- bearish US market
>same retracement target
NVD trade ideas
Nvidia Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving CarsNVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving Cars.
Also in another news, IBM Taps NVIDIA AI Data Platform Technologies to Accelerate AI at Scale.
Apparently, shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is undeterred by all this news presently down 3.43% trading with a weak RSI of 44.
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point is acting as support point for shares of NVidia a break below that pivot could lead to a dip to the 1-month axis. Similarly, a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point could catalyse a bullish renaissance for $NVDA.
$NVDA and Elliott Wave.My reasoning;
Wave 2 of the Wave was a Zigzag from the weekly time frame, and as per the rules, Zigzags must be followed by Flats in any correction-- meaning our Wave 4 must be a Flat. Indeed, Wave 4 is a Flat, seen clearly in the daily time frame and it begins after Wave 3(in Black), with a three wave move that is not deep enough to be a correction. This is normal for Wave A in any Flat and is labelled in Dark Blue. After Wave A was completed, we would expect a Wave B and as per the rules, Wave B must go beyond Wave 3's ending. This can be clearly seen in both the daily and weekly time frames. Back to the daily time frame and we can take a closer look at Wave B that is still unfolding. Elliott rules dictate that B must be a three Wave move with two impulses and one corrective wave. The first impulse was formed and the second(corrective) was a Flat which is a corrective structure. Now all that is left is the third wave which will be the second impulse that will complete the Wave B(Dark Blue). Upon completion of this Wave B we could expect a Wave 4 to the downside.
All these Waves have been measured by the Fibonacci Retracement tool.
Nvdia has a new Aggressor.The boxes you are observing are the Larger scale supply and demand zones. These areas map out the current large liquidity. This includes the newest Player (collective players). This new player has been aggressively on the 17th and 18th.
Why does identifying a new aggressor matter?
New aggressors shape the way we view previous areas of supply and demand. Some look at the price getting to their target, without giving any thought to HOW it gets there.
In this instance:
Previous supply and demand have been established (we do not know how big they are or who is stronger). Some clues we do have is how it approaches these areas, and new aggressors can give us the clues we need... Will it bounce off demand? or fulfill it and continue lower?
New aggressors can put more pressure on these Demand or supply zones simply because they are becoming more aggressive closer to these areas.
Prediction
Scenario 1
Rolling over, and touching the 106 demand zone. Get's bought up, and new aggressors presents themself (bringing more demand). Price Target = 123.
If there is continued demand through this area, a case can be made for a 138 target before a correction/ reversal.
Scenario 2
New demand chews up this new aggressor. We should then have a bullish run to 131. 131 would present itself as a great short-term options (short).
Scenario 3
Rolling over with NEW (short) aggressors. This will put tons of pressure on the 106 players, and hopefully the 96's hang on (not charted).
Please feel free to share you input, thank you for taking the time.
Happy Trading!
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Vertical lines are colored and placed to indicate the expected direction of the price. Just my thoughts.
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For a limited time, I’ll be posting daily trade signals based on this strategy, allowing you to see exactly where I anticipate the market will move next. Whether you're an amateur trader or a seasoned professional, this is your chance to witness something game-changing in action.
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Vertical lines are colored and placed to indicate the expected direction of the price. Just my thoughts.
Nvidia moment of truthfull retest of the broken trendline, confirming it as resistance will lead to filling the gap around 70$
$NVDA down Nvidia's inaugural Quantum Day, scheduled for March 20 during its GTC 2025 conference, underscores the company's commitment to advancing quantum computing. This event brings together industry leaders to discuss current capabilities and future potential, highlighting Nvidia's recognition of quantum technology's growing significance.
Impact on Technology Stocks:
The announcement of Quantum Day has already influenced the stock market. Quantum computing companies like D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and IonQ have experienced notable stock price increases, reflecting investor optimism about upcoming developments and collaborations that may be unveiled during the event.
Implications for Quantum Computing and AI:
By dedicating a day to quantum computing, Nvidia signals its intent to integrate quantum advancements with artificial intelligence (AI). This integration could lead to significant breakthroughs in processing capabilities, enabling more complex AI models and applications. The focus on quantum computing at GTC 2025 suggests that Nvidia aims to position itself at the forefront of this convergence, potentially accelerating the commercialization of quantum technologies in AI.
In summary, Nvidia's Quantum Day signifies a strategic move to embrace and promote quantum computing, with anticipated positive effects on technology stocks and the future landscape of AI and computational technologies.
Consider a Long Position: Nvidia Poised for AI-Driven Growth- Key Insights: Nvidia remains a robust choice for investors seeking exposure to
AI technology innovation. The stock recently advanced by over 5%, indicative
of strong positive momentum in the semiconductor sector. Nvidia's strategic
positioning in AI and computing technologies, along with the backing of
seasoned investors, bodes well for its future trajectory. The GTC conference
may serve as a pivotal catalyst for further appreciation in Nvidia’s market
value.
- Price Targets: For the upcoming week, consider the following levels for a long
position. Target 1 (T1) is set at $127, and Target 2 (T2) is at $135. Stop
Level 1 (S1) is $116, and Stop Level 2 (S2) is conservatively placed at
$112. These targets account for Nvidia's recent performance, market
momentum, and anticipated technical challenges.
- Recent Performance: Nvidia has demonstrated remarkable resilience, aiding in
the semiconductor sector's recovery with a noteworthy rise in its stock,
particularly over the past week. This performance underscores its pivotal
role in the AI chip market and its capacity to drive growth during broader
market rebounds.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts continue to express a bullish stance on Nvidia,
emphasizing its technological leadership and potential for long-term growth.
Despite recent market corrections, the general sentiment reflects confidence
in Nvidia's trajectory. Industry voices like Brad Gersner view current
valuations as an appealing entry point for heightened future returns, driven
by the company’s advancements in AI and ecosystem integration.
- News Impact: Nvidia's participation in upcoming key events like the GTC
conference has the potential to bolster market sentiment significantly.
Announcements on next-generation AI developments and products could catalyze
further stock appreciation. Additionally, Nvidia’s recognition in AI circles
and strategic innovations solidify its competitive edge amidst global
technological challenges and geopolitical factors. The entry of new
competitors like Deep Seek, however, adds an element of market complexity
that investors should watch closely.
ES Draw for next weekExpect onesided meltdown on ES. Upcoming week is going to be massively liquid. Try to position less compare to your original postitions
NVDA has been trading in channel /range from 05/2024 to present.With only a few short breaks of the channel NVDA has been trading in range for 10 months.
NVDA Silicon Slippage: The Bearish Case for NVDA in 5 ContractsNVDA Bearish Options Thesis — “AI’s Reality Check”
A $500 Bet Against Hype, Headwinds, and a Tired Rally
Underlying: NVIDIA (NVDA)
Current Price: $109.67
Strategy: Buy 5x $90 PUTs expiring May 2, 2025 @ $1.00
Total Cost (Risk): $500
Breakeven: $89.00
Max Value at Expiry: $45,000 (if NVDA → $0)
Target Zone: $85–$95
Risk/Reward Profile: Asymmetric 1:9+
🧠 Thesis Summary: Why NVDA Could Drop
NVIDIA, the undisputed champion of the AI GPU race, now finds itself under increasing pressure from macro forces, competition, and sentiment. This trade capitalizes on a short-term reversal thesis into earnings season and macro repricing.
🚨 Key Catalysts for Downside:
🧬 1. AI Hype Fatigue
The market is cooling on generative AI names after 12+ months of hype.
Investor sentiment is shifting toward monetization over narrative — which hits NVDA’s high-multiple story.
💥 2. DeepSeek & Chinese Competition
The emergence of DeepSeek (a competitive LLM) raises the risk of a hardware shift in the East.
China accelerating self-sufficiency in chips = reduced NVDA demand.
📉 3. Macro Headwinds & Tariffs
Renewed trade war tensions threaten advanced chip exports.
Tariffs and tighter regulations = real demand compression for NVDA’s top-line growth.
📊 4. Technical Breakdown Confirmed
Weekly close below Fib 0.382 ($109.44) — now resistance.
RSI at 41.44 — weak and trending down.
Below VWAP ($113.65), signaling momentum shift.
"NVIDIA isn't breaking down because it's bad — it's breaking down because the market is waking up."
💰 Trade Breakdown: 5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00 (May 2, 2025)
Metric Value
Contracts 5
Cost per Contract $100
Total Premium $500
Breakeven $89.00
Max Gain $45,000
Max Loss $500 (premium only)
📊 P&L Scenarios (5 Contracts)
NVDA Price Drop % Intrinsic Value Total Payout Net Profit ROI (%)
$100 -8.8% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100%
$95 -13.4% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100%
$90 -17.9% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100%
$85 -22.5% $5.00 $2,500 $2,000 400%
$82.70 -24.6% $7.30 $3,650 $3,150 630%
$80 -27.1% $10.00 $5,000 $4,500 900%
🧮 Technical Levels to Watch
Level Price Notes
VWAP $113.65 Rejected
0.382 Fib $109.44 Just breached
0.5 Fib $96.07 Strong support
0.618 Fib $82.70 Bearish target
RSI 41.44 Weak momentum
✅ Summary
Factor Insight
Total Spent $500 (5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00)
Breakeven $89.00
Risk Fully capped at $500
Potential Return Up to $4,500 (900%) if NVDA → $80
Catalyst Market re-rating AI, earnings unknowns, regulatory clouds
Trade Horizon 33 days — high velocity post-breakdown possible
NVIDIA Support Breakdown, Targeting Lower LevelsFrom a technical perspective, the chart shows a break of daily support at 126.86 and 129.51. This could lead to a long squeeze and increased selling pressure, targeting levels of 109.9, 100.44, and 90.56. A sell position between 135.05 and 129.51 might be considered, but a stop loss at 148.95 is crucial.
Nvidia Price target $90 by July 2025Nvidia Price target $90 by July 2025.
If a recession hits, Nvidia could fall to $90. GET READY
NVDA pullbackNVDA's monthly candle suggests it's time for a pullback. A retracement could go as low as $50–$40. Let's see how it plays out in the coming months.
NVDA at a decision point, same area as September 2024Price as of my analysis: $113.76
NVDA is sitting at a major horizontal support zone around $113.50. This level acted as strong support in June 2024 and again in September 2024, where it launched a 34% rally toward the $152 range. Price is now testing that same level again — this is a key decision point.
If this support breaks, my first downside target is $104.70, followed by $100.96. The $100 level is also psychological support and could attract buyers if tested.
At the same time, NVDA is also pressing against a downtrend line that began in mid-February 2025, starting from the ~$143 level. Price rejected off this trendline again on Monday, confirming sellers are defending it.
The 10 EMA and 20 EMA on the daily chart sit around $119. For any upside to unfold, NVDA must reclaim these levels. Above that, we’re looking at resistance between $125–130, which is a confluence zone:
Downward-sloping 50 SMA
Flat 200 SMA
The prior uptrend line from May 2023, now acting as potential resistance
If the bounce begins here at $113.50, reclaiming the EMAs would be the first bullish signal. Clearing the $125–130 area could open the path back to $141, which was the breakdown candle from February.
On the weekly chart, the same $113.50 level shows as significant. The weekly EMAs are starting to turn down, and this week’s candle is showing signs of indecision — suggesting a potential reversal or further breakdown is brewing. Watching how this week closes will be key.
Summary:
Holding $113.50 = potential bounce toward $119 → $125–130 → $141
Losing $113.50 = likely flush to $104.70 → $100.96
$100 = psychological support and probable strong demand zone
Currently at the intersection of major support and downtrend resistance = high-stakes decision zone
NVDA) Approaching Critical Resistance – Breakout or Rejection?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook
📌 Current Price: $118.79
📌 Trend: Reversal in Progress with Key Resistance Ahead
📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour
Price Action & Market Structure
1. Bullish Reversal Underway – NVDA bounced strongly from the $115 demand zone, forming a higher low structure.
2. Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed – Buyers took control, pushing above recent resistance.
3. Change of Character (ChoCh) Detected – Indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
4. Key Trendline Test – NVDA is now pressing against the upper trendline resistance, a crucial level for either breakout or rejection.
5. MACD & Stoch RSI – Showing bullish momentum, but approaching overbought conditions, signaling possible short-term consolidation.
Key Reversal Detection & Trendline Details to Watch
* Reversal Zone Detection – The red box indicates the prior liquidity grab area, where sellers were exhausted, leading to the current reversal.
* Trendline Resistance – The current uptrend is testing the diagonal resistance level. If NVDA clears $120–$122, it may lead to an acceleration toward $125–$130.
* Trendline Support – If rejected at $120, expect support retests at $115, followed by $110 PUT Wall support if selling pressure returns.
Key Levels to Watch
📍 Immediate Resistance:
🔹 $120 – $122 (Trendline & Minor Resistance)
🔹 $125 – $130 (CALL Resistance Zone)
🔹 $135 – Major Gamma Target Level
📍 Immediate Support:
🔻 $115 – 2nd PUT Wall Support
🔻 $110 – Highest PUT Support & Major Reversal Zone
🔻 $104.77 – Critical Downside Risk Level
Options Flow & GEX Sentiment
* IVR: 24.5 (Low Implied Volatility, favoring directional moves)
* IVx: 50.5 (-6.71%) (Declining volatility)
* GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bearish Bias, but improving
* CALL Walls: $125 & $130 (Potential take-profit zones)
* PUT Walls: $115 & $110 (High liquidity zones where buyers may step in)
📌 Options Insight:
* Above $120, NVDA could see a momentum breakout toward $125+, forcing dealers to hedge by buying shares.
* Below $115, risk increases for a test of $110 PUT Wall, where liquidity is concentrated.
My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation
🚀 Bullish Case: A breakout above $120 could accelerate NVDA into $125–$130 due to CALL gamma buildup.
⚠️ Bearish Case: If NVDA fails at $120 and loses $115, expect a retest of $110, which aligns with major PUT support.
Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes)
📌 Bullish Play:
🔹 Entry: Above $120 Breakout
🔹 Target: $125–$130
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $115
📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea):
🔻 Entry: Rejection at $120
🔻 Target: $115 – $110
🔻 Stop Loss: Above $122
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Final Thoughts
NVDA is in a critical breakout zone. A strong move above $120 could lead to a sharp rally, while failure could send it back toward $115–$110 for a potential retest. Stay patient and watch for confirmation before entering a position.
NVDA Heating Up! Is a Breakout Incoming? Mar 17 weekChecking NVDA on the 4-hour chart for some actionable trade setups.
📈 Technical Analysis (TA):
* NVDA clearly broke through its descending wedge, hinting at a bullish reversal.
* Noticed a Change of Character (CHoCh) which signals the momentum shifting upwards.
* Current resistance (supply zone) around $122–$126 is the key level to watch.
* Major support at the recent BOS around $104.35; keep an eye here if price retraces.
* Upper supply zone around $143 could act as a strong resistance if the breakout continues.
📊 GEX & Options Insights:
* Highest positive NET GEX and call resistance at $126—crucial gamma wall here.
* Strongest PUT support around $110, marking the lower boundary clearly.
* IV Rank at 36.1% suggests moderate premium pricing—consider credit spreads or debit spreads strategically.
* CALL ratio at 28.4% indicating slightly bearish options sentiment.
💡 Trade Recommendations:
* Bullish Play: Wait for NVDA to confidently close above $126; aim calls towards the $140 range. Keep stops tight around $120.
* Bearish Play: Look for rejection at $126. Consider puts targeting the $110–$104 zone.
* Neutral traders can implement Iron Condors or spreads between clear ranges ($110–$126).
🛑 Risk Management: Stick to disciplined trades, and manage your risk carefully given moderate volatility.
Happy trading, team!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Nvidia (NVDA) Bullish Opportunity – GTC 2025 & AI GrowthCurrent Price: $121.67
✅ TP1: $130 – (short-term resistance, +7%)
✅ TP2: $145 – (medium-term breakout target, +19%)
✅ TP3: $175 – (analyst target, +43%)
🔥 Why Bullish?
1️⃣ GTC 2025 Conference (March 17-21)
CEO Jensen Huang’s Keynote (March 18) is expected to unveil:
Blackwell Ultra (B300 series): Next-gen AI GPU with 288GB memory.
Rubin GPU Preview: NVIDIA’s roadmap beyond 2026.
Quantum Day (March 20): NVIDIA’s first quantum event, showcasing its role in quantum simulation despite earlier skepticism—potentially broadening its tech leadership.
Market Sentiment: High anticipation for AI & chip updates, with some seeing 30%-50% upside if AI demand is reaffirmed (e.g., new contracts, backlog growth).
2️⃣ Analyst Ratings & Price Targets
Strong Buy Consensus from analysts.
Average 12-Month Price Target: $174.79 → +43.59% upside.
Price Target Range: $120 (low) to $220 (high).
3️⃣ Technical Setup – Breakout Potential
Falling Channel Formation – Price is bouncing from strong support (~$115).
MACD Bullish Crossover – Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
Breakout Level: Above $130 would trigger stronger upside.
NVDIANVDIA is close to completing bigger correction, soon enough we will head to break the top minimum.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Another Leg down for NVDAHello Traders,
If we do not see NVDA rise about the $121-$124 level for a large amount of volume... we should see another leg down from this area... I am expecting NVDA to drop below $100 in the next 2 weeks. I personally believe by April this stock will see its bottom around $75. It may happen faster. Good luck.
NVDA - what to expecthi traders,
In this analysis we will have a look at NVDA on 1D time frame.
As we can see, the price found support at 105$ and we got a rejection to the upside.
However, we should be realistic with our expectations.
2 scenarios that I expect to play out:
1. The price gets rejected at the downsloping resistance line and the price will revisit the area of 110-105$ which will be an entry zone for longs.
Stop loss should be placed below 105$.
2. If the price closes below 105$, it should go to the buy zone 2 presented on the chart.
In both scenarios, I expect a new all-time high for NVDA.
Buying at buy zone 2 would be a great entry for a swing traders and long-term investors.
$140 - $150 are imminent for NVDANVIDIA Stock Analysis & Forecast
Price Outlook: $140 - $150 in Sight
NVIDIA (NVDA) has consistently been one of the most rewarding stocks for investors, delivering substantial returns over the past few years. However, following its all-time high (ATH) of approximately $153 on January 7, 2025, the stock experienced a notable pullback, declining to around $105.
Since that dip, NVDA has shown signs of recovery, with the current price stabilizing at $121.67. This upward momentum suggests a potential rally toward the $140 - $150 range in the near term.
Investment Strategy
Long-Term Perspective: Given NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals and market dominance, accumulating shares for long-term investment remains a solid strategy.
Short-Term Trading: For traders, technical indicators suggest potential entry and exit points. Refer to my chart for the accompanying chart for detailed technical analysis (TA) insights.
While the stock has shown resilience, monitoring key support and resistance levels will be crucial in determining the next phase of its movement.
