$PLTR 4h RSI, Vol. Bearish Divergence4H chart showing divergence and may not necessarily be a top but could be pulling back for a test of support. Watch 10DMA for potential support.
PTX trade ideas
PLTR at a Key Decision Point! Bounce or More Downside? Feb. 26 Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Palantir (PLTR) has been in a downtrend, forming a falling wedge on the 1-hour timeframe, which could signal a potential reversal if it breaks out. The stock is currently testing a major support level around $85-$89, which aligns with strong options positioning.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: PLTR remains in a falling wedge, often a precursor to bullish reversals.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $95.73 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $85 (strong PUT support zone).
* Breakout Target: $100 - $108 if momentum returns.
* MACD Indicator: Flatlining, indicating a consolidation phase before a potential move.
* Stoch RSI: Near overbought, suggesting limited upside unless volume confirms a breakout.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights significant PUT concentration around $85, meaning a break below could trigger additional downside momentum. However, if it holds, a relief bounce toward $95-$100 is possible.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 79, with IVx avg at 84.2%, showing increased volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 36% of options flow, suggesting some bullish positioning.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $85 → Breaking below could drive price toward $80.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $91-$100 → A breakout here could push toward $108.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $91 with confirmation of strength.
* Target 1: $95
* Target 2: $100-$108 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $85
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $85 with strong selling pressure.
* Target: $80 → $75
* Stop-loss: Above $89
Final Thoughts
PLTR is at a make-or-break level, with $85 being the critical zone to hold. If it breaks below, we could see a continuation toward $80. However, if buyers step in, a rally toward $95-$100 is likely. Options data suggests a battle between bulls and bears, making confirmation essential before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Given the volatility, traders should size their positions appropriately and wait for volume confirmation.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis🔥 Market Overview
Trend: Strong Bearish 📉
Resistance: $88.54 → EMA 9, first major ceiling
Support: $85.50 → Short-term demand zone
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish but momentum is slowing
RSI: 29.61 (Oversold) – potential bounce
VWAP: Below average, sellers maintain control
🩸 Risk: No major news catalyst, but technical weakness dominates
🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage)
🩸 Momentum Scalping:
Buy: Near $85.50–$86.00, targeting $88.00 (+2.3%)
Sell: Near $88.00–$89.00, targeting $86.00 (-2.1%)
Stop-loss: Below $84.90
🩸 Breakout Scalping:
Above $89.00: Long to $92.00 (+3.4%)
Below $85.50: Short to $83.00 (-2.9%)
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bullish above $90: Possible retest of $95 if recovery starts
Bearish below $85: Likely drop to $80 if breakdown continues
🔥 News & Market Context
🩸 No strong catalysts = Technicals drive the market
🩸 PLTR in oversold conditions but no major bounce signal yet
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $85.50, sell at $88.00+
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for trend confirmation before heavy longs
🩸 Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter aggressive longs above $90
👑 Final Verdict:
"Patience isn’t weakness—it’s waiting for the perfect strike." – LucanInvestor
PLTR Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* PLTR is in a descending channel, with a strong rejection from the 109 level and now testing the 100-95 support zone.
* Support Levels:
* 100.16 (current price zone, potential reaction area).
* 95.77 (next major support & put wall level).
* 90.00 (extension downside target if selling accelerates).
* Resistance Levels:
* 106.27 (POC, first resistance).
* 109.01 (VAH & major resistance).
* If PLTR loses 95, expect a sharper decline to 90 or lower.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 106.27 → Major liquidity area, key to reclaim for upside.
* Value Area High (VAH): 109.01 → Strong resistance zone.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 100.16 → Key level to hold for buyers.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, momentum still pushing lower.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold but no clear reversal yet.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 120-130 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 95 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 90 → Major Put Wall—if lost, could lead to further downside.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 70.3 | IVx Avg 85.9 → High volatility, expect larger price swings.
* Call Positioning 42.6% → Some bullish positioning, but put walls are strong.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 100 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 95.77 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 90.00 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 104 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 100/95 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 100P/90P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 104-106, targeting 109+.
🔹 Target 1: 106.27 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 109.01 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 100 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 95/90 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 104+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 95, strong gamma exposure can push PLTR lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Palantir scalping + forecast (2-19) 🔥 Market Overview (Palantir - PLTR)
Trend: PLTR is experiencing a sharp correction after a strong parabolic rally.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $119.88 (Supertrend Level)
Support: $106.89 (200 EMA), $107.00 (Recent Intraday Low)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $119.60 (Short-term trend resistance)
EMA 200: $106.89 (Major support)
MACD: Bearish crossover, momentum turning negative.
RSI: 23.44, deeply oversold.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 1. Rebound Scalping (High-Risk, Oversold Play)
Buy near: $107-$109, targeting $115-$118.
Sell near: $115-$118, targeting $110.
Stop-loss: Below $106.
🩸 2. Momentum Scalping (If $115 Breaks)
Buy above: $115, targeting $119-$122.
Stop-loss: Below $113.
🩸 3. Breakdown Scalping (Bearish Play)
Short near: $115-$118, targeting $110.
Short below: $107, targeting $100.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
PLTR is in a strong correction phase after a parabolic run-up.
If $106-$107 holds, expect a bounce towards $115-$118.
A breakdown below $106 could trigger further selling towards $100.
🔥 News & Market Context
PLTR surged due to strong earnings and AI hype, but overbought conditions led to profit-taking.
Market is in a risk-off mode, which increases volatility.
Institutional interest remains strong, but short-term downside risk is elevated.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Look for a bounce from $107, but manage risk carefully.
🩸 Mid-term: Only bullish if price reclaims $115+.
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp longs from $107, short rejections at $115-$118.
👑 Final Verdict:
PLTR is deeply oversold but still under correction pressure. Risk-to-reward favors a bounce, but failure to hold $107 could trigger a bigger drop.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"Buying weakness takes courage—selling strength takes discipline." 👑
PLTR - Next Generational Company Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) is an American software company specializing in big data analytics. Palantir offers platforms like Palantir Gotham, used by defense and intelligence agencies; Palantir Foundry, designed for data integration and analysis across industries; and Palantir Apollo, which facilitates continuous software deployment. In April 2023, Palantir introduced the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) to integrate large language models into secure networks. Recent earnings have surprised to the upside, reassuring investors that the company is able to monetize its services in an industry where many AI related and data analytic companies to not provide similar competitiveness.
At the moment, Palantir has seen a massive drop from the all time high, creating a potential ABC corrective structure with the 1-1 extension being around the $80 range.
I will be interesting in adding shares if Palantir can flush down to these levels in the coming days!
PLTR is looking for the change of consolidation angleHi
PLTR is following this curved consolidation for long, and always followed the Higher lows till now
got the resistance from another tl above also from a monthly level, u will see the origin of the above tl or pattern in below graphics, could follow the curve for 1/2 months more, depends on the market support
posted herewith important nearby 12M levels along with the monthly levels, will update the monthly and weekly levels for coming weeks and month as and when required.
shortly will add few more graphics
thanks
PLTR at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This WeekTechnical Analysis & Market Structure
PLTR has experienced a strong move downward, breaking below key levels before finding support near $95.80. The hourly chart indicates a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, suggesting continued bearish pressure. However, the 15-minute chart highlights a potential stabilization near key liquidity zones.
Support Levels:
$95.80 (GEX 1st PUT Support - critical defense)
$90.00 (2nd PUT Wall, strong bearish threshold)
$80.00 (Extreme bearish scenario)
Resistance Levels:
$100.00 (Psychological & GEX HVL Sigma zone)
$105.00 (2nd Call Wall - first major bullish test)
$120.00-$130.00 (Major NET GEX Call zone, potential gamma squeeze target)
Options Sentiment & GEX Analysis
The GEX model shows significant positioning around $100, which acts as a magnet for price action. A break and hold above $100 could lead to a gamma squeeze toward $105 and potentially $120.
IVR: 68.4 – Implies medium volatility, still elevated
IVx avg: 88.6% – IV skew favors short-dated options
Call GEX: 22.4% – Calls are building strength but still below major inflection zones
Trade Setups
🔹 Bullish Play:
Entry: Above $100, retest confirmation
Target: $105 / $120
Stop-Loss: Below $98.50
🔻 Bearish Play:
Entry: Below $95.80 breakdown
Target: $90 / $80
Stop-Loss: Above $98
Final Thoughts
PLTR is at a high-stakes decision point with GEX levels aligning near $100 as a pivot. A move above this zone could bring a gamma acceleration toward $105-$120, while rejection signals further downside to $90 and below. Patience is key—wait for retests before entering trades.
🔔 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
PLTR: 150+?Heavy volume picked up to maintain price levels at the 95-105 range. Institutions are just now buying in, they gonna keep the gravy train rolling (opinion).
Technical levels take us to $155 so from here and any pull backs to the mid 90s are buys. Get ready for some serious volatility. Price movements will be large and fast.
Long term buyers beware.
PLTR $84 FVGI can see a strong displacement to the downside. I can visualize 1 of 2 events happening the next few weeks. Either PLTR will go back up to previous high making a doble top on the 4 hour chart to then fill FVG to the downside. Or it will continue displacements making lower highs until it reaches the Order Block.
My price range of this downside is to the $83/85 area. If you seen my previous predictions. You know it's only a matter of time.
NASDAQ:PLTR
Palantir $PLTR is Dead-Cat-Bouncing | Now, WAVE-2 Down to $86As I always say... My favorite technical play in the trading game!🥇Spooky how accurate those broken trend lines can be, right? NASDAQ:PLTR near-perfectly utilized that line of broken resistance as new support (yellow)! P.S. I have an in-depth Trader Tips video discussing this on YT as well. 👻🎯
NASDAQ:PLTR ended the day around -5% following that -12% plummet early this morning, and it looks to me like the stock is in the process of dead-cat bouncing prior to the next wave down. Another -20% in the week ahead wouldn't surprise me in the slightest. As of now, the stock is in no-mans-land, both technically and fundamentally.💥😼📉
I couldn't help but to shark back up a few 2/28 $102 PLTR puts just before the closing bell. If the stock sees a lick of green tomorrow then I'll pick up more. If it just continues to fall further, then it's all good. I'm more than happy with the 10X profits we've already secured with our NASDAQ:PLTR put-play. 🏆💰🦈
$PLTR WILL RETEST $112-115 PIVOT POINTAn overreaction in financial markets occurs when securities are excessively overbought or oversold, driven more by psychological factors than by underlying fundamentals.
The last two-day dip was excessively sold off.
BUY NASDAQ:PLTR NOW TO GET THE DEAD CAT BOUNCE OR RESTEST OF $112-115.
From there, let's see if the market pushes NASDAQ:PLTR to $120 or higher.
Investing in Palantir Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) could be appealing for several reasons:
Strong Growth Potential: Analysts expect Palantir to experience significant business volume growth in the coming years, with high growth rates anticipated.
High Profit Margins: The company has particularly high margins before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, contributing to strong profitability.
Financial Stability: Palantir has a sound financial situation, providing it with significant leeway for investment and expansion.
Positive Analyst Revisions: Over the past year, analysts have regularly revised their sales and earnings forecasts upwards, reflecting renewed optimism about the company's future performance
Stock Of The Day / 02.20.25 / PLTR02.20.2025 / NASDAQ:PLTR #PLTR
Fundamentals. Negative background due to information about the reduction of the US defense budget.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Correction on an uptrend.
Aftermarket/Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume. We mark the aftermarket low of 106.00.
Trading session: The primary upward impulse from the opening was stopped at 106.00. We are considering a short trade in case of retest and holding the level.
Trading scenario: False breakout with retest of the level 106.00
Entry: 104.20 upon re-touching the level and exit downwards.
Stop: 106.25 we hide it behind the tail of the candle above the level of 106.00.
Exit: Close part of the position at 97.10 when the price accelerates and a reversal candlestick pattern appears. Close the rest of the position at 100.01 when the lower high is updated and the structure of the downward trend is broken.
Risk rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
To Short or Not to Short that is the question???Let me explain the risk-reward profiles for long and short positions:
Long Position:
When you buy an asset (go long), you purchase it hoping its value will increase
Maximum loss: Limited to your initial investment (if asset goes to $0)
For example, if you buy a stock at $100, your maximum loss is $100 per share
Maximum gain: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising
If the stock goes to $200, $300, $1000+, your profit keeps growing
Short Position:
When you short an asset, you borrow and sell it, hoping to repurchase it cheaper later
Maximum gain: Limited to your initial sale price (if the asset goes to $0)
For example, if you short a stock at $100, your maximum gain is $100 per share
Maximum loss: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising
If the stock rises to $200, you lose $100; at $300, you lose $200, and so on
The asymmetric risk-reward comes from math:
Long positions: Asset can't go below $0, but has no upper limit
Short positions: Can only profit until $0, but losses grow with each price increase
Shorting comes with several additional costs that make it more expensive than going long:
Borrowing Costs (Short Interest)
You must pay interest to borrow the shares you're shorting
Rates can range from very low (0.25%) to very high (50%+) annually for hard-to-borrow stocks
This cost reduces your profits or increases losses over time
Margin Requirements
Need to maintain a margin account with collateral
Higher margin requirements for short positions (typically 150% of position value)
Risk of margin calls if the position moves against you
Dividend Payments
Short sellers must pay any dividends to the lender of the shares
This is an additional cost that long position holders don't face
Can significantly impact profitability for high-dividend stocks
Stock Recall Risk
The lender can recall their shares at any time
This may force you to close your position at unfavorable prices
It is particularly risky during short squeezes
These costs mean that even if your directional view is correct, you might still lose money on a short position due to holding costs.
Asymmetrical Moves
"Markets take the stairs up but the elevator down"
The opposite happens more often!
During bubble collapses and market crashes:
Downside moves can be gradual as denial, hope, and orderly selling create a stepped decline
Some investors average down, providing temporary support
Circuit breakers and trading halts can slow dramatic falls
During upside rallies, especially
short squeezes:
Price can explode upward very rapidly as shorts rush to cover
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) creates buying panic
Margin calls force immediate buying
Limited available shares can cause bidding wars
Now let's evaluate the same thing for Options Trading:
in a hypothetical situation, a call option can theoretically move toward infinity, whereas a put option has a limited downside.
Here’s why:
A call option gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a fixed strike price. If the underlying asset’s price keeps rising indefinitely, the call option’s value also increases indefinitely. In theory, there's no upper limit to how high a stock price can go, meaning a call option's price can rise infinitely.
A put option , on the other hand, gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a fixed price. However, the lowest a stock can go is zero, which means the maximum intrinsic value of a put option is limited to its strike price. For example, if a put has a strike price of $100 and the stock price drops to $0, the put would be worth at most $100 per share. Unlike a call option, a put option has a finite maximum gain.
Thus, while a call option has unlimited upside, a put option is constrained by the fact that an asset’s price can only fall to zero.
The final Verdict:
Do not short PLTR or other bubbles, if you want to do so, at least buy Put options to limit your risk!
Palantir (PLTR) – What’s the Play?Hi all,
I've received a lot of questions about PLTR, so here’s my take:
Initially, if it were to approach $100 for the first time, I’d have nothing to say—it would be extremely risky, especially after the strong rally we've seen in recent months. The first approach to $100 can make strong retracements.
However, after analyzing the chart about a few weeks later, we got a solid weekly close above $100, which started forming a more structured setup. Now, there's at least a decent technical case for making a decision.
The highlighted box could be a reasonable buying zone—but keep in mind, this is still risky. Technically, it's shaping up, but your fundamental conviction should be strong.
Fun fact: In my home country, a well-known investor, Investor Toomas, has added PLTR to his portfolio. While that’s an interesting signal, we don’t know his holding strategy or reaction to current market moves but still, we can take it as a small confirmation from fundamental analysis.
Final Thought: Do your own research - buy it, skip it, the choice is yours! I can confirm that technically there is at least something to consider.
Cheers,
Vaido
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PalantirWell today was quite the day for PLTR, huh. Over a 10% drop to finish the standard trading day off, followed by another $6 drop after hours. That equates to over a 15% drop in total value in one day. As I mentioned earlier in a post that a member made, we may not know what will cause a drop, just the area in which it is likely to occur. I had mentioned in a previous post that in the $125-$130 area there was a lot of confluence and that it would be an ideal place for the pattern to terminate and begin consolidating in wave (4). Well, the high made today, which was an ATH, was $125.40. This was a whopping $2.57 away from the 1.618 I said to watch for a reaction from. This is textbook price action on the larger time frames. I also quite often say that the larger counts are king. That is exactly what we saw today.
I made this post more zoomed out to show you a better view of the larger pattern that we're tracking. The HUGE drop made today is just a tiny little blimp in the overall structure. I also made an arrow pointing to the wave 4 of a lesser degree. I do not want to see us breach that low under any circumstances. To do so would indicate the pattern is headed much lower. Instead, I want to see us make an abc pattern into the target box that ranges from $70-$83. Remember, this is a wave (4) and thus, will likely be very complex. DO NOT lose sight of the picture painted here. Regardless of how complex it gets; this is the target area we should hit. This wave (4) will likely be deep and long due to wave (2) being short and shallow. In order to keep the theory of alternation, this is what will be the standard move.
I would imagine we get some sort of consolidation higher tomorrow from investors thinking this is a buy the dip situation. I am here to tell you that is EXTREMELY unlikely. Whatever move higher we get in the next few trading days will likely be given right up as we move towards the target box. Hopefully you had stops set to protect your positions as I had recommended. If not, maybe consider placing them now. Let me know if you have any questions or anything is unclear.
