TL0 trade ideas
TESLA - Before the earning assessment - Where will it go?Hello Everyone,
29th of January TESLA will release earning reports for Q4 2024.
Expected EPS : 0,77 $
Expected Revenue : 27,14B
So here is the my scenario:
If reports come better than expected, approx 5% or 8% over estimations then my expectation is as Green :
Hit directly to 488 - 490 $ and make a correction a bit then continue to up till 540 - 560 $ area which is approx 35% gain.
If reports come worse than expected, then my expectation is as Red:
My target proce then 310 $ which is 25% down from current price and that price can be a good entrance point.
If reports come relatively as expected then, i think there will be fluctions between 370 to 440 $
Lets wait till release then i will decide what to do with my existing holdings.
This is not an investment suggestion, just my dreams :)
Tesla on CD leg of crab harmonic pattern, target at 602Retrace levels 310 or 273 and then start of upward journey.
Technical Analysis (TA) for Tesla (TSLA)Market Overview:
Tesla (TSLA) is consolidating near a critical support zone with mixed momentum signals. Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels indicate significant resistance overhead, but also notable support below. With options expiring soon, TSLA's movement will likely be influenced by GEX-driven price action and key psychological levels.
1-Hour Chart Observations:
1. Price Action:
* TSLA is trading near $411.90, just above the key support at $410. The recent downtrend is contained within a channel, and the price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, indicating potential support for a rebound.
* Resistance levels are seen at $420 and $435, with stronger selling pressure expected near $440.
2. Support/Resistance:
* Support: $410 (critical short-term level), followed by $405 and $400 (psychological levels reinforced by GEX put walls).
* Resistance: $420 (3rd call wall), $425-$435 (significant GEX call resistance).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Trending slightly bearish but flattening, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation near support.
* Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold territory, pointing to a potential bounce if buyers step in.
4. Volume:
* Decreasing volume during the recent pullback suggests a lack of aggressive selling, which could signal exhaustion of downward momentum.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis:
1. Call Walls:
* Significant resistance at $420 (90.43% GEX concentration) and $435-$440, where gamma exposure shows heavy call activity. A breakout above $420 could trigger momentum toward $435.
2. Put Walls:
* Strong support at $405 and $400, with heavy put activity providing a cushion against further downside.
3. Key GEX Level:
* A potential pin near $410 suggests price could hover near this level if no major buying/selling pressure occurs.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Trade:
1. Rationale:
* TSLA is holding above $410, a strong support level. Indicators point to a potential bounce, and GEX shows resistance overhead, meaning upward momentum could be contained near $420 or $435.
2. Entry:
* Buy near $411-$412 (on support confirmation).
3. Target:
* First target: $420 (near GEX 3rd call wall).
* Second target: $435 (strong resistance zone).
4. Stop Loss:
* Place a stop below $405 to limit downside risk.
Bearish Trade:
1. Rationale:
* If TSLA breaks below $410 and sustains, it could head toward $405 or $400, where stronger support exists.
2. Entry:
* Short below $409 (on confirmed breakdown).
3. Target:
* First target: $405.
* Second target: $400.
4. Stop Loss:
* Place a stop above $415 to protect against reversals.
Conclusion:
TSLA is at a pivotal level near $410. If the support holds, expect a rebound toward $420-$435. However, a breakdown could push the price to $405 or $400. For options, focus on short-term strategies due to Friday’s expiration or slightly extend the timeframe for trades beyond this week. Monitor volume and overnight futures for additional confirmation.
Important Note:
Market conditions can change rapidly when the market opens, potentially leading to a gap up or down. Overnight futures, economic data, and pre-market activity may significantly impact Tesla's price and invalidate this analysis. Monitor these factors closely before placing any trades.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading stocks, ETFs, and options involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Use proper risk management to protect your capital.
TSLA is preparing to form a second base.TSLA could potentially rise to the $500 range, after which it may correct to form a second base. It could take 6 to 9 months before continuing its breakout. This is one possible scenario for reference, not an investment recommendation.
TSLA Trade Setup – Key Levels !📊
SL (Stop-Loss): $403.81 🔴
Entry: $411.89 🟡
T1 (Target 1): $423.08 🟢
T2 (Target 2): $433.02 🟢
👉 Monitor for breakout confirmation before entering! Manage risk carefully. 💹
#TSLA #Tesla #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #SupportAndResistance #SwingTrading #BreakoutTrade #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis #RiskManagement #FinancialMarkets
$TSLA - sitting on 50% fib retracementNASDAQ:TSLA is currently near 50% retracement support. I re-entered with new positions betting that it could bounce from that support to $435 area. On the other hand, if that support fails, it could drop to $388 area.
Wish me luck! 🙏
Tesla retracement to $340-$350 zone before a bounceMy idea is that the Tesla price will return to the $340-$350 Zone. This is a 50% fibonachi retracement it is also the same zone as an upward sloping trendline and the uptrend anchored VWAP.
Depending on the reaction to this level and as long as the VWAP acts as support you could take a 'long' position with a take profit 1 at around $400 before deciding to close or let it run towards another all time high.
Tesla Retracement to $340-$350 ZoneMy idea is that the Tesla price will return to the $340-$350 Zone. This is a 50% fibonachi retracement it is also the same zone as an upward sloping trendline and the uptrend anchored VWAP
TSLA, Long, 30m
entry: Current Market Price
take profit: 423
stop loss: 405
TSLA has rejected a strong support level at 410 and is forming a triangle pattern. Bullish momentum suggests a breakout toward the target at 423.
Long🚀
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Tracking Call and Put walls movements everydayIn this video I describe a new indicator to give another layer of information based on historical data from puts and walls for stocks (450 supported tickers).
This type of information is not readily available, I am collecting, storying and then processing and displaying them
TSLATesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a leading American electric vehicle (EV) and clean energy company founded by Elon Musk and others in 2003. Tesla is known for its innovative EVs, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, as well as its advancements in autonomous driving (Full Self-Driving - FSD), battery technology, and energy solutions like solar panels and Powerwall batteries. As a high-growth and highly volatile stock, TSLA is influenced by EV demand, production capacity, regulatory policies, competition, and broader market trends. Tesla remains a key player in the global shift toward sustainable energy and transportation.
Today TSLA analysis.hello'
"TSLA's downtrend was evident today, and by using the RSI indicator, I identified a clear target. I hope the prediction proves accurate. Additionally, given TSLA's all-time high, it's possible we'll see a pullback to recover some of those gains."
Target
1: 400.00
2: 370.00
I hope you like my target. what you think about ''TSLA'' ?
Tesla possible projections for earnings. Simple - Based on Fib Levels - A straddle or strangle at 579$ and 395$ could earn good money.
Using Volume to Validate Market MovesVolume is one of those metrics that often sits quietly at the bottom of your chart, unnoticed by many traders. Yet, it plays a critical role in understanding the market’s behaviour. Think of volume as the fuel behind price movements—without it, even the most promising breakout can fizzle out. But, just like with fuel, more isn’t always better.
Today, we’re focusing on the simple volume histogram that appears at the bottom of most charts. While there are countless indicators built around volume—like On-Balance Volume (OBV) or the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)—the histogram is a straightforward, effective tool for gauging participation in the market. Let’s explore how to use it, how to put volume into context, and how it behaves with different price patterns, including the concept of volume divergence.
Simple Volume Histogram
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Why Volume Matters (and Why More Isn’t Always Better)
Volume measures how many shares or contracts change hands during a given period. When volume spikes, it signifies heightened interest—buyers and sellers actively engaging. However, it’s not as simple as “more volume equals better signals.”
For instance, a breakout on high volume often reflects strong conviction, but it can also indicate exhaustion at the end of a trend. Conversely, a low-volume breakout might lack the interest needed to sustain the move. Understanding the relationship between volume and price action is key to avoiding false signals.
A Simple Trick: The Volume Moving Average
One of the easiest ways to contextualise volume is by applying a moving average to the volume histogram. Platforms like TradingView make this simple: double-click the volume histogram, select ‘Style,’ tick the Volume MA box, and adjust the average length under ‘Inputs.’
A 9-period moving average, for example, acts as a baseline. When volume spikes significantly above the average, it suggests increased participation and potentially more meaningful price moves. Conversely, volume below the average often reflects quieter market phases.
Adding MA to Your Volume Histogram
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Volume Divergence: When Volume and Price Don’t Align
Volume divergence occurs when price action and volume move in opposite directions, often hinting at weakening trends or potential reversals.
Imagine an uptrend where the price makes higher highs, but volume decreases at each new peak. This divergence signals fading participation, suggesting the trend may be losing steam.
On the other hand, if the price trends lower while volume rises, sellers could be gaining momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
Take the example below, where volume divergence on the FTSE 100 preceded a period of sideways consolidation.
Volume Divergence: FTSE 100 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Patterns That Thrive on High Volume
Certain price patterns rely on strong volume to confirm their validity. A classic example is a triangle breakout. As the price consolidates within the triangle, volume often contracts. When the breakout finally occurs, you want to see a surge in volume, confirming that participants are backing the move. Without it, the breakout might lack the conviction needed to sustain the trend.
Patterns That Prefer Lower Volume
Other patterns work best with subdued volume. A pullback within a trend is a great example. Let’s say a stock is in a strong uptrend and starts to retrace slightly. Ideally, you want to see declining volume during the pullback. This suggests the selling is more about profit-taking than aggressive distribution.
Once the pullback completes and the trend resumes, volume should pick up again. If the pullback occurs on high volume, it could indicate stronger selling pressure, signalling that the uptrend might be in trouble.
A Practical Example: DXY Pullback and Breakout
Let’s apply these concepts to a real-world case. In October, the dollar index (DXY) formed a steady uptrend followed by a pullback, creating a descending channel or bull flag.
During the flag formation, average volume declined, indicating reduced selling pressure. When the price broke out, volume surged to nearly triple the 20-day average—a clear signal of strong buying interest. This breakout led to a multi-week uptrend.
DXY Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Final Thoughts
The volume histogram is a simple yet invaluable tool for traders. By applying a moving average to identify volume trends and watching for divergences between price and volume, you can gain a clearer understanding of market dynamics.
Volume isn’t just about how much activity is happening—it’s about when and how it aligns with price action. Whether you’re trading breakouts, pullbacks, or reversals, understanding volume can provide an essential layer of confirmation and help you spot potential warning signs.
Keep in mind, volume is just one piece of the puzzle. But when used correctly, it can give you a better sense of whether a price move has the backing it needs to succeed—or if it’s running on empty.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Using Volume to Validate Market MovesVolume is one of those metrics that often sits quietly at the bottom of your chart, unnoticed by many traders. Yet, it plays a critical role in understanding the market’s behaviour. Think of volume as the fuel behind price movements—without it, even the most promising breakout can fizzle out. But, just like with fuel, more isn’t always better.
Today, we’re focusing on the simple volume histogram that appears at the bottom of most charts. While there are countless indicators built around volume—like On-Balance Volume (OBV) or the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)—the histogram is a straightforward, effective tool for gauging participation in the market. Let’s explore how to use it, how to put volume into context, and how it behaves with different price patterns, including the concept of volume divergence.
Simple Volume Histogram
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Why Volume Matters (and Why More Isn’t Always Better)
Volume measures how many shares or contracts change hands during a given period. When volume spikes, it signifies heightened interest—buyers and sellers actively engaging. However, it’s not as simple as “more volume equals better signals.”
For instance, a breakout on high volume often reflects strong conviction, but it can also indicate exhaustion at the end of a trend. Conversely, a low-volume breakout might lack the interest needed to sustain the move. Understanding the relationship between volume and price action is key to avoiding false signals.
A Simple Trick: The Volume Moving Average
One of the easiest ways to contextualise volume is by applying a moving average to the volume histogram. Platforms like TradingView make this simple: double-click the volume histogram, select ‘Style,’ tick the Volume MA box, and adjust the average length under ‘Inputs.’
A 9-period moving average, for example, acts as a baseline. When volume spikes significantly above the average, it suggests increased participation and potentially more meaningful price moves. Conversely, volume below the average often reflects quieter market phases.
Adding MA to Your Volume Histogram
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Volume Divergence: When Volume and Price Don’t Align
Volume divergence occurs when price action and volume move in opposite directions, often hinting at weakening trends or potential reversals.
Imagine an uptrend where the price makes higher highs, but volume decreases at each new peak. This divergence signals fading participation, suggesting the trend may be losing steam.
On the other hand, if the price trends lower while volume rises, sellers could be gaining momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
Take the example below, where volume divergence on the FTSE 100 preceded a period of sideways consolidation.
Volume Divergence: FTSE 100 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Patterns That Thrive on High Volume
Certain price patterns rely on strong volume to confirm their validity. A classic example is a triangle breakout. As the price consolidates within the triangle, volume often contracts. When the breakout finally occurs, you want to see a surge in volume, confirming that participants are backing the move. Without it, the breakout might lack the conviction needed to sustain the trend.
Patterns That Prefer Lower Volume
Other patterns work best with subdued volume. A pullback within a trend is a great example. Let’s say a stock is in a strong uptrend and starts to retrace slightly. Ideally, you want to see declining volume during the pullback. This suggests the selling is more about profit-taking than aggressive distribution.
Once the pullback completes and the trend resumes, volume should pick up again. If the pullback occurs on high volume, it could indicate stronger selling pressure, signalling that the uptrend might be in trouble.
A Practical Example: DXY Pullback and Breakout
Let’s apply these concepts to a real-world case. In October, the dollar index (DXY) formed a steady uptrend followed by a pullback, creating a descending channel or bull flag.
During the flag formation, average volume declined, indicating reduced selling pressure. When the price broke out, volume surged to nearly triple the 20-day average—a clear signal of strong buying interest. This breakout led to a multi-week uptrend.
DXY Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Final Thoughts
The volume histogram is a simple yet invaluable tool for traders. By applying a moving average to identify volume trends and watching for divergences between price and volume, you can gain a clearer understanding of market dynamics.
Volume isn’t just about how much activity is happening—it’s about when and how it aligns with price action. Whether you’re trading breakouts, pullbacks, or reversals, understanding volume can provide an essential layer of confirmation and help you spot potential warning signs.
Keep in mind, volume is just one piece of the puzzle. But when used correctly, it can give you a better sense of whether a price move has the backing it needs to succeed—or if it’s running on empty.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Tesla Long-Term AnalysisTesla's excellent performance and increase this month and the company's good annual trend, we can expect further increases to the first target of 500.00 and the second target of 600.00 On the other hand, these stocks can be used as a long-term investment indicator with higher goals in mind.
Sasha Charkhchian
Tesla - New Downside Move ExpectedAfter today's upward trend, a short forecast seems like a joke. Nevertheless, it can be observed that the Tesla share has cleared the liquidity in the upper Wick of January 6, 2025 at this very moment. This same liquidity is still present in the lower wicks at just over 370 dollars.
With a short trade, we are trying to profit from a renewed downward movement if the RRR is good.
TESLA - Buy the news - Fundamentals will carry us to 600$p/shareHi guys , we are looking into TESLA probably one of the hottest companies on the Stock Market.
Currently with the inauguration of US President Donald Trump, who will focus his whole mandate of 4 years onto the local economy.When he was elected at the end of last year, he came up and made a serious statement how in his last presidential campaign he was focusing on international relations and stabilizing that, but in his eyes it was taken for granted and made an extremely serious statement that he would focus on the local prospect of the U.S. Economy.
He has made it clear that he wants to give a great focus to Electric Vehicle production and increase the output. Additionally with the tariffs which are opposed to concurrent companies of TESLA , brings even more eyes to the famous U.S. based EA company. So this is why my obeserverience is that TESLA will increase quite a lot in the next couple of months.
My entry perspective:
Entry: 427
TP1: 500
TP2: 545
TP3: 604
Please do share with me what is your opinion on the current situation with TESLA and what are your analysis based on where the price is going to go!
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
GREAT LONG?!"START OF A TREND WHERE THE EMA STARTED TO BALLOON.
QUESTIONS TO ASK YOURSELF:
How does the company look fundamentally?
Has the stock shown full respect for the 50 EMA?
Has the stock created a bottom and a breakout?
Are we holding above the 20 EMA?
Trail the stop approximately 8%.
Sell 50% at overbought levels (RSI).
TSLA: Buy ideaOn TSLA as you can see on the chart we would have a hight probability to have an uptrend if only if we have the breakout with force the vwap and the resistance line by a big green candle follow by a large green volume.
