[TSLA] Tesla will continue to be strong for a long time.
Tesla will continue to be strong for a long time. If there is a correction, there will be a strong rebound in the first and second wave indicators.
TL0 trade ideas
TESLA: Money On Your Screen 2.0| Lock in Fully 200% & 135% gainsA little over a month ago, I shared a post on TradingView recommending to take partial profits on Tesla shares. Back then, my target was around the $280–$300 zone, which was reached in the middle of November. Now, Tesla has climbed even higher, almost touching the $500 level!
This year, I shared two key ideas on Tesla:
The first was in April, highlighting an optimal entry point that could yield up to +200% returns.
The second came in early August, offering a chance for a +135% gain.
If you followed these ideas and held through, it might now be the ideal time to close out the rest of your position - full close. The current price level is extraordinary. Remember again ;) - money on your screen won’t feed your family. Gains are only real when they’re realized!
What’s Next?
The $500 zone is an impressive milestone, but such levels often come with increased volatility. If you’re considering holding for the long term, have a clear plan in place. For those taking profits, congratulations on seizing the opportunity, this is the result of disciplined strategy and execution.
This rally is another example, power of technical analysis, helping identify strong entry points and key exit zones.
Cheers to everyone who joined in and made the most of this move!
Best regards,
Vaido
Tesla to the down sideTesla going down Short of the retest of the moat recent Bearish Fair Value Gap.
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX Analysis Dec. 181. Overview of Market Structure:
* TSLA is in a strong uptrend on the 1-hour and 30-minute timeframes, consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
30-minute timeframes,
* The stock currently shows minor consolidation near 471 levels after a sharp upward move.
* A corrective pullback is evident on the shorter timeframes as the price tests support levels.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
* Resistance:
* 483.99: Recent high acting as strong short-term resistance.
* 490 - 500: GEX levels highlight potential call wall resistance where significant gamma is positioned.
* Support:
* 464: Immediate support on the 1-hour chart (trendline support).
* 440: Secondary support level, reinforced by GEX 2nd Call Wall and technical significance.
3. Price Action Insights:
* TSLA has been trading within an upward channel visible on the 1-hour chart.
* Bearish divergence in MACD on the shorter timeframes (30 min and 1 hr) suggests potential short-term weakness.
* A breakdown below the trendline support at 464 could trigger a pullback toward the next major support at 440.
4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights:
* Key GEX Levels:
* 500: 2nd major CALL Wall indicating strong gamma resistance.
* 470-480: High gamma concentration zone, which may cause price stickiness in this range.
* 450-440: Gamma support zone (31.61% CALL Wall).
* 410-425: Significant PUT walls that could act as downside targets if the price reverses sharply.
* Options Oscillator:
* Calls dominate the sentiment with 126.2% CALL GEX indicating strong bullish activity.
* IVR is at 105.6, reflecting elevated implied volatility and significant short-term options activity.
5. MACD and Volume Analysis:
* MACD:
* On the 1-hour chart, the MACD shows bearish momentum building with a crossover. This indicates potential downside pressure.
* On the 30-minute chart, MACD reflects consolidation as price corrects after a sharp upward rally.
* Volume:
* Volume spikes during the upward movement but fades during pullbacks, suggesting the retracement is likely a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal.
6. Trade Setups:
Scalp Trade:
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above 473 with volume confirmation.
* Target: 480 and 483.
* Stop-loss: Below 470.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below 470 if the trendline breaks.
* Target: 464 and 450.
* Stop-loss: Above 472.
Swing/Day Trade:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Buy near support at 464-470 range with a target of 480 and 490.
* Stop-loss: Below 464.
* Bearish Scenario:
* Sell if the price breaks below 464.
* Target: 450 and 440.
* Stop-loss: Above 470.
7. Likely Direction:
* Bullish Bias remains intact as long as TSLA holds the upward trendline support near 464.
* Short-term consolidation between 470-480 may persist due to gamma stickiness in this range.
* Watch for price action around 470 for breakout or breakdown signals.
8. Actionable Suggestions:
* Scalp Buyers: Look for entries above 473 with tight stops.
* Swing Traders: Monitor the 464-470 support zone for potential buying opportunities.
* Put Sellers: Consider selling puts at 450 or 440 for premium income as gamma support builds near these levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research and manage risk before trading.
TSLA wayyyy too high! Will crash to $280-$320 rangeRSI levels are completely elevated to a point that is just not sustainable for a car company. I buy the TSLA technology and "extras" but this level of elevated prices will drop very soon once reality hits and profit takers take advantage.
Leverage TSLZ to take advantage of this nice short x2 opportunity. Best of luck and do your dd!
24/12/13 Tesla 427 USD - volcano erupted Tesla actually as an high flyer. Since end of october, the value has been doubled.
Are there any fundamental reasons, to substantiate such a move?
100% for sure not. Why?
Musk will launch next year another cheaper car. This may help to keep the piece of the market, but not to increase very higher sales in total. 2024 tesla sold end of Q3 not more cars than in 2023. last quarter .- we will see. But chinese Market is blocked by there own. See, in what a velocity china creates new companies in EV. They do it in the same way how they did it with PV Moduls.
Musk also will push the robotaxi. But he has neither a requires functionality nor a permission for such vehicles. And dont forget, amazon and google have already such cars driving. Google with her daughter with 50000 bookings per week, which will generate a lot of datas, Tesla does not have. And lot of important Tesla people in this technology leaved the company this year.
But overall: the US taxi market revenue per year is roundabout 22 B USD. Maybe 10% net earnings. Even with driverless vehicles the net earings are 30%, maximal net earnings for Tesla will be in 3-4 years maybe 70 Million USD, 10 years maybe 800 Million USD (USA, europe). Discount it with 4% and you will see …
If this robotaxi are good enough, not to buy an own car… we will see. Every man liked his own car. And if not, this business model will cannibalize the own business.
So - Tesla is fundamental overrated.
Technical side see chart.
Maybe actually prices are driven by short covering (remember Volkswagen and Mr. Merckly was driven in suicide).
So, prices now on upper bollinger boundary.
Prices extrem above SMA 40 Weeks, which was a sign for sharp correction.
And - I guess, some Short Sellers are coming onto to the floor.
But - richest man in the world is naturally at any time aible, to buy for private, for several billions. That means: Hedge funds as short sellers must have min. 10-20 B USD to fight or covered.
Dan 13.12.24
TSLA-SELL strategy weekly chart It is not for the fainthearted trading this share currently, however, it is good to place things in perspective. Pre- US-election the share was trading around $ 250 and today we are after market $ 472 per share, which represents a move of 88% of the value before the election. For sure, the leader of the pack, is bright and a visionary and has achieved incredible things, and more so, it has shaped the EV space.
Now coming down to earth, technically we are way overbought from short- to long-term, and technically trading way above KC and extremely wide BB as well. So, the choice is yours.
Strategy SELL @ $ 460-480 and take profit at $ 390 for now.
TSLZ to take advantage of TSLA dip to $280TSLA has had a nice run for about 2 months, but gravity always prevails and profit takers will push the price to about $280-300 range. You can use TSLZ to take advantage of this position IMHO!
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
TESLA BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅TESLA broke the key
Horizontal level of 412$
While trading in a strong
Uptrend so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Tesla - Ending 2024 With A Parabolic Rally!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is clearly not done for 2024:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite (or maybe even because of) the strong rally during November of 2024, Tesla is clearly not done with its bullish plans yet. Market structure, cycles and also price action are all pointing to a stronger move higher and we will see at least a retest of the previous all time highs.
Levels to watch: $420
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
IGNORE LONGS IN TESLA DEC 4 2024Tesla is not looking good. Just avoid it irrespective of it going to the moon. Stay away from tesla. Dont short as well. Just ignore Tesla.
If you any doubts feel free to leave a comment or DM me
TSLA has reached the target !! correction is coming as you can see the chart with two patterns has reached its target precisely
it is between 455-485
so you have to be careful in trading, exiting, and entering this stock 😁
personal opinion
TSLA looks like it's getting SHORT SQUEEZEDThese levels of TSLA looks elevated and don't align to fundamentals. After what appears clearly as a short squeeze, the price may come down hard to the $280-320 support levels. TSLZ could be a good upside opportunity! Best of luck and safe trading!
TSLA Technical Analysis: Gamma Exposure for Levels, Price Action1. Key Levels Identified:
* Highest Positive NETGEX (Call Resistance): $400
* Represents a strong resistance level due to the accumulation of call options. If TSLA approaches this level, market maker hedging could slow upward momentum or cause consolidation.
* Second Call Wall: $420
* Indicates additional resistance and a potential target for bullish momentum if $400 is breached.
* HVL (Hedging Volatility Level): $347.50
* A critical support area where market makers adjust hedging to neutralize exposure. Price movements near this level could lead to temporary stabilization.
* PUT Walls:
* 3rd PUT Wall: $340 (-1.37% Gamma Exposure)
* A moderate support level with notable hedging activity.
* 2nd PUT Wall: $330
* Stronger support, likely to hold unless broader market sentiment turns bearish.
2. Price Action:
* TSLA is trading around $403, testing the resistance at the $400 level. A break above $400 could push the price towards $420, while a rejection might result in a retracement towards $390 or lower.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
1. MACD:
* The MACD line is showing bullish momentum, with the histogram suggesting potential upside. However, watch for any divergence near resistance levels.
2. Stochastic RSI:
* Currently overbought, signaling potential short-term exhaustion. A downward crossover could indicate a pullback.
3. Trendlines:
* An ascending trendline supports the bullish structure, intersecting near $390. A breakdown below this trendline would invalidate the bullish momentum.
Options Strategy Plan:
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If TSLA sustains above $400:
* Call Option Entry: Strike price at $410 or $420, expiration within 1-2 weeks.
* Target: $420.
* Stop-Loss: $395.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If TSLA rejects $400 and drops below $390:
* Put Option Entry: Strike price at $380 or $370, expiration within 1-2 weeks.
* Target: $370 (next major support zone).
* Stop-Loss: $395.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* If TSLA consolidates between $390 and $400:
* Iron Condor Strategy:
* Sell a call at $410 and a put at $380.
* Buy a call at $420 and a put at $370 to limit risk.
Recommendation for Expiration Date:
* Short-Term Expiry (1-2 weeks): Best for directional trades based on breakouts or rejections from key gamma levels.
* Longer Expiry (2-3 weeks): Ideal for capturing momentum plays or wider ranges.
Summary of Gamma Insights:
* The $400 level is pivotal for TSLA. A breakout above this level aligns with gamma positioning that supports upward momentum.
* Support levels around $390 and $347.50 provide clear areas for stop-loss placement or potential reversals.
* Traders can use gamma levels to anticipate volatility spikes and align their strategies accordingly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before executing trades.
Tesla Short Till next bullish FVGTesla going down but look for reversal based on the Bullish or Bearish FVG. Follow for more in depth look.
TSLA-SELL strategy 3-Daily chart GANN SQThe share has risen far too much, and all based on hype, and forecast of $ 400.00 by some reputable institutions. So, yes price erached beyond $ 435..and now what.. is the question.
RSI is very high and should reflect the overextended BUYING of the market. GANN also suggests we see the peak below $ 446 area, hence decline feels imminent.
Strategy SELL current $ 420-440 and take profit near $ 365.00
Tesla Hits New Highs! Will Santa Bring a $500 Gift for Xmas?Tesla’s stock is delivering holiday cheer, hitting an all-time high of $436 just in time for the season. Analysts are buzzing about where Santa might steer this EV sleigh next. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the 161.8% extension suggests a gift-wrapped target of $571.93 , while the trendline forecasts a cozy $490-$530 range by New Year’s Eve.
But wait, there’s more in the stocking! Tesla’s breakout was accompanied by high trading volume, like elves working overtime in the workshop. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at a frosty 78, suggesting Tesla might need a pullback before flying higher. Analysts are chiming in, with some predicting $472 and others dreaming of even higher targets for 2025.
If things go the other direction, keep an eye out for the $390-$400 range for key support. A break below this could mean Christmas is canceled.
Will Tesla soar like Rudolph or will Jack Frost be nipping at investor's hopes? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: Tesla is the star atop this year’s stock market tree. Keep your eyes on the chart for more festive moves!
Let's sleigh the stonk market together! For more analysis and chart trends subscribe and launch that 🚀 to new all time highs!
TESLA Every pull-back is a buy opportunity. Is $1000 possible?It was almost 6 months ago (June 26, see chart below) when we made a seemingly unrealistic bullish call on Tesla (TSLA) for the time being, setting $400 as our first Target:
In fact, it was 8 months ago (April 15, see chart below) when we called Tesla's exact bottom, expecting its own 'Meta recovery moment' following lay offs of more than 10% of staff:
Obviously, you can say that you couldn't see that coming. Tesla not only broke above $400 but is about to hit the next psychological level of $500. In order to make better sense of this logarithmic rise and display it in a more effective way to you, we have borrowed some of our Bitcoin analysis tools: the Pi Cycle and the Mayer Multiple Bands.
What you see on this chart, are the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which have been key Resistance and Support levels respectively during the majority of Tesla's historic run, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which have historically been the extreme Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Tesla's major Support.
All the above are applied on Tesla's key historic pattern: a Channel Up, defined by its middle Fibonacci retracement levels (0.618, 0.5, 0.382) and its extremes, the -0.382 Fib (caught the June 2019 market bottom) and the 1.382 Fib (caught the February 2014, February 2021 and November 2021 market tops).
At the moment the price just broke above Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) and hit the 0.618 Fib. While this is a strong short-term Resistance cluster and may force some investors to take profits, every such pull-back should technically be a buy opportunity from now on, as the market as already started its Parabolic Rally phase.
As you can see both previous Parabolic Rally phases hit the 1.382 Fib extension extreme, trading on the way up considerably above the 1W MA50 and with the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) as its loose Support.
Even though another test of that extreme would take the stock to incredibly high capitalization levels and cannot be justified without an applicable expansion of their product lines (from electric vehicles to A.I. and robotics), a $700 - $1000 target range by the end of 2025, doesn't seem so unrealistic if those products hit the market with real world applications.
In any case, every break above the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) has historically started Tesla's largest rallies (exception of course the March 2020 COVID flash crash, which was quickly recovered), so plan your strategy accordingly.
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Tesla Long-Term AnalysisTesla's excellent performance and increase this month and the company's good annual trend, we can expect further increases to the first target of 500.00 and the second target of 600.00 On the other hand, these stocks can be used as a long-term investment indicator with higher goals in mind.
Sasha Charkhchian
MSTR/TSLA Pair Trading, ATR GuidedGoal : Stay in a winning trade as much as possible, while reducing trade fatigue.
Where : In a tax-free retirement account. Low risk. No options trading.
ATR Settings:
MSTR = 1HR, no noise suppression
TSLA = 90MIN, no noise suppression
Trading rules :
All in on first Buy Zone --> stay in assett until Sell Zone --> rotate if other asset is Buy Zone OR cash out and sit if both in Sell Zone
Tesla - In a possible EW flat structureTesla could be in a Elliott wave 4th wave irregular flat correction. It seems there could be a little more to go to the upside. The idea is simple: sweep liquidity from above the ATH, dump, and sweep liquidity from below where people might have put stop losses. Look for signs of distribution above the current ATH.
Not financial advice.
Sliding In December: Is Tesla (TSLA) Losing Its Spark?
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
Losing all its spark? Nah. But, we see a correction for TSLA happening this December, starting within the next 1-2 days. Why?
- It’s currently bumping into price levels we last saw in 2022, which served as a strong ceiling back then and might trigger profit-taking now.
- It's well into a Wave 5 Elliott Wave, signaling exhaustion in 4h/8h/1D timeframes.
- Overbought.
Additionally, many are noting that Tesla’s valuation feels stretched compared to its earnings and growth prospects. Analysts point out that its current price may rely on overly optimistic assumptions about future market share, tech breakthroughs, and profitability. Some also highlight that competitors are catching up, which could eat into Tesla’s premium valuation. Meanwhile, skeptics argue that the stock’s recent run has simply gotten ahead of fundamentals, and a correction might be due as more realistic expectations set in.
We see a 10% slide to the $360 range.
Let's see what December brings.
Be Alert.
Trade Green.
Tesla At $400; More Gains After PullbackHey traders, hope everyone is doing well.
Today, I will looking at Tesla stock, which as you know has impressive gains for the last few weeks, due to speculation surrounding Trump's US presidential election win and connections with Elon Musk. This has fueled expectations of easier regulations for self-driving Tesla cars.
But loking at the structure, the current rally from 340 appears to be coming out of a triangle and has now reached the 400 area. Its the key swing high from 2022 and 2021, suggesting the potential for a pullback in the coming weeks.
So I think its better to wait for the next wave (4) retracement rather than chasing the market at these levels. If a wave four pullback occurs, support could be found between 311 and 350, especially if the decline unfolds in three waves.
GH
