How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short.
Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them?
Well, there is a way...
It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line.
The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...).
So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so...
You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable.
So what I did?
I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me...
Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN.
If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN.
So either way, I WIN !
Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT !
FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too.
The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
TL0 trade ideas
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders,
🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside.
Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈
Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡.
Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵.
Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡.
Additionally
Carbon Credits and EV Policies
Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla.
EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives.
Political Connections
Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes.
🌍Industry Trends
The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1.
Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
A Bullish Bet on Tesla: Leveraging OptionsUnderstanding the Strategy:
If you're bullish on Tesla and believe it could reach $700 by March 2025, a call option strategy can be a powerful tool to amplify your potential gains.
Call Options:
A call option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy a specific number of shares of a stock at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specific date (expiration date).
Maximizing Profit:
Identify the Strike Price:
Choose a strike price that is significantly below your target price of $700. For instance, a strike price of $500 or $600 could be suitable.
Select the Expiration Date:
Choose an expiration date that aligns with your target date of March 2025. This will give the option ample time to appreciate in value.
Consider the Time Value:
The longer the time to expiration, the higher the time value of the option, which can increase its cost. Balance the need for time with potential market volatility.
Monitor the Option's Price:
As Tesla's stock price rises towards your target, the value of your call option will also increase.
Execute the Option:
If Tesla's stock price reaches your target or exceeds it before the expiration date, you can exercise the option to buy the shares at the strike price and sell them at the higher market price.
Alternatively, you can sell the option itself for a profit, especially if the time value has significantly increased.
Remember:
Risk Management: Options trading involves significant risk. It's crucial to understand the risks and only invest an amount you can afford to lose.
Volatility: High volatility in Tesla's stock price can benefit option holders, as it can increase the value of options.
Time Decay: As the expiration date approaches, the time value of the option decreases. This is known as time decay.
Consult a Financial Advisor: It's recommended to consult with a financial advisor to discuss your specific financial goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
By carefully considering these factors and employing a sound options trading strategy, you can potentially maximize your profits from a bullish bet on Tesla.
TESLA tags my Target 2 price objectiveTracking Tesla is an exhilarating experience, thanks to its significant price fluctuations, the attention it garners, and the charismatic presence of Elon Musk. The momentum of this electric vehicle powerhouse seems unstoppable.
This year has truly been a wild ride for Tesla! It started with a dramatic 30% drop in stock value during the first quarter, fueled by worries about falling revenues and challenges with vehicle profit margins. This was Tesla's toughest quarter since late 2022. However, as we look at the current situation, the company's financial and operational performance is on the upswing. The enthusiasm and optimism surrounding this stock are off the charts.
Fortunately, we successfully capitalized on the two major movements from the peak of the previous cycle in 2021, leading us to the current extraordinary surge (or perhaps more fittingly, a "Marsshot!") that both the stock and Elon are experiencing.
The start of a new bull cycleARC's 2029 $2500,00 price target with a historical perspective (see box on the far right of the chart)
“It continues to be Tesla's world, and everyone else is paying rent” ... "when you look at this AI party it's 10PM and it goes till 4AM" –Dan Ives
When in doubt, zoom out.
Musk's Infernal Prime EV PumpIn the infernal depths of Sanctuary’s marketplace, Tesla stock rises like a demon lord ascending to claim dominion. At $479, it smolders with restrained power, but the winds of hell whisper of a greater reckoning—a Hellfire Surge driving it toward the blazing peak of $640. The flames of innovation lick higher, and the Muskian sorcerer stands at the helm, summoning an army of believers to fuel the ascent.
Like a rune-etched blade, Tesla’s potential cuts through the shadows of doubt. Each EV rolling off the assembly line and each technological breakthrough is another soul harvested for its unholy cause. The naysayers—those weak cultists of skepticism—scatter as Tesla’s infernal energy ignites a Demonic Charge through the battlefield of Wall Street.
But this isn’t merely a rise; it’s a Diablo IV-worthy Musk Pump. The stock surges as though guided by the hand of the Prime Evil himself, ascending with relentless purpose to the scorching heights of $640. The question isn’t if Tesla will rise—it’s how high the flames will burn before the market bows in submission to its unstoppable power. The Lord of EVs is on the march.
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
TESLA 300 By DECEMBER Happy 4 of july !!!!!If tesla Pulls Back Hard , good Buy Area will be 205 - 215
Be Patience , Buy and Hold until December . Until 300 . i Would Sell at this point but do your own Research and take action !!
STAY PROFITABLE !!
Next year will be a lot of competition for Tesla because the Aston Martin / Lucid Deal
and NIO already taking the Chinesse market .
Have a Great 4 of July God Bless america and enjoy the Holidays !!!
Stay humble Be a better person.
CAFE CITY STUDIO COMING SOON 2024 !!
TESLA Every pull-back is a buy opportunity. Is $1000 possible?It was almost 6 months ago (June 26, see chart below) when we made a seemingly unrealistic bullish call on Tesla (TSLA) for the time being, setting $400 as our first Target:
In fact, it was 8 months ago (April 15, see chart below) when we called Tesla's exact bottom, expecting its own 'Meta recovery moment' following lay offs of more than 10% of staff:
Obviously, you can say that you couldn't see that coming. Tesla not only broke above $400 but is about to hit the next psychological level of $500. In order to make better sense of this logarithmic rise and display it in a more effective way to you, we have borrowed some of our Bitcoin analysis tools: the Pi Cycle and the Mayer Multiple Bands.
What you see on this chart, are the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which have been key Resistance and Support levels respectively during the majority of Tesla's historic run, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which have historically been the extreme Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Tesla's major Support.
All the above are applied on Tesla's key historic pattern: a Channel Up, defined by its middle Fibonacci retracement levels (0.618, 0.5, 0.382) and its extremes, the -0.382 Fib (caught the June 2019 market bottom) and the 1.382 Fib (caught the February 2014, February 2021 and November 2021 market tops).
At the moment the price just broke above Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) and hit the 0.618 Fib. While this is a strong short-term Resistance cluster and may force some investors to take profits, every such pull-back should technically be a buy opportunity from now on, as the market as already started its Parabolic Rally phase.
As you can see both previous Parabolic Rally phases hit the 1.382 Fib extension extreme, trading on the way up considerably above the 1W MA50 and with the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) as its loose Support.
Even though another test of that extreme would take the stock to incredibly high capitalization levels and cannot be justified without an applicable expansion of their product lines (from electric vehicles to A.I. and robotics), a $700 - $1000 target range by the end of 2025, doesn't seem so unrealistic if those products hit the market with real world applications.
In any case, every break above the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) has historically started Tesla's largest rallies (exception of course the March 2020 COVID flash crash, which was quickly recovered), so plan your strategy accordingly.
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TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX Analysis Dec. 181. Overview of Market Structure:
* TSLA is in a strong uptrend on the 1-hour and 30-minute timeframes, consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
30-minute timeframes,
* The stock currently shows minor consolidation near 471 levels after a sharp upward move.
* A corrective pullback is evident on the shorter timeframes as the price tests support levels.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
* Resistance:
* 483.99: Recent high acting as strong short-term resistance.
* 490 - 500: GEX levels highlight potential call wall resistance where significant gamma is positioned.
* Support:
* 464: Immediate support on the 1-hour chart (trendline support).
* 440: Secondary support level, reinforced by GEX 2nd Call Wall and technical significance.
3. Price Action Insights:
* TSLA has been trading within an upward channel visible on the 1-hour chart.
* Bearish divergence in MACD on the shorter timeframes (30 min and 1 hr) suggests potential short-term weakness.
* A breakdown below the trendline support at 464 could trigger a pullback toward the next major support at 440.
4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights:
* Key GEX Levels:
* 500: 2nd major CALL Wall indicating strong gamma resistance.
* 470-480: High gamma concentration zone, which may cause price stickiness in this range.
* 450-440: Gamma support zone (31.61% CALL Wall).
* 410-425: Significant PUT walls that could act as downside targets if the price reverses sharply.
* Options Oscillator:
* Calls dominate the sentiment with 126.2% CALL GEX indicating strong bullish activity.
* IVR is at 105.6, reflecting elevated implied volatility and significant short-term options activity.
5. MACD and Volume Analysis:
* MACD:
* On the 1-hour chart, the MACD shows bearish momentum building with a crossover. This indicates potential downside pressure.
* On the 30-minute chart, MACD reflects consolidation as price corrects after a sharp upward rally.
* Volume:
* Volume spikes during the upward movement but fades during pullbacks, suggesting the retracement is likely a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal.
6. Trade Setups:
Scalp Trade:
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above 473 with volume confirmation.
* Target: 480 and 483.
* Stop-loss: Below 470.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below 470 if the trendline breaks.
* Target: 464 and 450.
* Stop-loss: Above 472.
Swing/Day Trade:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Buy near support at 464-470 range with a target of 480 and 490.
* Stop-loss: Below 464.
* Bearish Scenario:
* Sell if the price breaks below 464.
* Target: 450 and 440.
* Stop-loss: Above 470.
7. Likely Direction:
* Bullish Bias remains intact as long as TSLA holds the upward trendline support near 464.
* Short-term consolidation between 470-480 may persist due to gamma stickiness in this range.
* Watch for price action around 470 for breakout or breakdown signals.
8. Actionable Suggestions:
* Scalp Buyers: Look for entries above 473 with tight stops.
* Swing Traders: Monitor the 464-470 support zone for potential buying opportunities.
* Put Sellers: Consider selling puts at 450 or 440 for premium income as gamma support builds near these levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research and manage risk before trading.