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Tesla’s Autonomous AmbitionsMusk’s Vision vs. Reality: Tesla’s Path to Revolutionizing Transportation Tesla recently experienced its best trading day since 2013, with the stock soaring 23% following the release of its Q3 earnings report. While the financial results were solid, investors are largely drawn to Elon Musk’s ambitious vision for autonomy a vision that presents significant challenges but holds substantial potential Tesla’s rebound in deliveries, higher profit margins, and an unexpected forecast projecting 20% to 30% sales growth for next year reinvigorated investor confidence after a somewhat muted response to the October 10th 'We, Robot' event The event showcased new products like the highly anticipated Cybercab (robotaxi) and Optimus (a humanoid robot) Despite the excitement, the presentation lacked detailed information, causing Tesla’s stock to decline by nearly 10% the following day Despite being over 20 years old, the investment appeal of Tesla is still driven more by its future potential than its current state. Musk envisions mass-producing autonomous vehicles and robots, aspiring to make Tesla the largest company globally. Traditional valuation models based on recent performance can’t fully capture this long term vision Tesla’s journey can’t be understood in isolation Just three days after the 'We, Robot' event, SpaceX successfully launched its Starship spacecraft for the fifth time. The SpaceX “chopsticks” system successfully caught the Super Heavy booster after liftoff a crucial step toward making the booster completely reusable. This breakthrough could transform space travel by significantly reducing turnaround times and reshaping cost structures. Elon Musk, at the helm of both Tesla and SpaceX, has a talent for transforming bold ideas into reality. SpaceX’s success in making rockets reusable has drastically reduced the cost of space travel, demonstrating that affordability can drive broader adoption. This strategy mirrors Tesla’s vision for autonomous vehicles: by creating self-driving cars like the Cybercab, Tesla aims to reshape transportation with similar cost-efficiency principles. However, as with any disruptive technology, the range of possible outcomes is vast. A balanced perspective considers Musk’s track record while acknowledging that his timelines can often be highly optimistic. In 2021, Benedict Evans described Musk as “a bullshitter who delivers.” Whether Tesla’s vision for full autonomy will come to fruition remains uncertain, and fully autonomous fleets could still be years away. Nonetheless, Musk’s accomplishments with SpaceX add weight to Tesla’s ambitions, granting him credibility in the eyes of many. The question remains: Will Musk’s ambitious autonomy vision fully take shape? Today’s highlights: - Tesla Q3 FY24 Results - Key takeaways from the 'We, Robot' event - Notable quotes from the earnings call - Insights on Waymo, Uber, and the future of ridesharing Tesla Q3 FY24 Overview Tesla’s revenue is primarily generated from three segments 1. Automotive (80% of revenue): This includes the sale of electric vehicles, such as models S, 3, X, Y, and the Cybertruck. 2. Services and Other (11% of revenue): This segment encompasses vehicle services, the Supercharger network, and sales of automotive parts and accessories. 3.Energy Generation and Storage (9% of revenue): Revenue from solar products and energy storage solutions like the Solar Roof and Powerwall. Key Metrics for Q3 FY24: -Production: 470,000 vehicles produced (+9% YoY, +14% QoQ). -Deliveries: 463,000 vehicles delivered (+6% YoY, +4% QoQ), which was slightly below analysts’ expectations of 464,000 and fell short of the Q4 2023 record of 484,000 deliveries. Despite price cuts over the last two years, Tesla’s auto sales growth has leveled off. Financial Highlights: -Revenue: $25.2 billion, an 8% YoY increase but fell short of expectations by $0.5 billion. -Gross Margin: 20% (+2 percentage points QoQ and YoY). -Operating Margin: 11% (+5 percentage points QoQ, +3 percentage points YoY). -Adjusted EPS: $0.72, beating estimates by $0.12. Gross Margin Insights: -Automotive Gross Margin: 17% (excluding regulatory credits), up from 15% in Q2 and 16% a year earlier. The cost per vehicle dropped to an all-time low of $35,100. Notably, the Cybertruck achieved a positive gross margin for the first time. The automotive segment included $326 million in software revenue. -Services and Other Gross Margin: Reached 9%, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of positive margins and a new record high. -Energy Generation and Storage Gross Margin: The highest margin segment at 31%, also hitting a record high. Overall, while Tesla faced some delivery shortfalls and plateauing auto sales, it managed to improve profitability across its segments, with key milestones in cost reductions and positive trends in gross margins. Tesla’s Margins and Cash Flow Performance Tesla’s industry-leading margins are driven by three major advantages: 1.Economies of Scale: Achieved through its expansive gigafactories. 2.Direct-to-Consumer Sales**: Tesla sells directly online and through its showrooms, bypassing traditional dealership networks. 3.Low Marketing Costs: Tesla spends very little on advertising compared to traditional automakers. While Tesla expects its margins to expand over time due to growth in its non-automotive segments and software sales, its automotive margins have been pressured by price cuts in the last two years to sustain demand. Cash Flow Highlights: -Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 89%, reaching $6.3 billion -Free Cash Flow**: Jumped by 223%, hitting $2.7 billion These cash flow figures stood out in the quarterly report, demonstrating Tesla’s ability to fund its ambitious plans for autonomy despite heavy investments in AI. Guidance 1.FY24 Improvement: Tesla now expects slight growth in vehicle deliveries for FY24 (previous guidance indicated “notably lower” growth), implying a record-setting Q4 to make up for a weaker first half. Energy storage deployment is projected to more than double. 2.FY25 Outlook Surprise: During the earnings call, Musk forecasted 20% to 30% delivery growth in FY25, surpassing market expectations. A new, more affordable model is anticipated to launch in the first half of FY25, potentially easing investor concerns about competition. 3.New Product Strategy: The upcoming affordable vehicles in 2025 will be based on Tesla’s existing platform, indicating less dramatic cost reductions than previously suggested. However, the Robotaxi will bring a fresh manufacturing strategy. Key Takeaways 1.Volumes Rebounded: After a 7% decline in deliveries during the first half of 2024, volumes recovered in Q3. Prices have stabilized, and Tesla’s focus on reducing unit costs contributed to improved automotive gross margins. Management’s priorities remain on unit volume and maintaining low inventory levels. 2.More than Just EVs: Non-automotive segments, such as Energy and Services, accounted for 20% of Tesla’s revenue this quarter, up from 16% a year ago. Likewise, these segments contributed about 20% of Tesla’s gross margin, nearly double from the previous year. As these segments grow, their impact on Tesla’s profitability will become increasingly significant. 3.Operating Margin Gains: Improved by 3 percentage points year-over-year: -Negative Impact: Price cuts, mainly due to financing incentives. -Positive Impact**: Lower costs per vehicle, growth in non-auto segments, FSD revenue, increased deliveries, and higher regulatory credit revenue. 4.Free Cash Flow Surge: Doubled sequentially to $2.7 billion. Capital expenditures increased by 43% to $3.5 billion, largely driven by investments in AI infrastructure. Tesla plans to spend over $10 billion on AI this year. 5.Strong Balance Sheet: Tesla maintains a net cash position of nearly $30 billion, which management believes provides ample liquidity to support its product roadmap and sustain positive cash flow margins. We, Robot’ Event Takeaways Key insights from the recent announcements include: - Cybercab (Robotaxi): Tesla introduced the much-awaited Cybercab, a sleek two-seater, but key technical details—such as sensor configurations and processing capabilities—were notably absent. Musk’s decision to forgo lidar technology, a feature commonly used by competitors like Waymo, could potentially raise regulatory concerns about safety and compliance. 1.Optimus (Humanoid Robot): While the Optimus robots were a hit at the event, performing tasks like serving drinks and dancing, this entertaining display overshadowed the reality of how far the technology is from practical use. Reports indicated that the robots were primarily operated by humans, raising questions about their actual autonomous capabilities and readiness for industrial applications. 2.Robovan: A surprise announcement was the debut of the Robovan, a versatile vehicle intended for both mass transit and cargo transport. Its stylish Art Deco-inspired design drew attention, but like the Cybercab, it lacked concrete details or technical insights to convince analysts that the product is close to entering production. The presentation didn’t provide enough information to quell investor skepticism about its feasibility. 3. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress: Elon Musk projected that Tesla’s FSD technology would achieve full autonomy by 2026, with the Cybercab and current models (like the Model 3 and Model Y) spearheading this effort in Texas and California. However, Musk’s history of ambitious FSD promises has been met with ongoing skepticism, and this presentation did little to change that. No new safety data or significant updates were provided to address reliability concerns, leaving regulatory and safety issues unresolved. Tesla still faces significant challenges in proving its FSD capabilities are ready for public use without human oversight and in obtaining regulatory approval at both federal and state levels. 4.Market Reaction: Analysts expressed mixed feelings about the event. While some found the futuristic concepts inspiring, others noted the lack of substantial progress and the vague nature of Musk’s promises. This left investors questioning how close Tesla truly is to achieving its autonomy and robotics goals. For many, the event leaned more towards spectacle than solid evidence of progress. Shareholder Deck Updates 1.Supercharger Network: Tesla’s Supercharger Network received widespread industry support, with most automakers now adopting Tesla’s North American Charging Standard (NACS). This acceptance is likely to boost Tesla’s Services segment and improve its margins in the long term. The number of Supercharger stations increased by 20% year-over-year to 6,706. Tesla also rehired some of the nearly 500 Supercharger team members who had been laid off earlier in the year, indicating renewed focus on this segment. 2.Market Share: Tesla’s market share remained steady in North America and Europe on a sequential basis, but saw a noticeable improvement in China, signaling stronger competitiveness in the region. These details paint a picture of a company with promising ambitions but facing significant challenges in bringing its bold visions to reality. Investors will be watching closely for concrete progress and clearer timelines moving forward. Key Updates from the Earnings Call Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress - Tesla has surpassed 2 billion miles driven using its FSD (supervised) technology, which forms a core part of the company’s data advantage. This milestone underpins Tesla’s long-term autonomy thesis. Additionally, Tesla launched **FSD version 12.5** and introduced the Actually Smart Summon feature, enabling vehicles to autonomously drive to their owners in parking lots. AI Training Capacity - Musk shared that Tesla expects to have **nearly 90,000 H100 clusters dedicated to AI training** by the end of the year, enhancing the company’s machine learning capabilities. Energy Storage Deployments - Tesla deployed **6.9 GWh of energy storage** in Q3, although this fell short of the record 9.4 GWh achieved in Q2. The 40 GWh Megafactory in Lathrop is ramping up production, reaching 200 Megapacks in a single week. The **Shanghai Megafactory** is set to start shipping Megapacks in Q1 2025 with a run rate of 20 GWh. Tesla noted that energy deployments are inherently lumpy due to factors such as customer readiness and geographic order locations. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call Elon on the Cybercab: - “I do feel confident of Cybercab reaching volume production in ‘26. We’re aiming for at least 2 million units a year, maybe 4 million ultimately.” Musk envisions the Cybercab becoming a global, high-volume autonomous vehicle service. However, achieving this scale requires overcoming two major challenges: delivering level 5 autonomy at a competitive cost and navigating regulatory approval across regions with varying laws, road conditions, and weather considerations. - Musk also dismissed the notion of a regular low-cost model, stating, “I think having a regular $ 25,000 model* is pointless.” He emphasized focusing on the Cybercab as a generational leap forward. Musk on FSD: - “Our internal estimate is **Q2 of next year** to be safer than human and then to continue with rapid improvements thereafter.” He expressed confidence that full autonomy could be achieved in 2025 with existing vehicle models, although regulatory hurdles and safety standards remain significant barriers. On Tesla’s Ridesharing App - Tesla is already testing a *ridesharing capability* in the Bay Area for employees, with safety drivers currently in place. Musk anticipates launching the service for the public in California and Texas next year, pending regulatory approval. He added, “**I’d be shocked if we don’t get approval next year**,” but acknowledged that regulatory timelines are out of Tesla’s control. Musk on Optimus: - “We’re the only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots.” He believes that the *Optimus robot* could become the “most valuable product ever made,” owing to Tesla’s combined AI and manufacturing advantages. However, the product remains at an early development stage and will likely take years to fully commercialize. On Tesla’s Valuation: - Musk reiterated his bold prediction: “Tesla will become the most valuable company in the world and probably by a long shot” He argued that Tesla’s strategic focus on future advancements in energy, transport, robotics, and AI sets it apart from competitors who are only targeting short-term trends. Waymo, Uber, and Rideshare Future There are two distinct paths to achieving full autonomy 1.Waymo’s Approach: Waymo focuses on highly structured, geo-fenced environments with extensive pre-mapping and sensor-based systems like lidar to ensure safety. 2.Tesla’s Approach: Tesla aims to develop a generalized self-driving system that works with computer vision and AI, relying on its fleet’s extensive data advantage and scaling software improvements. However, Tesla’s reluctance to use lidar technology and regulatory challenges could hinder its timeline for achieving level 5 autonomy. These differing strategies highlight the varied paths to delivering a future of autonomous transportation, with each approach facing unique technical and regulatory hurdles. Levels of Autonomy - Tesla's FSD (Supervised): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving system remains at **Level 2**, meaning it still requires driver supervision to operate. In contrast, **Waymo** operates at **Level 4** in certain cities, where its vehicles can drive without human intervention, albeit under specific conditions. -Jumping Levels: Musk’s vision for the Cybercab aims to skip from Level 2 to **Level 5 autonomy**, which implies no need for human input at all—a huge leap. Technology Approach -Tesla’s Strategy: Tesla relies on a **camera and AI-only approach**, focusing on software and data scalability rather than expensive hardware. Musk’s bet is that advanced software can eventually solve all driving scenarios. - Waymo’s Strategy: Waymo uses a **hardware-intensive model** with a combination of LiDAR, radar, and cameras**, providing highly precise navigation. However, the reliance on multiple sensors leads to higher production costs per vehicle, around **$200,000** each. Scaling Challenges -Waymo’s Limitation: The high cost of Waymo's vehicles has hindered its ability to scale quickly, while Tesla plans to leverage its extensive fleet data to improve its autonomous systems over time. -Tesla’s Repeated Delays: Despite its aspirations, Tesla’s full autonomy timeline has faced numerous delays. Scaling quickly while achieving robust and safe autonomy remains a significant challenge for the company. Safety and Regulation -Waymo’s Approach: Waymo has built trust with regulators by deploying vehicles cautiously in select cities and prioritizing safety, but its operations remain limited geographically. -Tesla’s Regulatory Hurdles: The Cybercab’s design lacks traditional controls like steering wheels and pedals, raising concerns about regulatory approval. These changes could face substantial scrutiny, particularly if safety standards require features Tesla’s design omits. Tesla and Uber: Competitors or Partners? -Potential Partnership: Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi found the Cybercab vision "pretty compelling" and didn’t dismiss the possibility of a collaboration. Uber already partners with Waymo to offer autonomous rides in cities like **Phoenix, Atlanta, and Austin**. Khosrowshahi’s openness to partnership means there’s potential for Tesla's Cybercab fleet owners to list their vehicles on Uber to boost earnings. -Hybrid Model: By leveraging Uber’s vast network, Tesla could quickly gain scale in local markets, especially given Uber’s capability to serve diverse customer needs. This could lead to a hybrid model where Tesla’s autonomous vehicles are available on Uber alongside other options. Regulatory Challenges: An Obstacle to Elon’s Vision ? -Waymo’s Critique: Former Waymo CEO John Krafcik criticized the Cybercab, highlighting its impracticality for a large-scale robotaxi business. Waymo’s approach focuses on accessibility and safety with taller vehicles and high-mounted sensors, whereas Tesla’s design was light on crucial technical details. -Possible Lidar Mandate: Krafcik also noted that if regulators eventually require LiDAR technology for safety compliance, Tesla’s camera-only approach could face a significant setback. Regulatory decisions are beyond Tesla’s control and could fundamentally reshape its autonomy strategy. -Musk’s Political Maneuvering: Musk’s political activities and controversies could complicate Tesla’s regulatory relations. Building strong connections with regulators is critical, given their power to greenlight or halt the Cybercab’s deployment. Final Thoughts The coming years will be pivotal for Tesla as it strives to overcome both techno logical and regulatory challenges. The success of Tesla’s autonomy plans hinges not just on its technological progress but also on its ability to navigate complex and varied regulatory frameworks worldwide. Whether Musk’s bold vision for full autonomy becomes a realityor remains a distant dream will depend on a combination of innovative breakthroughs and the company’s capacity to gain and maintain regulatory approval. Are you Moonish on Tesla or not?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by moonypto
Analyzing Tesla's Meteoric Rise: A 22% Surge and Musk's OptimistTesla's stock experienced a dramatic surge of 22% on Thursday, marking its most significant single-day gain in over a decade. This extraordinary performance was fueled by a better-than-anticipated earnings report and CEO Elon Musk's bullish projections for the company's future growth. The electric vehicle (EV) giant's third-quarter profit margins were bolstered by a substantial $739 million in revenue generated from environmental regulatory credits. This unexpected windfall contributed to the company's overall financial performance and further fueled investor optimism. However, the primary catalyst behind Tesla's stock surge was Musk's optimistic outlook for 2025. The Tesla CEO expressed his belief that the company's vehicle growth could reach an impressive 20% to 30% next year, surpassing the 15% growth rate anticipated by analysts. This bold prediction ignited investor enthusiasm and sent Tesla's stock soaring. The impact of Tesla's stock surge was not limited to the company's market valuation. Elon Musk's wealth also experienced a significant boost, increasing Tesla's Meteoric Rise: A 22% Surge and Musk's Optimistic Outlook by approximately $26 billion. As a result, Musk's net worth now stands at nearly $270 billion, solidifying his position as one of the world's wealthiest individuals. Tesla's remarkable performance on Thursday can be attributed to several key factors: • Strong Earnings Report: The company's better-than-expected earnings report demonstrated its ability to deliver solid financial results, even amidst challenging market conditions. • Regulatory Credit Revenue: The unexpected revenue from environmental regulatory credits provided a significant boost to the company's bottom line. • Musk's Optimistic Outlook: Elon Musk's bullish projections for 2025 growth instilled confidence in investors and fueled expectations for continued strong performance. • Investor Sentiment: Positive investor sentiment surrounding Tesla's innovative technology, strong brand reputation, and growing market share contributed to the stock's surge. • While Tesla's recent performance has been impressive, it is important to note that the company still faces several challenges. These include intensifying competition from other EV manufacturers, supply chain disruptions, and potential economic headwinds. Additionally, Tesla's reliance on regulatory credits for revenue could diminish as stricter emissions regulations are implemented. Despite these challenges, Tesla remains a dominant force in the EV industry. The company's technological advancements, strong brand loyalty, and expanding global presence position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles. As Tesla continues to innovate and execute on its ambitious growth plans, it is likely to remain a key player in the automotive industry for years to come. In conclusion, Tesla's 22% stock surge on Thursday was a testament to the company's strong financial performance, Elon Musk's optimistic outlook, and positive investor sentiment. While challenges remain, Tesla's innovative spirit and strong market position make it a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to embrace the risks associated with the EV industry.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by bryandowningqln
TSLA CHART ART BECAUSE IF YOU DON'T CELLE EARLY THEN WHY GO BIG?I'm honestly so bullish on trends for DOGE and TSLA and spaceX, which has seemingly allowed amazon to stabilize in a way that I could even see use with APPLE, AMD, even MSFT. Free X with purchase of a DOGE? haha don't count out AR and MOOOVIES or marbles, I mean marballs or ya know super stuff. Say I'm not consistent with DOGE coin and TSLA and I'll call bullshit any day of the week, bet on that. I do literally vow that a doge will keep the markets free fair and X rated for FREE speech, and then charge the F out of those that can pay. Like logically thinking if DOGE was a high price and say, another assets class like BTC or ETH, was crashing to a low, ya know, sell your DOGE coin for 420 and maybe even higher like $12000. Advertising is cheap compared to that, DM warren Buffet and ask how much money coke spends on advertising, I think cola X could maybe genetically modify sugar for taste but safety given such a huge discount on advertising, there is a lot of money to drop into education and rail and shipping and so many more. the future is AMAZING X in a big forest of DOGE. If say Cola and other companies bought DOGE for 12k per coin, could the price go higher? 42,069. Zero because a good idea is a good idea even if you have no idea who a person is but believe in an outcome that seems inevitable, likely, ironic and literal? OH MAN if DOGE WENT THAT HIGH and big companies bought the dip and you sold at a really high price, you maybe could ask, should I look at other coins like BTC and ETH that project bearish all the sudden, or maybe you like time in over timing a market and you say, DOGE is long term. Bumpy, maybe at times, but lasting. Like millions of years maybe. Time works slightly different in space. Send a coin up to space like 5 years ago and it could return 12 years later having seen "X" years pass on, like does that count as time travel? What even is time travel but letting an investment grow in space for a long time when maybe only a short time passes on earth or do I reverse that thought. Oh well, I'm just a dumb insect creature named crazy guy 42069 twitterdogeX and believe that if the charts say it's possible, it can all the sudden be possible. I wish for exactly what I deserve. The best wish. I fee from fines, in the words or Mark, fuck it. You should know what I know, which is nothing other than a long term opinion, and an objective look at why doesn't someone get in more trouble for saying things on TWitter about DOGE price and Tsla price and taking a company private. Like are they giving you a 5 year warning of intention saying that if you think critically and occasionally call a short sell dumb, and seeing that price isn't out of reality at 420.69 for either asset. Doge obviously more explosive, and rightfully so, EVEN Bezos probably likes Dogs, and value can definitely be there with Amazon, and continue to fund projects like massive clocks and space venture, space is so big you can have multiple companies do things in different directions. Russia and Venus seems worth exploring and SpaceX is going to mars, and China like the moon, Blue origin maybe takes us to pluto with your long term thinking. Bet you can't get there before Elon colonizes a new planet, call it MarsX. Idk X is a letter that could just attach so many places and fit microtransactions that aren't stupidly overpriced or just ya know buy low sell high if that is your thing. Me, I'm thinking I like DOGE coin so much, might see what else it can be used for once it rolls out. You can view a lot of my doge tinfoil hat stuff right here on tradingview where it all has been just sitting waiting for a curious person to ask questions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by nicktussing77
1
Frankly !!NASDAQ:TSLA is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle. Tesla is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally. ⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD). Tesla shares in Frankfurt rose by 12% on Thursday, reaching a two-week high, as strong sales forecasts pleased investors. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, predicted on Wednesday that car sales would grow by 20 to 30% next year, reassuring investors that Tesla is improving its core electric vehicle business and alleviating concerns about the production timeline of a taxi robot . However, last night Tesla shares again failed to meet expectations and reported lower earnings. The only slight improvement was in dividend distribution. But due to Elon Musk's repeated promises of improved production, similar to previous periods, its stock will open with a surge today. Each time, he has given the same assurance but failed to deliver on it !! previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CobraVanguard
5
Tesla boosts margins and surprises with strong quarterShares of Tesla (Ticker AT: TSLA.US) surged more than 11% following the release of its third-quarter results, which beat investor expectations. The company highlighted by breaking its streak of four consecutive quarters of missing earnings per share (EPS) estimates, driven by a significant improvement in its margins. During the earnings call, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the achievement of a record quarter, attributing the growth to lower manufacturing costs and Cybertruck achieving a positive gross margin for the first time. In addition, Tesla boosted revenue thanks to the sale of regulatory credits and rapid growth in its energy storage business. Technical: After a bearish month retreating -19.22% from its value at $265.11 to $212.16 on the 23rd, yesterday's trading generated a bullish gap up candle that has recovered its price to $260.48. The stock is at the high end of a long term bearish range, we will see if the company pierces $278.00 to show that the company's management is really taking market leadership. The control point of the price bell of the company is clearly located around $253. The average crosses show us that the 50 average has used the 200 average as support to generate the candlestick represented yesterday, we will see if this movement develops in an expansive way. The RSI shows an advance of the stock to an overbought level of 64.90%, so this price evolution could extend for a while. Positive outlook for the future Musk reaffirmed that the company will launch more affordable models in the first half of 2025 and expects overall production to grow by 20% to 30% next year. In addition, Tesla plans to accelerate Cybertruck production in 2026, while autonomous driving technology (FSD) will surpass human safety levels by the second quarter of 2025. Ride-hailing service is also expected to be available in Texas and California next year. Despite the enthusiasm of many analysts, some such as Bill Maurer warn that Tesla's high valuation remains a concern, along with increasing competition in the electric vehicle and robotaxi market. Other market events: • Boeing faces cash flow problems due to strikes. • Amazon introduces fuel discounts for Prime members. • Asian market showed mixed performance while US futures point to a positive S&P 500. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ActivTrades
1
BULLISH ON TESLA?Tesla is showing on the weekly timeframe it is properly touching the Bearish trendline. Tomorrow will define if it breaks the trendline or reverse. I am bullish currently with Tesla going up to $301 but only if during the 1 min timeframe it indicate it is going up to the previous day high. If it shows any sign of retracement at trendline, I have expectations to drop to the previous pivot around $216 before attempting another run. Question is, are the buyers exhausting for tomorrow?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by soymundo21
Will TSLA "sell the rip and buy the dip"? TA for Oct.25, 2025Technical Analysis Resistance Levels: $264.87: This is the high from the most recent surge, which may act as a strong resistance level if the stock continues its upward momentum. $262.10: Also a recent high that was tested and might serve as short-term resistance, especially given the quick rally. Support Levels: $249.89: This is a significant level based on past consolidation, which can act as a support if the stock retraces. $230.17 and $223.80: These represent deeper supports from prior levels of accumulation, especially during the run-up. If a pullback occurs, these levels could provide bounce points. Price Action: TSLA had a notable gap up with strong buying volume, as shown by the large green candles and rising volume bars. The MACD is positive, but it shows a slight slowing in momentum. Given the stock’s recent run, traders might start taking profits, leading to short-term pullbacks. Volume: Volume spiked significantly during the price increase, which is typical in earnings-related rallies. However, such moves can be unsustainable in the short term, and without continued buying pressure, we may see a temporary reversal or sideways consolidation. Trader Psychology FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Given the massive rally post-earnings, many retail traders who didn’t participate earlier may rush in at higher prices, hoping for a continuation. This could create choppy price action as traders buying at the top get nervous and start exiting if the stock doesn’t immediately keep rising. Profit-Taking: Institutional traders or large investors may be inclined to lock in gains after such a strong move. This could lead to short-term sell pressure. If tomorrow opens with a gap down, it might trigger additional selling as traders seek to protect their profits from the recent rally. Overconfidence: After such a sharp rally, some traders may overestimate the stock's ability to keep climbing, possibly buying at resistance levels without considering the broader market conditions. This creates the risk of buying exhaustion, leading to pullbacks. Tomorrow's Outlook Bullish Case: If TSLA breaks above $264.87 with strong volume, it could test higher levels, with potential to run into the $270 range. This scenario would likely require continuation of the buying momentum from today. Bearish Case: If TSLA fails to break resistance at $262.10 or $264.87, it may pull back to the $249.89 support level. Profit-taking could lead to a deeper correction down to $230 if the selling intensifies. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading carries risk, and you should be aware of the potential for loss.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBear-Insights
Tesla why $303 is a price with high probabilityTESLA - I can bore you with many lines of text, and assert why Tesla will pop super hard, Up, from hear to earnings and after. But I can convey to you the same level of urgency, with more granularity, with the attached Image of the chart.... The fundamentals are incredible, strong, powerful. Elon backing Trump has secured for free, massive advertising for the brand at a global level. The popularity of Tesla, Elon, Spacex, and Trump, are going through the roof. This is value added to the Tesla shares that is not part of GAAP. This value does translate into sales, have no doubt.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by imcnf5c4ff
Tesla Net Income IncreaseTesla’s third-quarter net income rose 17.3% as electric vehicle sales increased for the first time this year. The company reported a $2.17 billion profit, up from $1.85 billion in the same period of 2023. Despite price cuts and low-interest financing, it was Tesla’s first profit increase in 2024. Revenue rose 7.8% to $25.18 billion, but missed Wall Street's estimate of $25.47 billion. Tesla earned 72 cents per share, beating the 59 cents expected by analysts. Given the strong earnings growth and improving sales, Tesla’s stock price has potential for further increase, possibly reaching its previous high. This is not a financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Charts_M7M
4
TESLA Have today's upbeat earnings erased the Robotaxi disaster?Tesla (TSLA) reported yesterday third-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates and said it expects to achieve "slight" growth in deliveries this year. This was enough to send the price in an after-market frenzy and so far in-session rising almost by +20%. In fact, Tesla's market cap has increased by $126B today, the largest single day jump ever! Those earnings may prove to be pivotal for the automaker as they come just a few days after the Robotaxi event, which the market considered disappointing. So can those earnings result be enough to reverse Tesla's fortunes, which has been massively underperforming relative to (particularly) the rest of the Magnificent 7? Well this can be answered through a technical perspective, with a chart that we published more than 2 months ago (August 15, see chart below): That was Tesla's Channel Up since the January 06 2023 market bottom on the 1W time-frame, where we caught a buy just after the August 2024 Low. We projected that to be halfway through the new long-term Bullish Leg of the Channel. The recent October correction can be viewed as the April 24 2023 2nd wave of the mid-term pull-back of the Bullish Leg. On the current analysis we view the same pattern but on the 1D time-frame, where the 1D MACD in particular excels at illustrating the identical nature of the two Bullish Legs price actions. Right now the MACD is forming the 2nd clean Bullish Cross under the Lower Highs belt, a formation which on May 04 2023 turned out to be the confirmation that started the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg that completed a +195% rise from the January 2023 bottom. As a result, not only do we expect the stock to reach Resistance 1 (299.50), which is the July 19 2023 High before the year ends but also test Resistance 2 (385.00), which is the April 05 2022 High by January 2025. Our Target long-term remains a straight up $380.00 as we pointed out those months back. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
3
Tesla Weekly to 4 Hour Deep Analysis EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOWMorning Trading Family Tesla broke out of the zone we expected it would with a quick fake for the bears then the positive news punched Tesla up like no tomorrow. Today I break Tesla down into the nitty gritty using all the tools to give you levels to look out for in the coming days. Overall Tesla can hit 300 and beyond but we have a few levels to hit before we get there. Enjoy the video If you liked this content, follow, like, share and boost: truly grateful for your time and your comments Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading