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XMRUSD trade ideas

Head and Shoulders formation on MoneroXMR is one of my favorite projects and so I kinda feel bad shorting it but there is no virtue in losing money in the market as a trader. Often on charting you can look left to right to see what is going on but to get the best understanding I am going to go through how this chart actually developed so you can see it as I do. The purple trendline has been on my radar for literally years and I was very excited to see it turn into support in early 2021. From there rather than develop a bullish pattern I see instead a bearish pattern develop, a massive seven month long head and shoulders and I see that purple line has roughly failed as support. Given my overall sentiment that crypto is bearish I am looking to short. The Fibs set up my target setting from the a low on a rough neckline to the top of the head. There is a lot of wicking going on and so if price action breaks down and then has a relief rally a truer look at what the neckline was may be determined by the peak of that relief rally. Next up is some volume analysis to verify the fib target. I chose just before the formation of the purple trendline. Picking the Volume profile is bit of an art and that worked for me. This visible range lets us see the 1.618 is at a high volume node. Given the low volume node right below it we have to possible scenarios either we consolidate there, get above the Upper Value Area and probably set a new all time high, or we progress to the high volume node at around $50. A look at the moving averages shows that the $100 target is at the 300 week SMA, not a traditional SMA target. At that time frame and length the 300SMA is basically the 300 EMA as well. A look at the Monthly Keltner channel suggest that we could get really close to $70 by the time this bear market is over. That would make this whole formation a massive consolidation channel. Here is the formation I am using for my short entry. At 189 my margin sell order at 188 will be placed on the books. After that I will look at setting my take profit and stop losses.
POLONIEX:XMRUSDShort
by This_Guhy
4
XMRUSD analysis (request for jreback)This was more of a request from another member @jreback Just to be clear I'm not trading this market right now. First thing I see is the ascending wedge that formed back at the start of July, this is one of the only types of Break out patterns I trade to the Upside as it generally offers great Risk to Reward and fast price action with very little market structure to clear to the left. How ever the failure on the squeeze saw selling pressure take over and win this battle so more downside coming. Current market structure is a slow bleed as we find new lows, the support level marked is formed from structure back on the uptrend a few months ago. One thing i noticed is the large volume spike over the last few days didnt really have the price action you woul expect and noticing 5 short candles with large wicks to the upside tells me a lot of that volume spiking is sellers pushing price down as there is obviously a large supply at that level. Im assuming this may continue to bleed lower over the next week or so and would look for a new reaction on the candles when coming to that support level around 171. Watch those 2 small circle areas from the lower support of this range, an early break could see a much faster drop imo.
XShort
by DeNomics
Monero at exciting levelsMonero is at some very exciting levels. Fundamentally it is off the ATH quite a bit and if you are into buying and stacking in cold storage, it can be a great level if you are a believer. As a trade, it is at an exciting and also psychological level of $200. Some people want to play it short, that makes sense looking at the technical analysis and breaking below 200. However once you mix it with the fundamental analysis, personal belief in the coin, the project behind it, the huge community it has, all indicators are shouting BUY. That is not to say it can't go lower, be careful if it breaks and have stop losses in place. As a personal long term play, I am adding more Monero to my portfolio and if it drops I will add more. As a trade, I am waiting for it to break up and will open a long term trade with tight stop losses, moving the SL up to the entry position once it goes up, then letting the winner run and looking at the technicals when to take profit and look for new positions to enter. Good luck :)
BITFINEX:XMRUSDLong
by Atlas-Horizon