Natgas - rebound phase - shortI want to be honest..
The rally long was a surprise for me, I expected a long phase but without this momentum.
It was really strange because we have a big storage increase more than last year and I expected a long phase but more flat.
so I think now we can have a rebound of price until support area more or less 2$ before the last long (if we will have).
The doubt if we have close or not the wave C ..
In any case I try a short position with small size and small risk.
Stop 2.8$
target 2$
XNGUSD trade ideas
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Natural Gas Topping Signal?Natural Gas closed the week with a hard rejection.
A weekly topping tail has been observed this week.
A major reversal off the $3.11 pivot should be marked as major resistance.
Keep your eye on the daily 200 MA to see if this commodity to build a base above this bullish moving average.
Resource stocks lead Nat gas on the way up, look to them for leadership or potential weakness.
Natural Gas Positive economic indicators like the United States GDP Annual Growth Rate can be bullish for natural gas as demand grows with the economy. Conversely, high interest rates in the U.S. can be bearish as they may pressure consumption.
Traders often look at pivot points and support/resistance levels to make informed decisions.
It's important to note that natural gas trading is influenced by a wide range of factors, and prices can change rapidly. For those interested in trading or investing, staying updated with the latest forecasts, news, and technical analysis is crucial for making informed decisions. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NATURAL GAS: Bullish- SHARK + WOLFE WAVENATURAL GAS: Bullish- SHARK + WOLFE WAVE
So, regarding gas the Wolf of Zurich detected a "Shark" and a "Wolf Wave" in Daily.
The market could rise violently.
There is a strong divergence on the ROC
Attention!!
The 50 and 200 exponential moving averages are potential targets
There
stay careful
Natural gas on the verge of maturityDear analysts and traders,
I trust this message finds you in good health and high spirits as you prepare to approach the upcoming week with renewed vigor. I extend my best wishes for continued success in all your business pursuits. It is essential to emphasize that sustained success in business hinges significantly on the consistent establishment and adherence to your principles.
As an advocate of the Elliott Wave principle, I regard this methodology as a valuable instrument for market analysis. Over the past three years, I have honed my approach by amalgamating this principle with a meticulous evaluation of diverse market scenarios. I strive to mitigate market uncertainties by upholding a broad spectrum of market perspectives, enabling me to discern market structures with utmost precision.
I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the disclaimer that I do not offer buy or sell recommendations. My perspective on analytical ideas remains entirely impartial, and if my analysis aligns with your standards, it can serve as a compass for informed decision-making.
I have enclosed my prior analysis of the same market for your perusal and comparison. All aspects of my analysis are clearly delineated for clarity. Nevertheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave principle theory facilitates comprehension of the analytical concept. I apologize for the repetitive nature of the text, as my week is occupied with formulating analytical and educational ideas, as well as engaging in trading activities and managing my social networks. Due to time constraints, I am unable to provide textual explanations for every idea, hence the inclusion of a separate text alongside the labeling. Should the text be unclear, I am available to elucidate the key points.
My rigorous study of the Elliott Wave Principle spanned nearly three years, during which my grasp and utilization of this invaluable tool evolved. My progress thus far stands as a tribute to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Elliott, whose brilliance underpins my accomplishments. May he rest in peace.
I am grateful for your unwavering support and benevolence, and I eagerly anticipate your feedback and constructive criticism.
May my analysis serve as a valuable asset in your business endeavors, and I remain yours sincerely,
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Previous analytical idea
Natural Gas: Short Squeezing!Natural gas continues to test mean reversion strategies.
This commodity is continuing to burn the shorts.
For a couple weeks now, Nat Gas has been trading at the upper 2.5 deviation band.
This is an extreme overbought signal that often results in profit taking.
Natural Gas Daily RSI is now diverging from price at overbought levels.
Natgas Low momentum bearsAlright folks, let's vibe with the market rhythm. Sure, we've noticed a bit of a chill in the bearish vibes lately, but hey, don't go diving in headfirst just yet. The price is still cruising below that downtrend speedline, so we gotta keep our cool.
Time to channel our inner candlestick whisperer and ride those lines like a pro. If we start sensing some bullish energy revving up, then maybe, just maybe, we'll entertain the idea of hopping on a counter to downtrend trade. But for now, let's stay sharp, stay savvy, and let the vibes guide us through this wild market ride.
NatGas Extends Gains on Better Supply-Demand EquilibriumNatural Gas prices run their second straight profitable month, covering the Q1 losses and starting the current week on the front foot. This brings the year’s highs in the spotlight (3.3974), but bulls will need fresh impetus for taking them out. The RSI points to highly overbought conditions though, making the commodity ripe for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). A move below them would pause the upside bias, but that looks like a toll order under current technical and fundamental conditions.
The advance in natural gas prices is largely due to the improvement in supply-demand dynamics, which can drive further gains. Leading drillers have offered subdued 2024 guidance, while Europe is looking to include LNG in its sanctions against Russia. On the other side of the equilibrium, the outlook on global and Chinese consumption is optimistic. However, there are risks around demand, like Europe’s cuts, China’s bumpy recovery, US elevated stocks and historically warm weather.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
XNGUSD SPOT NATURAL GAS Slowly getting ready to reverse LONGXNGUSD is here on a 120 minute chart. I can see that it is trying to turn the corner and head up.
The RSI is turning up in bullish divergence. While price is below its moving averages, the SMA20
is soon to be in reach. The anchored VWAP lines are approaching a slope decreasing to zero,
while price is getting closer to the mean VWAP as those lines go flat. Overall, volumes are
on the rise while price is sideways, so there is bullish divergence in the volume trend.
Overall, I see XNGUSD setting up for an uptrend. It could be a big one. Time to buckle up before
turning the key. there may be some horsepower involved.
XNGUSD- Bollinger / TTM Squeeze for Breakout LONGThis 30 minute chart of spot natural gas demostrates the indicators triggering / signaling a big
move as it gets underway. I missed the big move catching the two smaller scalpes earlier in the
day. For me, this demonstrates the value of one or more of these indicators armed with an alert
or notification to catch the move once it gets started. It also shows the value of detecting a
Bollinger band width and volatility contraction before the release. Price action is showing
a high tight flag pattern which could forecast a similar leg higher after sufficient consolidation
to ti reach the consensus equilibrium of buyers and short sellers as to what the price should be.
I will be one of those buyers adding again to my position which I expect to swing trade
at least the rest of this week. For those already with good-sized positions, some may elect
to sell some to take a partial profit. I am considering being more watchful of such a situation
also realizing that a short squeeze could get underway since XNGUSD as been falling for
sometime. Long-time shorts might decide this is the exit point to avoid further loss of
unrealized profits. If they do so they play into the hand of new buyers and those holding.
Buckle up, this could get interesting.
XNGUSD Looking for Bullish continuation LONGXNGUSD is still in oversold and undervalued territory as demand may be mitigated
by anticipation of milder weather and supplies seem to be more than adequate. XNGUSD
may move higher if either of those factors changes. The chart shows price about 15% above
support and about 60% below heavy resistance. The RSI indicator shows the faster RSI line
above the 50 level and so I think the bullish move is supported by buying volume. I will take
a long trade on forex and in UNG / UNL on the equities market.