Natural Gas crash?Natural gas has crashed when comparing it to the DBC commodity ETF.
If a recession takes hold, demand destruction always prevails and it looks like Nat gas is pricing this in.
This price action could be a leading indicator that many other commodities may be vulnerable to a pullback.
Since Natural Gas is one of the smaller components of this ETF, it can see a large influx of capital that has to stay long by rotating out of other overbought commodities. Natural gas has broken out before the DBC and it has bottomed before the DBC. Nat Gas has the largest divergence from its peers.
XNGUSD trade ideas
natgas - last bounce before 1,6-1,8Natgas should continue bearish trend, bull pressure is temporary. I will start selling from 2,25-2,4 ( SL above 2,5 and TP 1,6).
Natural Gas: Commodity DivergencesThe correlation between DBC (orange line) and Nat Gas is strong.
However, Nat Gas gas does have price history where it diverges, leads & lags the average DBC price action. The white arrows on the screen display the periods where Nat Gas And DBC (in orange) diverge. Some of the divergences have lead to steep pops & drops of mean reversion.
What were seeing now is a massive divergence of about -33%, Nat gas has crashed and is the number one underperforming commodity in this basket.
Nat gas has retraced back to the Pre Covid low levels. Looking at the DBC ETF its about 33% off the Pre Covid Lows.
Over history the correlation usually tightens up and it has a long way to go to close the gap divergence. This presents one of 3 scenarios..
1. Other commodities in the basket collapse
2. Natural Gas Rallies
3. Both options (Our Base Case)
Natural Gas still in downward Trend. Short then LongI'm looking at a buying opportunity for Natural gas at around 2026 and 1850 level.
NATURAL GAS 1W - long opportunityNatural gas price has already dropped 79% from the Nov 22' high and it usually drops around 80% if we look at the previous large price drops.
If we don't break below 1.60 - 1.80 level and confirmations for the long entry occurs i will consider going long.
ENTRY: 1.65 - 1.90
TP1: 3.44 - 3.70
TP2: 4.63 - 4.93
TP3: 6.40 - 6.85
SL: 1.150
This is not a financial advice! Trade with caution.
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): How to Buy With Confirmation 💨
Multiple time frame analysis on Natural Gas.
Detailed trading plan.
Potential scenarios.
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How to play The GAS range to futhure ?Hello i want to you show you my plan for next days. For me go to long possition is the buy zone 1,8. All under 2,7 is for me Short.
I am not shure if we will go more up now than drop or we will go now to 1,8 and then long possition. It depends if we will push trought the chanel.
Lets see what will come.
NATURAL GAS-Did we bottom?During previous posts, linked in description, we tracked the bearish patterns unfolding in a macro ABC to the downside in Natural Gas.
Now, targets of wave C are reached and the structure seems complete. Bulls where shaken a bit out, and price reacted impulsively from 2.115, and then retraced to the Golden fibo zone, where today's daily candle was printed. Natgas may be now reversing to the upside.
NatGas pressing against the lowsTrade Idea: Selling NATGASUSD
Reasoning: Price action remains entrenched in a downtrend. Short-term rallies continue to be sold. We are looking for a break of support at 1.97.
Entry Level: 2.029
Take Profit Level: 1.900
Stop Loss: 2.080
Risk/Reward: 2.53:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
NATGAS FORECAST 2023The prior entries flopped but i couldnt update the reversals cause i was banned
by trading view (matrix attacking) that being said
LETS BE HONEST ALTERNATE ENERGY SOURCES IS A JOKE
those sources need to reduce exports to meet their own demand too
Market insider headlines id paste the link but matrix be finding reasons these days
The European Union's upcoming ban on Russian oil products could spell more turmoil for the Kremlin.
China and India are unlikely to buy refined Russian fuels that were once sold to the EU, which will ban them on February 5.
That's in contrast to Russian crude oil, which were snapped up by China and India after Europe shunned those supplies.
XNGUSD Mar-Apr 2023Code XNGUSD is available
Month:
Trend: down. The month is not closed yet. But the possibility is still a month down
Amplitude: Back to the hard HTCC mark is 2.1
Duration: at least 3 bars left (9 bars are typical down phase). That is, the possibility of the month going down to July 2023
Week:
Trend: The trend is unknown.
Range: Back to HTKC 2.1-2.2 to test channel, pattern and resistance
Time:
The ability to buy time until the end of the month because the down phase was too harsh
The end of the month is exactly 17 weeks, there is harmony in time with the form 1-5 long, 3 short
Day:
Trend: The trend is unknown. Across
Amplitude: Going back to the milestone of HTKC 2.1-2.2 is the end of the weekly range. So there is absolutely an entry point in the day.
Time:
Typical cycle is 40 bars down, 37 bars up.
So, if you follow the typical cyclical range, the possibility of a correction to 2.2-23 at the beginning of the month and then a bounce is high.
Detailed comments on the codes of interest
Scenarios and probabilities
Scenario 1: The month has an upward pullback (wave 2 of the month), creating a mid-term (weekly) reversal point. It is expected that the week can go to July/23 and then break down on the monthly frame.
That is, we have a scenario where the mid-term week is about 6.0 points, from April/23 to 7/23
So we need to wait for the entry point on the date frame.
Trading strategy for the highest probability scenario
Command Types
Position order: Monday 27/3, enter buy position at 2.2, sl 0.05 because of high overnight fee
Stuff order: Break through the 10-day MA and add a stuffed order with a volume of 70% of the capital
Natural Gas long opportunity
Potential long opportunity, as Natural Gas seems to have hit the swing low on the 4 hr chart in the same support zone as the previous swing low around 22-Feb.
There is positive momentum and price towards upside and end of bearish Elliot wave end(5).
Also, PSAR shows buy entry and price deviating away from the bearish trendline towards upside.
Prefer to wait out the weekend and take long opportunity on the 30min/1 hr timeframe swing low, after any gap opening on Monday if support holds and volume remains positive.
SELL NATURALGASGood morning traders!
Haven't posted in a while since I took my time to teach the new guy I started working with, I'm sharing with you today my trade on NATURALGAS which is a short one.
Sell and set TP and SL at your own risk!
For more questions don't hesitate to ask!
NaturalSimple math do you think 2$ soon is going to be worth or even worth 1.5$.
Natural resources are going to be the global currency .this might be the best investment ever happened in History , Good Luck
NFA
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Even 5X Leverage is enough dont be greedy plz
NATGAS bottoming on daily chart.NATGAS is bottoming with bullish divergence on RSi . TD indicator is already counted to 9 on daily chart,and it means reversal is near..If you plan to get in,get in soon because prices will not be this low in few weeks from now..Do not get to greedy and wait for much lower prices..Opportunity is here in front of your eyes
Natural Gas (Multi-Time) Analysis Hello everyone
As u see its on monthly demand zone and also we have got regular divergence at (4H) price makes lower lows and oscillators makes higher highs so we can expect bullish movements to (4.753) after few month latter.
NATGAS will spark soon....Daily Chart suggest shifting price.
NG is not for the faint of heart due to its extreme volatility so practice safety still -- but with right timing and setup, it can be rewarding.
This is the second attempt (reversal) on the daily, and the probability of a short squeeze is high.
Spotted at 2.056
SL at 1.9.
GOODLUCK NATTIES.
natgas - long with target 3,2End of descending wedge, with horizontal support and double bottom on the 30 min, now quick retest and breakout. Time to be a bull!
Moment of truthJust wanted to update the chart a bit. This is what I see.
So the break out is near. I continue to hold my longs and accumulating more when the price drops.
The volume drop on the sell side suggest a reversal. I think it will be to the upside. Anyway, I am paying close attention to the lowest demand zone. (fingers crossed we don't breach it)
Long natural GasDouble bottom breakout from a major support zone. Could be a potential 2nd position once the 4 hr time frame confirms?! Lets see!
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): How to Buy With Confirmation 💨
Hey traders,
I spotted a classic harmonic ABCD pattern on Natural Gas.
The completion point of the pattern matches perfectly with a horizontal key level.
Analyzing intraday time frames, I also spotted a falling wedge pattern on 12H.
To buy with a confirmation, wait for a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge.
Its violation may initiate a bullish movement.
Goals will be 2.43 / 2.58
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