Updated XRP Count Bearish (Short Term)Hello Friends,
I've been trying to tackle this count for a couple of days now and finally came up with something that fits the picture and seems to work. I’m not in love with this count—it’s very tricky when it comes to the X wave. I’ve been reviewing and processing what the highest probability count could be for this part of the structure.
As we understand it, Wave 1 of the 5th wave (or Wave A of the Y wave) was completed around January 20th at approximately $3.40. From that point until now, we are likely in Wave 2 of the 5th wave (or Wave B of the Y wave), which appears to be nearly complete.
Wave 2 (or Wave B) is forming as a sharp double zigzag:
A zigzag in Wave W
A truncated, ugly-looking sharp double in the X wave (which I’m not a fan of, though I believe it’s valid and it fits)
And a zigzag in Wave Y, which we are currently still in
Probabilistically, we are in Wave B of the Y wave and should retrace to around $2.10–$2.40. As more subdivisions develop in the B wave, they’ll help confirm more precise target ranges in the coming days.
I expect we’ll finish in the $1.60–$1.36 range (leaning more toward the lower end around $1.43–$1.36) to complete this correction before continuing toward the $10 target area.
Thoughts?
Thank you,
GOD BLESS and TRADE ON!
XRPBEARUSD trade ideas
XRP: XRP following Chainlink 2024 PlaybookI'm seeing a lot of Bearish Head and Shoulders XRP "iT's aLL oVeR" posts/videos. It should be noted that XRP is following the same Head and Shoulders Fake Out Chainlink went through in 2024. A stab down below the head and shoulders neckline into the white trend based fib extension support area before going to new bull market highs.
Base Case: $8
Bull Case: $26
It also should be noted that Chainlink in 2024 spent 94 days trading sideways before breaking out to the upside.
XRP Bullish Reversal Opportunity: DCA into the DipCould we see XRP back near $0.60 lows?
The recent developments in the XRP ecosystem, including Ripple's acquisition of Hidden Road, have set the stage for a potential bullish reversal. As we've dipped into the monthly bullish fair value gap (FVG), I'm eyeing a rebalancing opportunity to $0.60, where price may seek to refill sell-side liquidity and shake out weak hands.
As a developing trader, my strategy is to buy the dips and hold onto this asset. Although I initially considered purchasing more at $1.90, I've decided to allocate a portion of my crypto savings wallet to USD, waiting for a more favorable entry point. I'm targeting key levels below $1.50, $1, $0.80, and even $0.60 to split my funds and accumulate more XRP.
This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach allows me to capitalize on potential price inefficiencies while minimizing risk. With the current market dynamics and XRP's recent news, I believe we're setting up for a bullish scenario. By DCA'ing into the asset as it dips, I'm positioning myself for potential long-term gains.
Key Levels:
Initial allocation: $1.90 (missed opportunity)
Target allocation levels: $1.50, $1, $0.80, $0.60
Bullish target: Rebalancing to $0.60, followed by potential upside
Thesis:
Ripple's acquisition of Hidden Road signals increased adoption and use cases for XRP
Monthly bullish FVG presents a rebalancing opportunity
DCA'ing into the asset as it dips minimizes risk and maximizes potential returns
This trade idea is based on my analysis and market observations. I'm sharing my thought process to spark discussion and encourage others to share their insights. As always this is not financial advice! Do your own Research!
XRP could bottom by end of April reach short-term peak by June(The following is my personal opinion only and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
We can often gauge the development of digital asset cycles by observing broad money supply (M2), as it reflects the amount of excess liquidity in the market. In general, a higher level of "hot money" tends to support new highs in digital assets, while tightening liquidity often signals potential price declines.
As XRP’s market capitalization continues to grow, we can now apply similar macro liquidity-based analysis to predict XRP future trend.
Typically, changes in M2 do not immediately reflect in asset prices — there is usually a lag effect. For Bitcoin, I use a 77-day time offset to analyze cyclical behavior. Since altcoins tend to respond more slowly to liquidity shifts, I use a 108-day lag for XRP.
As shown in the chart, although the market is currently gripped by fear due to tariff-related news, based on the underlying liquidity conditions:
- XRP may see a short-term rebound around April 18, with the current cycle likely to bottom out near April 29. In my opinion, a Great buy zone lies between $1.29 and $1.60.
- The top of the current cycle is expected to appear around June 27 , with the price likely to break previous highs and reach the $3.40 to $3.70 range.
Of course, this does not rule out the possibility of an explosive rally during this stage. The above price zones are established by comparing XRP’s performance from December 2024 to the present with changes in the M2 money supply. Should XRP experience sharp surges or crashes, the target ranges may shift accordingly. However, the broader trend often serves as a valuable reference point in investment planning.
I hope this help! KEEP CALM AND ROLL ON!
XRPUSD - Wave 4 completion.Major Trend : Uptrend
Minor Trend : Downtrend (Retracement)
Note: At this moment I still see the price structure as retracement to complete Wave 4. I don't know whether it's already completed or can go down further.
This is only my EW view. Not recommended to trade based on this EW counting. Must do your own analysis prior to placing a trade.
XRPUSDAnalyzing the XRP/USD chart on the weekly timeframe reveals a well defined head and shoulders pattern, which typically signals a potential trend reversal. In light of this, it is crucial to identify key support levels where the price might stabilise and potentially reverse back to the upside.
To estimate the potential price movement, I use a measurement from the neckline to the head of the pattern, which in this case suggests a retracement of approximately 50%. This projection points to the $1 level as a significant support zone. However, before reaching this level, the $1.40 support area could provide an interim floor for the price. If $1.40 fails to hold, the next support level would be around $1.10, and if that also breaks, $1 becomes a critical level to watch.
This scenario could present an excellent opportunity for investors to acquire XRP at a relatively low cost, potentially marking one of the last chances to do so before the Moon
"Weekly Chart Analysis for Ripple (XRP) – Trends and Trade Oppor"In this analysis, we have examined the price action of Ripple (XRP) on a weekly timeframe. Using technical analysis tools such as trendlines, support and resistance levels, and chart patterns, we assess the current market situation. Key levels and potential price movements are discussed, with possible trading opportunities for the upcoming weeks. Additionally, fundamental analysis and related news events impacting Ripple have been considered to provide a more comprehensive outlook of the market."
XRP/USD: Head and Shoulders Breakdown — Measured Target in FocusWe have a clear Head and Shoulders top formation on the daily chart:
📌 Head at ~$3.30
📌 Neckline at ~$2.00
📐 Pattern height: ~$1.30
After the neckline break, XRP/USD is now retesting the broken support zone (~$2.00–$2.05). Unless price reclaims this level convincingly, bearish continuation is the dominant scenario.
🧩 Measured Target Projection:
Neckline−Height=2.00−1.30= 0.70USD
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: ~$2.00–$2.05 (retest zone)
Intermediate Targets: ~$1.50, ~$1.20
Full Pattern Target: ~$0.70
⚠️ Risk Consideration: If XRP reclaims and holds above ~$2.05, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
Perspective: Unless a major bullish catalyst emerges, further downside is anticipated.
I’m actively building my trading analysis skills and sharing perspectives like this to engage with the community. I welcome any insights, feedback, or alternative views as I continue to refine my approach. Let’s learn and grow together.
#XRP #Ripple #Crypto #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakdown #Bearish #PriceAction #Trading
Ripple May Face Another Rally This YearRipple with ticker XRPUSD hit all-time highs for the final blue wave V as expected, so we should be aware of limited upside this year. However, despite recent slowdown, which we see it as an ABC correction within red subwave (IV), there can still be room for another rally this year, at least up to 4-5 area to complete final subwave (V) of V of an impulse on a daily chart.
#XRP BROKE CRITICAL SUPPORT#XRP broke the critical bullish trendline which started back in November. We have had a pullback to the BOS zone which also resulted in a rejection candle on the 4h chart.
Looks like we can now expect to drop to the next support zone which sits at $1.37.
This would now indicate that we are in a bear market as per TA, however, the recent price action and not only in crypto is due to economic news and the market is very volatile at the moment so not FA and any news can trigger a change in direction. Trade carefully and always use SL!
XRP just found bounce support on the bttm trendline of the wedgeLooking like a very valid pattern on the weekly hart. My guess is it will break upward somewhere around where I have arbitrarily placed the dottedmeasuredmove line, in which case the breakout target would be somewhere around $4.80 always a chance we retest the bottom trendline and even send a wick below. It before confirming a break upward though. *not financial advice*
Alts Close to an Obvious Break Now. Alts have been in a bear trend all of the year so far. Topping mostly on harmonic patterns at the start of the year.
See full post about that here:
Since this time, we've completed multiple further steps of trend failure.
Let's run through them.
First let's refer to my template of things you tend to see in the public during stages of a bubble. It's a multi step process, we'll skip to the advanced stages.
We have the public trap (Sharp convincing spike - happened when the harmonics filled I think).
Then we have the rug pull. A very clean and consistent sell off from the high during which people bury their head in the sand and use phrases like "Ignore the FUD".
Then we're into the Early Panic stage where the market sells off about 50% and then puts in a bit of a bounce.
We'd now be in the "mimic the convincers" part. Where the market acts like it did before the previous rallies. The bit where people are common duped into making lifechanging decisions. And the time when it's most important to be warn people about the bubble - but the time they simply will not listen.
After this break, is when we tend to head into the lower lows crash section of the trend which develops into a long term grinding downtrend.
As well as going through all the classic public phases of a bubble, we now have the classic things like head and shoulders to warn the break may be imminent.
Bearish Signal Alert for Ripple (XRP)Ripple (XRP) has just triggered a major bearish signal by breaking below the crucial support level of $2.3575. This recent move is a significant indicator for potential further declines in the price of XRP. Investors and traders should closely monitor this development, as the break below $2.3575 could lead to an acceleration in bearish momentum.
Looking ahead, the next major support area to watch is around $1.7. If Ripple's price continues to descend, we can expect it to potentially target this next critical support level. Traders might consider this as a strategic point for assessing market responses, with the possibility of further downside if this level fails to hold.
It is advisable to approach trading with caution during this period and consider adjusting stop-loss orders to manage risks effectively. This bearish development could present opportunities for short sellers, but also warrants vigilance for any signs of a reversal or support at lower levels.