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XRPUSD Perpetual Contract

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XRPUSD.P trade ideas

$XRP Long position trade entry using Kelly Criterion bet sizingI am bullish BITSTAMP:XRPUSD with upside targets of $5, $10 to $15. Those are the 3 main target levels. 
 $5 target, 99% probability of being hit, IF price breaks out above $2 $10 target, 30% probability of being hit $15 target, 10% probability of being hit Selling may change depending on market conditions. I consider this trade a combination of investment, trade and bet. Think of it like a call option with no expiration date. It effectively goes to 0 or it breaks out of the range and hits my price targets. CRYPTOCAP:XRP Reasons for Bullish bias: Crypto and BTC is in a confirmed bull market uptrend on the monthly Public ignores and hates it since 2017 It’s listed on Robinhood Reasons for Bearish bias: It’s a premined shitcoin that can go to $0. Unknown variables: No specific timeline on when XRP might or might not pump. Remember to size your position correctly using Kelly Criterion. The variables are your reward to risk ratio and the probability of hitting your target. The reward to risk ratio is between 9x to 33x. Let’s conservatively use a 10 to 1 reward to risk ratio. Based on subjective factors, I estimate the probability of a breakout pump to be 50%. Let’s plug this into an online Kelly Criterion calculator to see how much it tells me to bet. It’s not recommended to bet full Kelly as that maximizes your volatility despite still being +EV. You want the proper balance between lower volatility and yet still high enough +EV. General guidelines are between 0.25 Kelly to 0.50 Kelly for the bet sizing. I like to YOLO so I bet ½ Kelly. I recommend betting ¼ to ½ Kelly with the portion of your portfolio you have dedicated to shitcoins. I recommend a crypto portfolio of at least 70% to 80% bluechips which are BTC and ETH. Those are the only 2 cryptocurrencies that are backed by institutional ETFs. Example you have a $10,000 crypto portfolio. 20% allocated for shitcoins which is $2,000. A ½ Kelly bet would be 22.5% of $2k. That is a $450 bet size. If you lose your bankroll drops to $9,550 which is a 5% loss. If you win, your bankroll grows to $14,050 which is a 40% return. Those are not bad results. Use the Kelly Criterion calculator to play around with different probabilities and upside targets. It’s better to be conservative with the upside targets and probability of success. Assuming we get a confirmed price breakout. I will detail the CRYPTOCAP:XRP Long exit strategy in a follow up post. See link in my signature for more detailed trade strategies.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by DMT62DMT
1
XRP massive Double Bottom With Potential of 370 USD target Before you tell me about market cap and impossibilities. You must consider the tokenization of assets that will be happening on the XRP ledger and the RLUSD stable coin launch. The removal of Gary Gentzler, the pro crypto regulations that are coming. XRP and XRP leisure will be used now. I want to show you the double bottom pattern for from 2013 to 2017 which on breakout ascended to the target of $.33 over the next year, the price 10 n times itself reaching $3.30 Ish. We have had a very similar almost identical pattern and now double bottom neck line breakout this year. This pattern forming from 2017 to 2024 end of year six or seven years. We are now above the neck line and if the target hits around $37 and we get an identical 10 X over the next year we could be seeing a potential $370 USD priced XRP by December 2025. Merry Christmas.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by JasonTrading589
4
Bear Trap or Dead Cat Bounce?XRP has just broken below this movement's supporting Trend line, showing a sign of weakness after an already historic rally, climbing from 7 year depths to just shy of it's ATH within just a month. The question now is if what we're seeing now is the start of a dead cat bounce, that will see XRP return to retest $2.00. Or, perhaps XRP bulls are just taking a pitstop to eat the Bear's lunch, before blasting off to Mars! Personally, I'm long. What about you?
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Jayed
3
XRP MID-TERM AND LONG TERM ANALISYSThere has been significant demand for analyzing Ripple. Upon examining the chart, it seems that Ripple is currently within a running triangle. Wave D may complete its movement by hunting the all-time high. Afterward, we could see a correction for wave E, followed by Ripple's post-pattern movement targeting a level above $15. Some might question whether Ripple can sustain such a market cap. We should emphasize that we rely on chart analysis and do not focus on fundamental issues, as fundamentals are reflected in the chart itself. When we reach wave E of the triangle, if we observe a clear and identifiable pattern, we can position ourselves on Ripple for the main move. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
by behdark
34
XRP to $13.69The price of XRP reaching $13.69 from its current value of $2.70 would signify a substantial 400% increase. Predicting such a move hinges on multiple factors, including fundamental developments, technical indicators, macroeconomic conditions, and XRP's role within the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. Here's a detailed summary of why this scenario could happen: 1. Adoption as a Cross-Border Payment Solution XRP, developed by Ripple Labs, is primarily designed to facilitate fast, cost-effective cross-border payments. Its unique consensus algorithm allows for transaction settlements in mere seconds, making it a viable alternative to traditional systems like SWIFT. If Ripple continues to secure partnerships with financial institutions, banks, and governments to streamline cross-border transactions, demand for XRP could surge significantly. For instance, expanding the use of Ripple's On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) solution, which leverages XRP as a bridge currency, could create sustained buying pressure. 2. Regulatory Clarity Ripple’s recent legal victory over the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding XRP's classification as a non-security has bolstered confidence among investors and institutions. Regulatory clarity can unlock new opportunities for adoption, particularly in regions previously hesitant to integrate XRP due to legal uncertainty. Positive regulatory developments could pave the way for listing on more exchanges, enhanced liquidity, and institutional investment. 3. Institutional Involvement As institutional players increasingly recognize the potential of blockchain for remittances and settlements, XRP could see greater investment from hedge funds, payment providers, and financial institutions. With growing acknowledgment of Ripple's solutions as more scalable and energy-efficient than Bitcoin or Ethereum, XRP's price could experience a dramatic upswing. 4. Network Utility Growth Beyond payments, Ripple is diversifying XRP’s use cases. For example, projects in decentralized finance (DeFi), tokenized assets, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) often use the XRP Ledger due to its speed and low cost. A rise in network activity can directly impact XRP’s valuation as more applications require the token. 5. Scarcity Through Tokenomics XRP has a fixed supply of 100 billion tokens, with a large percentage already in circulation. Ripple Labs has committed to periodic token releases from its escrow account, ensuring controlled inflation. As adoption grows and demand rises, XRP’s fixed supply could lead to a classic supply-demand imbalance, pushing the price higher. 6. Technical Analysis XRP’s current price of $2.70 could also signal the beginning of a new bullish cycle based on historical price patterns and technical indicators. Cryptocurrencies often experience exponential gains during bull markets due to speculative momentum, FOMO (fear of missing out), and market euphoria. If Bitcoin or Ethereum rallies, it could lift the entire market, including XRP, as altcoins typically follow Bitcoin's lead. 7. Macro Trends in Blockchain Adoption The global financial system is gradually embracing blockchain technology to modernize infrastructure. Governments and institutions are exploring crypto-based solutions for faster, cheaper payments, and XRP is well-positioned to play a central role. Increasing digitization of money and growth in CBDCs could further solidify XRP's relevance.
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn503199
XRP to $10 in 2025 ? Fib Speed Fan Analysis. #XRPARMYThe Fibonacci Speed Fan is a technical analysis tool that combines Fibonacci retracement levels with trend lines to identify potential support, resistance, and trend reversal points in an asset's price action. This tool has proven to be particularly useful in detecting trend reversals, especially in the case of the XRP token. XRP has demonstrated a history of respecting significant Fibonacci extension levels since 2014, as evidenced by the 0.618 rejection in 2014, the large expansion to the upside with a mild correction at the 1.382, and the eventual blow off top at the 1.75 extension. The market then consolidated and appreciated until it encountered resistance at the 0.618 Fibonacci fan extension in April 2021, followed by further consolidation. Analyzing historical price action can provide insights into potential future movements. By superimposing the 2014 fractal on the current price action and scaling it appropriately, we can identify a possible trajectory for XRP. This analysis suggests that XRP may experience a run-up to two intersecting 0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan levels (from the previous peak and the most recent peak) around the $0.85 - $1.00 range. This could be followed by a rejection or consolidation period lasting several months before another potential explosive move to the upside in 2025. The catalyst for this projected growth could be a favorable outcome in XRP's legal battle with the SEC, which would lend legitimacy and confidence to the asset. It is important to remember, however, that technical analysis, while valuable, is not foolproof and cannot predict future price movements with complete certainty. External factors, such as regulatory changes and market sentiment, can also have a significant impact on an asset's price trajectory. In conclusion, the Fibonacci Speed Fan is a useful tool for detecting trend reversals due to its ability to combine Fibonacci retracement levels with trend lines, providing valuable insights into potential support and resistance areas. This has been particularly relevant for the XRP token, which has consistently respected significant Fibonacci extension levels since 2014. By analyzing historical price action and employing tools like the Fibonacci Speed Fan, traders and investors can make more informed decisions about potential entry and exit points in the market.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by TheTraderAndy
XRP Joy ride possibly a cross rideXRP Analysis: Potential Downturn Amid Institutional Moves 🚀 Current Price Action: XRP is trading at $2.67, marking a strong rally fueled by institutional interest and favorable regulatory clarity. Recent bullish momentum has brought XRP to multi-year highs, making it a standout in the crypto space. ⚠️ Potential Risks Ahead: While the rally is impressive, institutional dynamics could trigger a short-term downturn: 1️⃣ Sell-Off Risk: Institutions may book profits, increasing market supply and pressuring prices. 2️⃣ Regulatory Overhang: The SEC's ongoing appeal regarding XRP's status as a security creates uncertainty. Past regulatory actions led to significant price drops, highlighting the impact of legal news. 3️⃣ Liquidity Concerns: Institutional bailouts or strategic repositioning could temporarily disrupt market stability. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $2.30 (previous breakout level) Resistance: $2.80 (recent intraday high) 💡 Outlook: Short-term caution is advised as XRP's rally faces potential headwinds. If institutional profit-taking occurs, expect a retest of key support levels. Long-term prospects remain strong, but volatility could present trading opportunities. 📊 Stay vigilant and manage risk! #XRP #CryptoTrading #MarketAnalysis
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by alakorn_FX
1