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US WTI Crude (Spot) (XTIUSD)US WTI Crude (Spot) (XTIUSD)US WTI Crude (Spot) (XTIUSD)

US WTI Crude (Spot) (XTIUSD)

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Oil Bulls Go for the Break into Yearly OpenOil prices are threatening a major breakout here after clearing resistance yesterday at the objective 2024 yearly open near 72.14 . The focus is on todays close with respect to the 61.8% retracement at 73.90 . A daily close above would keep the focus on a possible rally towrads the 78.6% retracement at 75.89 and the October high-close at 77.25 - note the highlighted slope confluence (look for a larger reaction there IF reached). Initial support back at 72.14 with bullish invalidation now raised to 71.02 . MB
TVC:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Oil Heading Higher in the Short TermOriginally, I thought this move up would be short and target somewhere along the 50 % area of the previous impulse down but it has ended up proving me wrong. Looking at how aggressive the rally has been since Dec 26 we can take an interpretation that wave B/X took the form of a triangle. This allows us to recalculate our likely zone for this move to end at the price of 74.75 which would give us equality in distance travel between waves W and Y, Of course, the price could push past this area, and for that purpose Im considering the absolute point of invalidation for this scenario at 79.10 and granted there is a wide margin from the current price to the indicated protective stop but if the move down gets going there is reason to believe we will go down to the 65 dollar mark and past it, still affording a favorable risk-reward. I have still not taken a position but will update when it looks more favorable to do so. Happy Trading :)
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by HydraFinance
USOIL: Key Levels and Trend Direction AnalysisUSOIL Analysis The price has stabilized above the pivot line and closed the daily candle above it, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend gradually toward 75.35. A retest of 72.75 is possible before pushing up again. On the other hand, a 4-hour candle closing below 72.74 would confirm a bearish trend, targeting 71.78. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 73.40 Resistance Levels: 74.40, 75.35, 76.10 Support Levels: 72.74, 71.78, 70.50 Trend outlook: Bullish: While above 72.75 Bearish: If 72.74 is broken
TVC:USOILLong
by SroshMayi
Will Iran's Nuclear Ambitions Redefine Global Energy Markets?In a world where geopolitical tensions and energy markets dance an intricate waltz, the latest developments surrounding Iran's nuclear program have emerged as a pivotal factor in global oil dynamics. The Biden administration's deliberation of military options against Iranian atomic facilities has introduced a new variable into the complex equation of international energy markets, forcing investors and analysts to reassess their traditional market models. The strategic significance of the Middle East's oil infrastructure, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, hangs in delicate balance as diplomatic chess moves unfold. With approximately one-fifth of the world's oil supply flowing through this crucial chokepoint, the stakes extend far beyond regional politics, touching every corner of the global economy. Market participants have begun incorporating these heightened risks into their pricing models, reflecting a new reality where geopolitical considerations carry as much weight as traditional supply and demand metrics. The energy sector stands at a crossroads where strategic petroleum reserves, investment strategies, and risk management protocols face unprecedented challenges. Portfolio managers and energy traders must navigate this complex landscape while balancing short-term volatility against long-term strategic positioning. As the situation continues to evolve, the global oil market serves as a mirror reflecting the broader implications of international security dynamics, challenging conventional wisdom about energy market fundamentals and forcing a reevaluation of traditional risk assessment models.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by UDIS_View
CL - Crude Oil confirmation and unwritten potentialHi guys, we are following up with probably one of our favourite assets to participate in. You guessed it right it's CL. Currently the Crude Oil is sitting in a very specific range , which has been traded since late August , until the end of October where we saw a big spike and got out of boundaries due to the escalation in Iran and Israel, of which after the cooling off we got back into the range of 73.00 as a strong resistance line , and 67.00 as a strong support. This range has made a lot of traders stay away from CL, but I do believe that there is potential to be caught. Current analysis and entry : Entry today at a level of 68.90 , with two targets of take profit : Target 1: 71.52 Target 2: 72.92 Now this is the bold move if you don't want to miss out on the current opportunity and your Risk Tolerance is on the higher end. If you want to be more protective and your Risk Tolerance is on the lower side, you can get a Pending Order at the level of 66.61 , and then enter 3 follow up targets Target 1: 68.50 Target 2: 71.05 Target 3: 72.45 P.S. My current opinion is to go with a current entry because the missing out of opportunity is too high ,hence we are seeing more tensions in Israel&Gaza conflict, additionally the tightening of the situation in Ukraine&Russia adds more Fundamental Value, towards a swing on an upside of the Crude Oil. Do let me know in the comments below or in my community what is your thought process and opinion about our favourite Black Gold! Happy Trading!
TVC:USOILLong
by DG55Capital
Crude oil - breaking out at last?Asian Pacific stock indices were mixed overnight, with outsized losses across Chinese indices. This followed the release of another disappointing Manufacturing PMI, even though the Services sector continues to show expansion at a better-than-expected rate. It was a similar situation across Europe which had to deal with a dismal set of Manufacturing PMIs. But it’s a cheerier picture for US stock index futures which are noticeably stronger in early trade. Tech stocks are firmer and bond yields are a tad softer, although the 10-year Treasury yield remains above 4.50%. Investors appear to be taking advantage of last month’s pullback across the ‘Magnificent Seven’ to buy in at (slightly) cheaper levels. The question for the next few weeks seems to be whether the recent pickup in bond yields is due to concerns of future inflationary pressures, fanned by Trump’s tariff threats, or for the more benign expectation of stronger economic growth ahead. The US Dollar Index is at a fresh 25-month high, trading around 108.50, and precious metals are managing to rally. But it is the energy sector that may now be poised for a trend change. Front-month WTI is trading within cents of levels last seen in mid-October. Prices have made steady upside progress over the past month and it looks as if crude could be about to break out of its long term downtrend. It’s too early sound the all-clear. Much will depend on the size and shape of the next pullback. But the daily MACD has crossed above the ‘neutral’ line suggesting that momentum is now to the upside.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Macro Drivers to Watch for WTIMacroeconomic Cross-Analysis: 1. Global Oil Supply Dynamics OPEC+ Production Decisions: Production Cuts: If OPEC+ continues or deepens production cuts, expect a bullish reaction in WTI prices. This would align with the bullish OB zone at $69.16–$71.83, acting as a strong support and entry zone for a potential rebound. Output Increases: If OPEC+ decides to increase production due to geopolitical pressure or demand concerns, WTI could break below the $69.16 level, leading to a bearish continuation. US Shale Oil Production: Higher shale production in response to rising prices could limit WTI’s upside, particularly near the $78.50–$80.05 bearish OB zone. 2. Geopolitical Events Middle East Tensions: Escalation (Bullish for Oil): Any escalation in conflicts involving key oil producers like Saudi Arabia, Iran, or others in the region could lead to supply disruptions. Such events would likely push WTI toward the $74.00 FVG zone or even the $78.50–$80.05 bearish OB zone. De-escalation (Bearish for Oil): A resolution or stabilization in these regions would alleviate supply concerns, increasing the likelihood of WTI breaking below $69.16, targeting the $65.19 bullish OB zone. Russia-Ukraine Conflict: A prolonged conflict could disrupt global energy markets, particularly if sanctions reduce Russian oil exports. This would support higher WTI prices, making $74.00–$78.50 a strong target zone. Alternatively, increased Russian exports via alternative channels (e.g., to China and India) could dampen bullish momentum. 3. Demand-Side Dynamics China’s Economic Recovery: Bullish Scenario: If China’s economy recovers strongly, its oil imports will rise significantly, supporting WTI prices and potentially pushing price action toward $78.50–$80.05. Look for data on industrial production, PMI, and oil import volumes from China. Bearish Scenario: A sluggish recovery or further economic weakness (e.g., due to COVID-19 policies or property sector struggles) would cap oil demand, likely leading to WTI testing support near $69.16 or even $65.19. US and Global Growth: Strong GDP growth in the US and other major economies (e.g., Eurozone) would boost oil demand, aligning with bullish technical zones. A global slowdown or recession, however, would reduce demand, increasing the likelihood of a bearish breakdown below $69.16. 4. Inventory and Supply Data US Crude Oil Inventory Reports (EIA/API): Lower Inventories: Unexpectedly low inventory levels indicate strong demand or constrained supply, likely driving WTI prices higher toward $74.00–$78.50. Higher Inventories: Rising inventories signal oversupply or weakening demand, increasing the probability of a bearish test of $65.19. SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve) Releases: Further releases from the SPR would pressure prices lower, targeting $69.16 or below. 5. Monetary Policy and USD Strength Federal Reserve Policy: Hawkish Fed: A strong USD due to higher interest rates makes oil more expensive for non-USD buyers, pressuring WTI prices lower. This could lead to a breakdown below $69.16. Dovish Fed: Rate cuts or dovish guidance would weaken the USD, making oil more attractive globally, supporting WTI’s bullish trajectory toward $74.00 or higher. BOJ Policy Impact on JPY: As oil is traded in USD, shifts in major currencies like the yen (JPY) can influence demand. A weaker yen supports USD-denominated oil prices. 6. Market Sentiment Risk-On/Risk-Off: Risk-On Environment: Optimistic market sentiment (e.g., equity rallies, strong growth outlook) supports higher oil demand and prices, aligning with a bullish break toward $74.00–$78.50. Risk-Off Environment: A risk-off shift (e.g., due to geopolitical tensions, financial instability) would increase demand for safe havens, potentially pressuring WTI lower to test $69.16 or $65.19. Speculative Positioning: COT Reports: Track speculative net positions in crude oil. A rise in long positions could support bullish moves toward $74.00 and above. Sentiment Drivers to Watch OPEC+ Meeting Announcements: Key supply-side drivers. Global Economic Data: Watch PMI, GDP growth, and industrial output figures. Geopolitical Updates: Any tensions in key oil-producing regions. USD Movements: Strong correlation with WTI price action. Energy Transition News: Long-term focus on renewables could dampen bullish sentiment. Technical Zones + Macro Alignment Bullish Entry: Zone: $65.19–$69.16 (Bullish OB): Look for confirmation here if macro factors (e.g., OPEC cuts, lower inventories) support a rebound. Bearish Entry: Zone: $78.50–$80.05 (Bearish OB): Short this zone if supply concerns ease, inventories rise, or demand weakens. Neutral Play: Monitor price within $69.16–$74.00 for consolidation, driven by mixed macro signals.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by TalkativeJuan
WTI Crude Oil: Bullish Reversal and Key LevelsTVC:USOIL WTI Crude Oil: Bullish Reversal and Key Levels Analysis: The chart displays the 4-hour price action of WTI Crude Oil (TVC: USOIL) with multiple technical indicators and annotations. The price is currently at $74.01, showing a slight decline of 0.35%. The chart includes the following elements: Price Action and Trend Lines: The price has been moving within a descending channel, with recent price action suggesting a potential breakout. There are several horizontal support and resistance levels marked by green and blue dotted lines. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Multiple "Choch" (Change of Character) annotations indicate potential shifts in market structure. The price is currently near a significant support level around $70.48, suggesting a potential area for accumulation. ICT Elliott Wave: The chart shows potential Elliott Wave patterns with Fibonacci retracement levels (0.618 at $72.35 and 0.786 at $72.05) indicating key levels for potential reversals. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 71.17, indicating overbought conditions but also suggesting strong bullish momentum. Volume Profile: The volume profile on the right side shows high trading activity around the $70.48 to $74.01 range, indicating strong support and resistance zones. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram shows green bars, indicating bullish momentum. Buy Strategy: Entry: $72.05 (near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level) Take Profit 1 (TP1): $74.01 (current resistance level) Take Profit 2 (TP2): $76.00 (next significant resistance level) Stop Loss (SL): $70.48 (below the recent support level) Sell Strategy: Entry: $74.01 (current resistance level) Take Profit 1 (TP1): $72.05 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement level) Take Profit 2 (TP2): $70.48 (recent support level) Stop Loss (SL): $76.00 (above the next significant resistance level) Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds This detailed analysis utilizes Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave strategies to formulate comprehensive buy and sell strategies. The indicators, such as Fibonacci retracement levels, RSI, and MACD, support the analysis and identify key levels for entry, take profit, and stop loss.
TVC:USOIL
by Alexgoldhunter