XTIUSD trade ideas
USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 69.83 level area with our short trade on USOIL which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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USOUSD, OilUSOUSD is still in a downtrend. The price still has a chance to test the 74.49-74.9 level. If the price cannot break through the 74.9 level, it is expected that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
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USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session
USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 4-Hour
- Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection.
2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal.
3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs.
CPI Session Volatility Warning:
- With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment.
- If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short.
- Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks.
- Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows.
Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
11-2 Oil: 11-2 Oil: the down trend seems to be turning. Our signal system still shows a neutral score of 1 which consists of Retail sentiment 1, Seasonality 1, Trend reading 1, GDP -1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI -1, Retail Sales -1, Inflation 1, Employment Change -1, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates -1. This data gives us a buy option at 74.445
Oil weekly forecast with key buy and sell levels Oil on the weekly with key levels and buy and sell suggestions.
#005 Obvious Trend WTICOUSD Buy 2344SGT 11022025Buy. Not paper trading neither am I using real money. Just for recording purposes. Cant trade real cos account not enough money. only have about 26cents sgd in it.
Not about to open a paper account cos too troublesome.
Going for 1R SL to 0.8R TP.
TP set at the next swing high as seen.
Will come back tomorrow at 9pm to see what happens.
I would like to take trades in the afternoon but now I am working. Hopefully tomorrow I am also going to work. I need to make some plans for tomorrow cos order has been slow recently.
2346SGT 11022025
Oil rises according to morning analysisIn the morning oil analysis, I said the rise could continue, and since this morning, oil prices have risen by more than one percent.
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 70.97
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 69.61
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 73.22
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WTIC Oil moving into recession territoryOil is the first thing that is reduced in demand when economies weaken
Monitor resistance to enter a long trade.If static resistance is broken, the upward movement continues for oil.
US oil for longPrice was previously ranging, broke out and retested the neckline. Price broke out of the bearish channel wait for a retest of the support zone and we can go long.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Aiming at 82.00 long term.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.507, MACD = -0.150, ADX = 34.872) as only today it crossed above the 1D MA50, following a correction since Jan 15th. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and we are very close to its bottom. The two bullish waves it had already, peaked after at least a +20% rise. As the 1D RSI is already on the S1 Zone, we anticipate a new bullish wave to start gradually and aim at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 82.00).
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WTI will rise UPThe price has completed wave 2 and is starting wave 3, with targets of 75.50, 77.80, and 80.
invalidation level is 71.
Crude oil is approaching highs and continues to shortReal-time analysis of crude oil market: Crude oil did not fall below the 70 mark for four consecutive trading days last week. This week, the price of crude oil will be determined by the integer mark of 70. Last week, we repeatedly suggested that we should buy at 70.5 and 70 in batches. Now it has reached the 71.5 line, which can only be regarded as the first stop of the decline. The short-term pressure range is in the 71.7-72.1 area. It is expected that there will be no big ups and downs at the beginning of the week. With 71.5 as the radius, 15 points of space will be reserved above and below as the shock range at the beginning of the week.
Today's resistance is focused on the 4-hour upper track 72.1. The upper side looks at the pressure point of 72.5 where the daily MA60 moving average and the 4-hour MA60 moving average overlap. The deviation pressure point focuses on the weekly MA10 moving average 73. For support, first look at the 1-hour middle track 71, followed by the lower track 70.6, and the deviation looks at the 70 integer mark. Overall, the 4-hour Bollinger band lower track and the daily Bollinger band lower track have turned into an upward closing state, and the probability of breaking the low again is not high. Therefore, any retracement this week is an opportunity to try a long-term bullish trend. For the European and American markets, it is recommended to mainly go long on retracements, and go short when encountering resistance at high levels.
SELL USOILBeen a while since I last posted a trade to take.
Here today you can sell on USOIL with the same TP and SL I set on my chart.
Follow for more!
Crude Oil Price Trends: Market Drivers and Further OutlookWTI and Brent Crude: Recent Price Movements
Oil prices faced renewed volatility last week as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $72.84 per barrel, down $2.13 from the previous week, while Brent crude ( TVC:UKOIL ) closed at $77.11 per barrel, reflecting a $1.03 decline over the same period. The price drop follows a mix of macroeconomic concerns, shifts in global supply, and changes in refinery demand, raising questions about the short-term direction of the oil market.
Geopolitical Risks and Supply Disruptions
Oil markets remain highly sensitive to geopolitical events. Rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding Russia’s oil exports continue to shape price expectations. In particular, shipping disruptions in the Red Sea due to recent attacks on vessels have increased transport costs and contributed to supply chain volatility. Additionally, ongoing sanctions on Russian crude are prompting shifts in global trade flows, with some Asian countries increasing purchases while Europe diversifies its energy imports.
Macroeconomic Factors and Demand Outlook
On the macroeconomic front, concerns over U.S. Federal Reserve policy and potential interest rate hikes have weighed on oil prices. A stronger U.S. dollar typically exerts downward pressure on crude oil, making it more expensive for foreign buyers. However, resilient U.S. employment data and steady industrial activity have supported fuel demand, mitigating some of the downward pressure. China's economic recovery also plays a crucial role, with stronger-than-expected factory output and increased crude imports providing support for oil prices.
New York Petroleum Product Prices: Gasoline and Diesel Trends
The New York Harbor spot price ( NYMEX:HO1! ) for conventional gasoline fell to $2.382 per gallon, marking a $0.023 decrease from last week. Meanwhile, No. 2 heating oil prices dropped by $0.083, settling at $2.371 per gallon, which is $0.213 lower than a year ago. Despite these declines, demand for diesel and heating oil remains strong, particularly in colder regions, supporting refined product prices.
Market Outlook: Where Are Oil Prices Headed?
Looking ahead, oil price trends will depend on several factors, including OPEC+ production policy, U.S. refinery utilization rates, and global economic growth. If U.S. crude inventories continue to rise, prices could face further downward pressure. However, if geopolitical risks escalate or demand in Asia strengthens, oil prices may find support in the coming weeks. Investors and traders should closely monitor supply chain developments and central bank policies, as these will be key drivers of price movements in the near term.
Crude Oil Holds Above 70 Support ZoneAmid upside risks from Trump’s tariffs and downside pressures from policies favoring price cuts and overproduction, oil remains highly volatile, trading above key support levels while maintaining its broader downward trajectory from 2022 to 2025.
Critical support zones to monitor include $69.5, $66, and $64, which have acted as key rebound areas since December 2021. A firm close below the $64 support could accelerate losses toward the psychological $60 level and $55, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 uptrend.
On the upside, the upper boundary of the established channel serves as strong resistance near $78. A sustained close above $80 would signal a potential shift in sentiment, eyeing $84, $89, and $95, which align with waves A, C, and E of the triangle pattern, marked by the highs of September 2023, April 2024, and July 2024.
Key events to watch:
OPEC's monthly oil report
Trump’s tariff announcements
Fed Chair Powell’s testimony
U.S. CPI report
- Razan Hilal, CMT
