WTICOU Play's So ive been watching this Pair for a while now, There could be a great opportunity here if this continues to change direction & switch to bullish. Its forming a bottom structure
XTIUSD trade ideas
USOIL:Long after the pullback trading strategy
Crude oil yesterday is also strong pull up, the overall bullish thinking and expectations are consistent, coupled with the contract delivery today, crude oil will be likely to break through the previous strong pressure 69.40 this position, crude oil thinking is also low bullish;
Asia-europe session is expected to shock before pulling higher, pay attention to 68.5-68.3 support, in addition to the previous crude oil inventory data is also positive, crude oil may enter a wave of bulls. Upper targets see 69.4-70.6
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) has reversed off a resistance zone and it could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 70.81 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 73.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 66.90 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Oil Market Outlook: Bearish Options FlowA few words about the prospects of oil through the lens of options trading.
The sentiment is leaning more bearish than bullish. We're seeing a surge in vertical spreads and butterflies on puts, targeting the $65-60 range for February-March 2025.
If we look at the charts, the price action resembles a 'settling' at the support level of $65-66.
It’s looking like we might see a support break, potentially a swift one, which could send prices down to a lower range, just like we've seen in the past.
But for now, this is just a theory based on price action and the options flow.
WTI H1 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 68.24, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 70.11, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 66.95, which is an overlap support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTICOUSD Short signalAt least one technical indicator is signaling that oil may continue to fall. The indicator "Intenso" has shown good buy and sell points. I continue testing.
Usoil Triangle fakeoutIts seems so weird for usoil to keep going down, but looking things from political side it should be going up. IMO its should be quiet high probability that we could see bullish rally after sweep of the lows.
OIL short idea 1H time frameLooking to sell OIL
Entry : 67.99
Stop : 68.66
Take profit : 66.18
RR : 1:2
US Oil Finds Support: Bullish Divergence in PlayUS oil prices are currently finding strong support and forming a bullish divergence. This technical pattern suggests a potential upward movement.
WTI - oil on fire!WTI oil is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H time frame and is moving in its downward channel. If the upward trend continues and the ceiling of the channel is broken, one can first look for positions to buy it and then look for positions to sell oil in the supply zone.
A downward correction towards the demand zones will provide us with the next positions to buy oil with the appropriate risk reward.
Oil prices climbed as tensions between Russia and Ukraine escalated. Following Ukraine’s announcement that Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile targeting the central city of Dnipro, Brent crude rose to $74 per barrel. Previously, Ukraine had primarily relied on long-range weaponry supplied by Western nations. If confirmed, this missile strike would mark the first use of such a weapon since its development during the Cold War era.
In recent days, additional bullish signals for oil prices have emerged. Refinery product premiums relative to crude oil have reached multi-month highs.
In the United States, as fuel producers along the coasts ramped up production to meet rising export demand, profit margins for converting crude oil into gasoline and diesel hit record levels.
According to Reuters, OPEC+ is likely to maintain significant oil production cuts for an extended period due to weak global demand. Analysts and insiders suggest that the OPEC+ meeting in December will face major constraints in determining production policy. While increasing production amid weak demand could be risky, further cuts may prove challenging as some members push to raise output. OPEC+, which includes Russia and produces nearly half of the world’s oil, has repeatedly delayed its gradual production increase plans this year.
Meanwhile, rising gas prices are creating tough challenges for European policymakers as they brace for a harsh winter. Javier Blas, a Bloomberg columnist, argues that Europe has yet to fully grasp the energy crisis stemming from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. He asserts that the continent has mistaken recent strategic successes for mere weather-related luck, but the situation has now deteriorated. This points to another winter of high gas and electricity prices, placing significant pressure on energy-intensive industries. Many large-scale manufacturers have announced plant closures and asset write-downs, while households face surging retail energy prices. This inflationary trend will add further complications for the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. Wholesale gas prices in Europe have risen to €47 per megawatt-hour, twice the February lows and 130% above the 2010-2020 average.
Wall Street has raised concerns that a second Trump presidency could negatively impact oil prices, arguing that producers might ramp up drilling and production before facing Biden-era regulatory pressures. However, another faction in Wall Street suggests this narrative is incomplete. Standard Chartered points out that the nature of U.S. shale oil production makes it difficult to sustain long-term supply increases. Unlike OPEC producers, whose output is often controlled by state-owned oil companies, U.S. production is dominated by several large corporations, independent producers, and private firms.
This perspective aligns with Goldman Sachs’ analysis. In July, Goldman Sachs predicted that U.S. crude oil production would grow by 500,000 barrels per day this year, a slower pace compared to last year’s 1 million barrels per day increase. Nevertheless, the U.S. will account for 60% of non-OPEC supply growth, with the Permian Basin expected to grow by 340,000 barrels per day annually—lower than the initial forecast of 520,000 barrels per day made by Wall Street analysts.
Will Oil see a rally in December and give an EOY push?Oil is in a cool spot right now where bulls have and are continuing to buy the dip around $67/brl. If this continues this can be a local bottom for the winter IMO as crude seasonally has a strong December/EOY.
Seasonality doesn't always have 1:1 correlations but over 30 years it has shown a strong positive correlation to an upward move in Oil and energy.
Buy OpportunityEntry: Buy WTI Crude Oil CFDs at $66.88.
Stop Loss: $65.60 (below the recent low and key support).
Take Profit:
First target at $69.35 (close to previous resistance).
Second target at $72.79 (8.83% profit potential).
Timeframe: The move is expected to play out over the next 9-10 days, as indicated by the projection curve on the chart.
Analysis Breakdown:
Support and Resistance Levels:
The price seems to have found a support zone around $66.88.
Resistance levels are marked at $69.35, $71.65, and a higher level at $72.88.
Volume Profile:
Visible volume profile on the left side suggests strong activity in the highlighted zones, indicating areas of high liquidity and potential areas of support/resistance.
Momentum Indicator (Squeeze Momentum):
The lower panel shows a Squeeze Momentum Indicator.
The histogram is currently red, indicating bearish momentum, but there’s a hint of weakening bearish pressure as the bars are shrinking.
Potential Trade Setup:
Long Position: Entry at the support level of $66.88.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the $66.00 level (around $65.60).
Take Profit Levels: Targets are set at $69.35 (first target) and $72.79 (final target), aiming for an 8.83% upside move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio appears favorable based on the analysis, with a potential reward of around 5.91 points ($5.91 move up).
USOIL FORECAST Q4 FY24 - FY25monthly timeframe just to show em we the big dogs
The last post was short lived lasted a month then went to the bears
in this analysis i see price going up higher for longer in the long run as i anticipate
some serious global tensions to follow through, wont speculate on conspiracies only prices
that said price didnt break our level yet again and from 12/22 to now price was in an accumulation distribution range as the big money slowly but sure buy up more inventory
hidden in plain sight
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WTI 68.6 d.p. reject / 66.3 below!11.15.24 WTI / USOIL / CL Plan
The 69.4 - 68.5 area has proved tough resistance. Long aren’t currently favourable, unless a retest shows a daily pivot reversal off 68.00 once more.
Price has rejected the 68.62 d.p. thus it’s likely to see bigger selling towards 66.30 (monthly 200 ema) as the 68.00 level is broken.
wtiCurrently, WTI, considering its interaction with daily and weekly support levels and having a long candle, can target 72 first, then 74, and finally 78.
WTI Bottomed! - 68 close / targets!11.14.24 WTI / USOIL / CL Plan
69.40 and 70.35 levels are targets for this next move off 68.00. Note that 70.35 level is backed by intraday (4H) 200 ema resistance.
For in depth, check bio!! (Voila's Oil Trading - Substack)
WTI CRUDE OIL: confirmed bottom formation. Buy and target 77.50.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.429, MACD = -0.380, ADX = 24.190) but that bearish sentiment is the ideal buy entry as the price hit today the top of the S1 Zone and stayed supported, extending the sideways price action of the last 2 days. The 4H RSI is on HL, which has been the distinct characteristic of all prior 3 bottoms. Being on the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we expect a strong rebound to start even as soon as tomorrow, to test the bottom of the R1 Zone (TP = 77.50).
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USOIL YEARLY OUTLOOK Will the US post-election continue to impair the oil price?
The election of Donald Trump has changed the dynamics of the market, causing oil prices to drop, with more negative pressure anticipated.
Global purchasers now pay more for oil due to a rising US dollar, which exacerbates concerns over oversupply.
Since recent economic measures have not yet produced immediate stimulus, China's demand outlook remains poor.
USOIL formed a weekly and daily Head-and-Shoulder pattern, signaling a continuation of bearish pressures.
If USOIL breaks below 68 - 62 necklines(blue and yellow bar), the price may continue its bearish movement to the nearby major support of 43 - 33
On the contrary, if USOIL remains above 68.00, the price may trade within the 68.00-84 range until an apparent breakout occurs.
WTI , Bounce off From 68 Level !!!Dear Traders,
The price has reached the bottom of the channel and I expect an upward movement to the targets of 74. The stop-loss is set at 67 dollars."
Dont Forget like&Comment please !
Regards,
Alireza!
CRUDE OIL(WTI): Bearish Move From Resistance 📉USOIL may continue to drope from a solid horizontal resistance level on a 4H.
Following the test, the price began to consolidate.
A powerful bearish candle broke through its support level, confirming a strong bearish trend.
It is highly likely that the price will drop to at least 67.77.
WTI oil making its way to lowest point of this year?The commodity is near a key are of support right now, so let's see if today's US economic data can continue boosting the US dollar. If so, WTI oil may end up traveling further south.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSD TVC:USOIL
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USOIL: Key Levels to Watch Amid CPI-Driven VolatilityUSOIL Analysis
Today, WTI Crude Oil is positioned for potential volatility with the upcoming CPI release, expected at 2.6%. This inflation data could significantly influence market direction.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 68.53
Resistance Levels: 70.49, 71.78, 72.74
Support Levels: 67.03, 65.85, 63.51
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: A break and close above the pivot line at 68.53 could drive prices toward 70.49 and potentially higher levels at 71.78. Sustained trading above these levels may further confirm the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 68.53 and breaks below 67.03, it could lead to a bearish move toward 65.85 and eventually 63.51, aligning with a potential market reaction to higher-than-expected CPI data.
Today's CPI release is anticipated to cause notable volatility, so monitor these levels closely for potential breakouts in either direction.
USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 68.98 area.
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