USOIL - short turn now? agreed ??#USOIL... market just going to mature his formation for a selling turn if market holds today high in that case it will drop towards his next supporting. that is at 72 around.
good luck
trade wisely
XTIUSD trade ideas
USOIL beginning new downtrend?Drill baby drill. This will cause a large influx of oil supply, outweighing demand, which will reduce oil prices.
On the chart, we are seeing oil selling off against the bearish 200MA right now.
This may very well likely be the beginning of the new downtrend.
Between lower interest rates in the coming year and lower gas prices, the economy should have enough stimulus to overlook the effect of tariffs.
USOIL - Wedge breakout in progress.Price have broken out of a falling wedge pattern after a failed break to the downside during fridays NY session.
Order is placed on the 61.8% retracement of this impulse leg with a SL below fridays low.
The area we are bouncing from is also the daily Ema 50 for Oil so that is a nice little confluence to help me put the odds in my favor.
Bearish Uncertainty Over WTIHI there,
WTI has the potential to reverse from the 69.95 area and turn bullish up to the 78.82 highs.
76.01 is the price target. If the price drops below 68.00, it will invalidate the setup.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
USOIL ANALYSIS price hit my psycological demand zone.entered the trade as a corrective trend as fundamentals and technicals favor shorts as the main trend.tp next major supply zone
USOIL SELL SET UP USOIL is technically on a downtrend. It has been making a series of highs and lows around the intermediate zone . It has created a nice high at 75.000 which I have considered as the second touch of the trend line because it is a psychological level . Let’s patiently wait and see how price reacts on the third touch of the trendline . If it gives a nice price action rejection we can join the sell, for now let’s keep watching.
Key zone to monitor: 74.296
LongGot it. In trading, resistance at 80.100 likely refers to a price level where an asset has historically faced selling pressure, preventing it from moving higher. When this resistance "breaks," it means the price has successfully moved above that level, potentially signaling further upward movement.
Here’s how to confirm a clean resistance break:
1. Candle Close Above Resistance
Look for a strong candle (preferably on a higher time frame, like 4-hour or daily) closing clearly above 80.100.
2. Volume Confirmation
Increased trading volume during the breakout supports the strength of the move.
3. Retest of Broken Resistance (Optional)
Sometimes, the price will retest the 80.100 level after breaking it. If it holds as new support, it's a bullish signal.
4. Avoid False Breakouts
Watch for long wicks above the resistance followed by price rejection; that could indicate a false breakout.
Are you tracking a specific market (forex, stock, or commodity)? I can help tailor advice based on that.
7% sell off for wtiusd/ oilas you can see we are stuck in trading range and there is 80% probability for staying in the trading range so the strong scenario is the purple arrow and the 20% scenario is for the red arrow line . dude you can short wtiusd
OilLooking at the bigger picture oil looks horrendous. I caught the short as close as possible to the top. Price action was painting a picture and it didn't look pretty. That's why I had to be so aggressive with my entries chasing a short. Nothing is guaranteed but when yoh look at this chart, there's clearly room for further downside.
Let's see how it goes.
OIL is about to pump?In this #usoil chart, it seems 2nd corrective wave is done and MARKETSCOM:OIL price is preparing for the 3rd impulsive wave.
WTI CRUDE OIL Sell signal under the 1day MA50WTI Crude Oil / USOIL has tested and held the 1day MA50 for two straight days.
Today's volatile candle though suggests that one more test is possible and the last time we saw this pattern was in late April 2024.
The two patterns have similar 1day RSI fractals, so the sell trigger here is the 1day MA50.
If we cross under it, sell and target Support B at 69.00.
Previous chart:
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Oil short When there is a clear road map its easy to follow directions. This move has been brewing, I spent January trying to catch the higher. I have targets much lower. I will be scaling out profit on the way down.
When a new entry presents itself will take it.
USOIL ANALYSIS price mitigated a major demand zone on the large support Marked rectangle on the chart.price then left a nice orderblock with a nice inducement(trap) on a 15min - 5min timeframe.looking forward to the next major supply zone
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Buy entry above 76.00
Sell Entry below 72.00
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Thief SL placed at 74.00 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 74.00 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
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"WTI / USOIL SPOT" Energy market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearish)., driven by several key factors.
♻ Fundamental Analysis:
Supply and Demand: Neutral, with growing demand for oil offset by rising US oil production.
OPEC Production: Neutral, with OPEC's production cuts offset by rising US oil production.
Global Economic Growth: Neutral, with a slow global economic recovery expected.
♻ Macro Economics:
Global Economic Growth: Neutral, with a slow global economic recovery expected.
Inflation: Neutral, with low inflation expected in major economies.
Interest Rates: Neutral, with interest rates expected to remain stable.
♻ COT Report:
Non-Commercial Traders: Bearish, with 55% of non-commercial traders holding short positions.
Commercial Traders: Bullish, with 60% of commercial traders holding long positions.
Levieraged Funds: Bearish, with 58% of leveraged funds holding short positions.
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Market Sentiment: Bearish, with 52% of traders holding short positions.
Retail Trader Sentiment: Bullish, with 65% of retail traders holding long positions.
Institutional Trader Sentiment: Bearish, with 60% of institutional traders holding short positions.
♻ Overall Outlook:
Bearish: 52%
Bullish: 30%
Neutral: 18%
Based on the overall analysis, the outlook for WTI Commodity CFD is bearish, with a target price of around $60-$62 per barrel.
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West Texas Oil : TRADE WAR !! Very likely bullish stretch!After a strong bullish impulse ( Bull ) that began on December 11, 2024, on January 20, 2025 it took a breather and began a bearish phase ( Bear ) as can be seen in the chart.
The price has retreated to the key zone of 61.8% Fibonacci ( 72.5 ), respecting it and gradually gaining bullish strength again. In H4 time frame the MOMENTUM is bullish ( Bull ), but its STRENGTH is still bearish ( Bear ).
--> When will the strength turn bullish?
When the price exceeds the 74.5 zone
--> Today the IVO indicator alerted us of the first serious bullish signal ( Bull ) that could tell us that the price could be heading towards the 74.5 zone again. And if we add to this the TRADE WAR, it is very likely that it will go and overcome it without problems, passing the FORCE to bullish (Bull), and therefore, we will see with a high probability a new attack on the 79.3 area
--------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 74.5
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 79.3 area (+6.4%)
--> Stop Loss at 71.5 (-4%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4%) (coinciding with 71.5 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (79.3).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
usoil buy tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move.
UsOil / Crude oil insight I'm anticipating price to dump back to 73.390, Clearing the inducement at 73.485 then pushing to the upside till price break the current high.
Do you find this insightful?
USOIL TF 3D 3225wait till price come into the zone and break out with big green/red candles
entry (TF 2h,4h)
SL at previous low/high
TP at Fibonacci
This is the result of oil Rise as expectedIn my previous analysis, I told you that oil was on the rise, and this is the result: a 5% increase in oil.
Crude bouncingCrude prices shot higher overnight in response to President Trump’s insistence that he would be carrying through his tariff threat. As of Tuesday, the US will hit Canada and Mexico with 25% tariffs on their US exports, although the tariff on Canadian oil will be set at 10%, same as that on goods from China. Put together, oil from Mexico and Canada account for around 25% of all US oil imports. News of the tariffs saw crude prices jump higher overnight, with front-month WTI briefly topping $74.50, its highest level in a week. But prices pulled back subsequently, although were still significantly above Friday’s close. Complicating the matter further, there’s an OPEC+ meeting today. But members will probably be happy to see prices rising once again, and they are expected to keep their production cuts unchanged. Technically, crude prices were overdue a bounce, and had already started to recover from a two-week sell-off at the end of last week. This week should provide greater clarity over the length and strength of the possible rally.
Oil bullish potential + FibonacciNow, we start thinking about the bullish side. This morning, the oil price formed a new high for the last seven days, since last Monday. By placing Fibonacci on the chart, we see a pullback stop in the 50.0-61.8% zone. Oil has formed a higher low since Friday, and we need an impulse to move back above the EMA 200 hourly moving average to strengthen the bullish momentum. A potential first target is $76.00, then $76.80.
USOIL is taking off Broke the down trend with a massive bullish candles which means theres some liquidity on that support zone
LONG ON OILEconomically - Trump has placed Tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China
Technically - Chart has given a falling wedge into a major support/demand zone and has broken a downtrend line to the upside.
I expect oil will reach $80
Entry - 73.88
SL - 71.39
TP - 80.00
