USOIL: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 65.029 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 65.579.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
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XTIUSD trade ideas
Crude oil under pressure as geopolitical talks developCrude oil confirms the bearish trend, having pressured from intermediate-term peak. The fair price, according to the STEO forecast, stays at around $60 and that level might be perceived as a target area for the current price swing.
Geopolitical agenda adds more pressure on oil, as Steve Witkoff, the special negotiator from Donald Trump’s team, has visited Moscow and had a positive effect from talks with Vladimir Putin. Next week, markets will look forward to potential three-sided talks between Ukraine, Russia and the US. This situation adds more pressure to the already bearish Crude oil market.
One may think of cautious short positions in the direction of a price swing, closing it before “the news”.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 64.050.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 70.783.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Is oil price heading back up? Watching a potential inverse head and shoulders forming on the 30-minute chart for Oil.
🔹 Risk/Reward: 2.7
🔹 Entry: 63.290
🔹 Stop Loss: 63.043
🔹 Take Profit 1 (50%): 63.93
🔹 Take Profit 2 (50%): 64.21
A couple of key factors still need to align before I pull the trigger:
• One will confirm around 14:45 SAST (GMT+2)
• Looking for lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left
What do you think? Is oil ready to push higher?
Drop your thoughts or how you trade inverse head and shoulders below! 👇
Crude Oil (WTI / USOIL) Analysis:Crude oil is currently trading near a short-term resistance area at $64.00, while the overall trend remains bearish.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $63.25 and holds beneath it, we could see a move toward the $62.00 support level.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price regains strength and breaks above $64.00, it may retest the $65.00 level. With continued bullish momentum, it could reach as high as $66.30.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
WTI crude spotafter breaching 65.238 wti get more weaker as its wave 3 or c open and may take it to 57-58 $ but one bearish crab again also appear may develop. Levels in chart, sell on rally market but near that level with sl and buy signal one can see reversal. I am not Sebi registered analyst. This is not buy , sell hold recommendation.
UPDATE ON THIS MORNING'S TRADEEarly in the morning, I posted a trade (Sell USOIL) in which we trargeted the LQ level which the market came closer to and didn't touch, which isn't a big deal.
As you can see on the chart, as I told my students during the LIVE TRADING SESSION they assisted, it's all about trade management.
On the screenshot on the left, we added another order at 50% lvl of the FVG, xhich the market respected at that moment before giving us a double bottom which is a sign to the change of the movement of the market.
For a safe closure of the trade, as you can see in the picture on the left, we waited for the market to break through the 5min LQ we have to close, and that's what exactly happened.
We'll wait for another trade to take later in the US session.
Follow for more!
Crude Oil (WTI / USOIL) Analysis:Crude oil is currently trading near a short-term support zone around $64.70.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $64.00 and holds beneath it, we could see a decline toward $63.60 as the first target, followed by $62.00 as a secondary target.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price regains bullish momentum and breaks above $65.00, we may see a retest of the $66.70 area, and with continued buying pressure, a potential move toward $67.50.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
OUR TRADE FOR THE DAYEarly today, I posted that we'll be waiting for the market to give us an entry after grabbing the liquidity, we did have it and caught it.
I didn't share it since it was given to my students.
As you can see on the chart, the market gave us a FVG after that it did grab the liquidity which we entered based on to target again the LQ level to close with a good margin.
Follow for more!
WTI Crude: Bulls on the Back FootWTI crude oil has found plenty of willing buyers beneath $65 per barrel recently, often acting as a launchpad for abrupt squeezes higher. But with supply gushing as OPEC+ returns 2.2 million barrels per day to market at a time when concerns about the U.S. economy are growing, whether that continues remains debatable—especially after the sharp $5-plus slide over the past week.
With the price closing at its lowest level since early June on Tuesday, traders should be alert to the risk of an extension of the bearish move.
Given how often the price has been bid up beneath $65, the inclination is not to act immediately if Tuesday’s lows are taken out. Instead, $63.70 is a level to watch, having acted as resistance through May and June. A break below there would create a cleaner setup for shorts, allowing positions to be initiated with a stop just above for protection. $62.00 saw some action earlier in the year, but $60 looks the more compelling downside target.
RSI (14) is beneath 50 while MACD is negative, having already crossed below the signal line—both hinting that selling rallies may work better than buying dips near term.
Of course, if the contract can’t break $65 meaningfully despite the bearish backdrop, the setup could be flipped, allowing for longs to be established above with a stop beneath, targeting either the 200-day moving average or $68.44 resistance.
Good luck!
DS
Crude Oil drops below $70, reversal on the radar?Oil opened the week under pressure after OPEC+ confirmed a 547,000 bpd increase for September, completing a 2.5 million bpd reversal of past cuts—about 2.4% of global demand. The group is now undecided—future moves could be more hikes, a pause, or even cuts, depending on market conditions. Actual supply growth may be closer to 1.7 million bpd due to member constraints, while expectations are that this could be the last hike amid slowing demand and rising non-OPEC output. With oil demand softening, a Q4 surplus looming, and prices under $70, holding steady seems likely for now. Meanwhile, geopolitical pressure from Trump over Russian oil adds more uncertainty, where a final call by OPEC may come at the next meeting on September 7.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil is currently testing the support of the 50% weekly Fibonacci retracement level while the moving averages are still validating a bullish trend in the market. The Bollinger bands are expanding, showing that volatility is picking up in the market for crude oil, while the Stochastic oscillator is approaching extreme oversold levels, hinting that a bullish correction might be on the horizon in the upcoming sessions. If this scenario becomes reality, then the first area of potential resistance might be seen around the $70 level, which consists of the psychological resistance of the round number, the upper band of the Bollinger bands, and the previous medium-term high since late July.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
USOIL: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
USOIL
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry - 67.25
Stop - 66.67
Take - 68.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTIWTI crude oil (West Texas Intermediate) is one of the main global benchmarks for oil pricing, alongside Brent crude. It is a light, sweet crude oil primarily produced in the United States and traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). WTI is known for its high quality and low sulfur content, making it ideal for refining into gasoline and other fuels. Crude oil prices are influenced by a wide range of factors including global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ decisions, US shale production, and macroeconomic trends such as inflation and economic growth.
Over the past two decades, crude oil has experienced significant volatility. Prices surged to over $140 per barrel in 2008, collapsed during the global financial crisis, and again plummeted during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, when demand collapsed and prices briefly turned negative for the first time in history. The years following saw a sharp rebound as the global economy reopened and supply constraints persisted. However, rising interest rates, concerns about slowing global growth, and increasing energy transitions toward renewables have put downward pressure on oil demand in recent years.
As of August 2025, WTI crude oil is trading at $66.59 per barrel, reflecting a relatively weak energy market compared to its highs in 2022. The current price suggests concerns over slowing global industrial demand, increased US oil production, and ongoing geopolitical negotiations that have stabilized some of the previous supply shocks. While energy markets remain sensitive to global conflicts, economic shifts, and OPEC+ policy decisions, WTI at this level represents a market balancing between moderate demand and ample supply. It remains a critical asset for energy traders and a key indicator of global economic health.