WTI OIL TRADING IDEA 1 JULY 2025WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around $64.77, following a recent rejection from the $76–78 resistance zone. This area represents a strong supply zone and coincides with the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating institutional selling pressure. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, this move appears to be a liquidity grab above previous highs, where price tapped into a bearish order block before aggressively reversing. Price action confirms this bearish sentiment, with a visible rejection and bearish engulfing candle suggesting that sellers are defending the region aggressively.
On the supply and demand side, the $76.77–78.30 zone is the immediate supply zone, while the next key resistance above lies between $79.37 and $93.94. On the downside, demand lies at $58.69–64.00, with major demand and liquidity resting around $55.00 and $51.79. Fundamentally, the recent spike in oil prices was largely driven by heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly renewed conflict concerns between Iran and Israel. However, as no direct disruption to oil supply has occurred, the geopolitical risk premium is now being priced out. Additionally, concerns over global demand, especially from China and Europe, along with a gradual and controlled U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) refill, are putting downward pressure on prices despite OPEC+ maintaining output cuts.
Based on this analysis, the trade idea favors a bearish swing setup. A short position around $64.00–66.00 could be considered, targeting $58.69 as the first take-profit level, followed by $55.00 and $51.79 for extended targets. The stop loss should be placed just above $78.50 to allow room beyond the supply zone and trendline. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3. However, if price breaks and holds above $78.50, it may signal a structural shift toward bullish momentum, likely driven by unexpected geopolitical escalation or a change in OPEC strategy. In such a case, the bias should flip to bullish, with potential targets around $89.00–93.00.
XTIUSD trade ideas
WTI Oil H1 | Rising into an overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 66.82 which is an overlap resistance that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 62.51 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Bulls on the Loose: US Oil Spot/WTI Heist Strategy! 🚨💰 THE OIL VAULT HEIST: US OIL SPOT/WTI TRADING STRATEGY 💸🔫
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Based on our 🔥Thief Trading style analysis🔥 (both technical and fundamental), here’s the master plan to heist the US Oil Spot/WTI Energy Market. Follow the blueprint carefully—this strategy focuses on long entries, with a daring escape planned near the high-risk Red ATR line Zone where bearish robbers and consolidation traps await. 🏆💸 Take your profit and treat yourself, fellow traders—you earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🕵️♂️ Entry 📈
💥 The vault is wide open! Time to swipe that bullish loot—heist is on!
Place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe, near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
🛑 Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Thief’s SL—recent swing low and below the moving average (4H timeframe) for day/swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 Target
🏴☠️💥 69.000 (Aim for the big loot!) OR escape before the target
🔥 Market Heist Overview
The UK Oil Spot/Brent market is currently showing bullishness 🐂, driven by key factors—perfect for a day/scalping trade robbery! ☝☝☝
📰 Additional Tools & Analysis
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⚠️ Trading Alert: News Releases & Position Management
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✅ Avoid new trades during news releases.
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USOIL The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 65.03 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long) signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 68.89
Recommended Stop Loss - 63.01
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL HEIST ALERT: Thief Entry Loaded – Target Locked!🚨 The Ultimate US OIL / WTI Heist Plan – Thief Trading Style 🎯💸
Hey Money Makers, Hustlers, Market Bandits! 🌍
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We’re back with a slick WTI energy market heist based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥—powered by a mix of technical & fundamental strategies. The vault is wide open and the bullish loot awaits!
🗺️ Strategy Brief:
We’re aiming for a clean bullish getaway near the high-risk MA zone—where traps are set and bearish robbers lurk. Watch out for overbought zones, trend reversals, and consolidation ambushes.
📈 Entry Point:
“The vault is open! Enter the bullish heist at will.”
Look to place Buy Limit Orders around swing highs/lows or pullback levels on the 15m–30m timeframe.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set your Thief SL around the recent swing low using the 3H timeframe (example: 60.300).
Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries.
🎯 Target: 65.200
That's where we celebrate the score, traders! 🥂💸
📊 Heist Justification (Fundamentals + Sentiment):
The WTI market is currently bullish, fueled by a mix of:
✅ Macro economics
✅ COT data
✅ Seasonal trends
✅ Intermarket signals
✅ Inventory & storage dynamics
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🚫 Avoid fresh entries during major news releases
✅ Use trailing stops to protect running gains
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Weekly Market ReportIn this week’s video, I break down the key technical levels and market dynamics across four major instruments: S&P 500 (/ES), Gold (XAUUSD), Crude Oil (WTI), and Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We explore price structure, liquidity zones, and potential setups with a focus on probability-based trade planning and risk management. Whether you're a swing trader or intraday participant, this breakdown offers valuable insight into the week ahead.
USOIL: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 65.100 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 65.468 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
WTI OIL Might be close to the end of correction or finished it.there are definetly more than 1 posibilities in this one, 1 more down wave can occur and that is why i have a invalidation level. long term definetly buy but short and mid term is just not very clear, i am thinking it s time to buy. what i am going to do is keep track of it a bit more in short term and if it gives me good buying opportunity near the below i will enter the trade with a stop loss. and if it upbrakes possible impulse wave will occur and i will buy again to mid term target. so for now keep an eye on it and buy if the opportunity arise.
The idea of oscillating crude oil
💡Message Strategy
Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years
In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year.
Import boom driven by price
What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May.
Geopolitics and market uncertainty
The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market?
The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
Oil volatility expected to remain on Middle East tensions.Fundamental
Oil prices remain under pressure. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders digest inventory data, watch for geopolitical shifts, and anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 6, where supply policy could change.
Technical
Technical indicators remain strongly bearish with RSI favouring further downside below pivot level 65.53 toward support levels at 63.76 and 60.00. A break above 65.53 sees a move towards resistance levels at 66.50 and 69.00 subsequently
USOIL: Bullish Correction Ahead! Buy!
USOIL
- Classic bullish correction formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry Level - 65.16
Sl - 62.68
Tp - 68.86
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Crude oil fluctuates in a narrow range, waiting for direction
💡Message Strategy
Middle East ceasefire eases supply concerns, but risk premium remains
Oil prices rose more than 1% on the day as investors weighed the status of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have announced an end to hostilities, US intelligence reports show that Iran's nuclear capabilities have only been temporarily damaged. ING analysts pointed out that although immediate concerns about supply disruptions have subsided, potential risks remain, a factor that may support spot prices in the short term.
Previously, crude oil prices soared after the US military action on Iranian infrastructure, but prices have retreated as the ceasefire continues. Although the geopolitical premium has been reduced, it has not been fully digested.
API shows a sharp drop in inventories, traders await EIA report
Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that US crude oil inventories fell sharply by 4.23 million barrels in the week ending June 20, far higher than the expected drop of 800,000 barrels. Gasoline and distillate inventories increased by 400,000 barrels each.
Market focus now turns to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report scheduled for release on Wednesday. Traders were expecting a 1.2 million-barrel draw in inventories, and confirmation of that figure by the EIA, widely viewed as an industry benchmark, would reinforce expectations of tighter supply.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 67. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) is in a narrow range of consolidation, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines slowly rise below the zero axis, and the long and short positions are in a stalemate, with no obvious advantage on one side. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a consolidation pattern during the day.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 65.50-64.50
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50
USOIL - REVERSAL Market is in bearish trend, however there is a bullish divergence on 1H time- which means market may take a deep correction. Futher harmonic pattern Bullish crab is also in formation.
Take the entry above the break of LH and stoploss below the D point / LL. and TPs with R:R ratio of 1:1 and 1:2
Thanks.
Bulish oil WTI)
✅ Overall Market Structure:
After a steady bullish trend, price has experienced a sharp drop and is now reacting to a demand zone around 64.955. The recent price action suggests signs of potential stabilization and a possible bullish reversal.
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🟩 Key Levels:
Major Support Zone:
The area between 64.00 – 65.00 acts as a strong demand zone, which has shown prior reactions.
Resistance / Target Levels:
67.398 (first resistance and short-term target)
69.231 (mid-level resistance)
72.879 (main target if bullish momentum continues)
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📈 Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Current Chart):
After touching the demand zone, price seems to be forming a potential bottom. If a strong bullish candlestick appears (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer), we can expect a corrective or impulsive move to the upside.
🔸 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 63.80
🔸 Target 1: 67.40
🔸 Target 2: 69.20
🔸 Target 3: 72.80
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⚠️ Important Notes:
1. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
2. If the support at 64 breaks, price may drop further toward the next demand zone around 61.00–60.00 (next major support lies at 59.415).
3. Keep an eye on oil-related news and U.S. economic reports (noted with calendar icons on the chart), as they can strongly impact volatility.
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Shorts on Oil.... And on the NEWS and via brokers - they all wanted to go LONG because of war news....
🛢️ Massive Oil Selloff Caught by ELFIEDT – RSI + Reversion
Instrument: US Crude Oil (WTI)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: Monday, 23 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 What Happened:
On Monday, the ELFIEDT system printed a clear “DOWN” signal on WTI Crude right near the local high before the market collapsed over the next two days.
The market looked strong—until it wasn’t. ELFIEDT flagged early signs of exhaustion while most traders were still bullish. What followed was a freefall from above $77 all the way to near $65.
💰 The Result:
From the signal candle, price dropped over 1,000 points (more than $12 per barrel).
That single short signal gave traders:
✅ A high-probability entry at the top
✅ A strong risk-reward setup
✅ A clean ride through the trend without confusion
This is what the ELFIEDT system is built for—finding early entries with strong downside follow-through.
📌 Why This Matters:
There was no need to chase the trend or react late.
ELFIEDT gave the heads-up, visually and confidently.
You don’t need to guess trend tops or bottoms anymore.
You just need to trust the process.
📈 One Signal. One Opportunity. Massive Result.
This WTI example shows the precision of ELFIEDT during volatile markets.
Whether it’s indices or commodities, the logic holds.
This is how you take control of reversals.
WTI USOILKey Factors Affecting US Oil Prices Today:
Geopolitical Developments:
Oil prices had surged earlier in June due to US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. However, prices fell sharply after a ceasefire was announced between Israel and Iran, easing immediate supply concerns.
Inventory Data:
Market participants are awaiting US crude and fuel inventory reports. Recent data showed a significant drawdown in US crude stocks, supporting prices despite geopolitical easing.
Demand Signals:
US refinery utilization has increased, and gasoline demand is near multi-year highs, indicating strong domestic consumption that underpins oil prices.
Market Sentiment:
After a recent two-day plunge (Brent fell over 6%), oil prices are recovering as investors reassess the durability of the ceasefire and ongoing demand fundamentals.