POSSIBLE BUY OPPORTUNITY ON OILOIL has been strongly bullish lately. We see a nice area of demand converging on a support line. We aim to take a buy at this point!
XTIUSD trade ideas
Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.
Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.
USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78
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USOIL Remains Bullish Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Steady Fed USOIL – Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical and Policy Factors
The ongoing escalation in the Middle East, combined with Jerome Powell's stance on holding interest rates steady, continues to support bullish momentum across commodities, including oil.
Technical Outlook:
USOIL remains bullish as long as it trades above 72.72 and more firmly above 70.40, with upside potential toward 77.30 and 79.50. If bullish momentum persists, a further extension to 84.14 is possible, supported by geopolitical risks.
A bearish shift is only likely if significant de-escalation or negotiations between Israel and Iran take place.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Point: 72.90
• Resistance: 77.29, 79.50, 84.10
• Support: 66.87, 63.52, 59.00
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while price holds above 68.53
WTI OIL SPOT / Crude Oil SpotCrude has appreciated from 55 odd levels to 73+
In the wake of Iran israel conflict...
Crude is likely to surge higher...
Above 94$ Crude cruising to 102/104 levels in all likelihood.
Have marked important levels on chart for ur perusal
Happy trading
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Crude Oil to Continue Breaking Higher HighsMiddle East Tensions Escalate Sharply: Israel Launches Preemptive Strike on Iran, Targeting Nuclear-related Facilities
Iran's state media confirmed that senior Revolutionary Guard leaders were killed in the attack, with nuclear scientists and facilities also suffering heavy damage. In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment. Oil prices are likely to oscillate at high levels or even edge higher. From a daily chart perspective, crude oil's moving average system forms a bullish arrangement, confirming the unchanged short-term objective uptrend. The morning session K-line closes as a large bullish candlestick, aligning with the primary upward trend. The MACD indicator is bullishly diverging above the zero axis, with bullish momentum prevailing. Intraday crude oil is expected to continue breaking higher.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
Bearisj outlook on usoil Structurally, usoil is in a bearish engineering liquidity phase , I expect to see a bearish push tohe downside from his level
Crude oil is gaining volatilityCrude oil accelerates the momentum as the geopolitical situation escalates. Volatility is high, so trading might be dangerous both for longs and shorts, especially for day or short-term traders.
So, it would make sense to wait for a while until the “smoke goes down” and the price would establish a temporary trading range, which would later be broken to any direction.
The price currently is above the 20-day moving average for $12 in terms of asset price, which is more than 5 times greater than the average daily volatility. It either points to the “overheated” situation or potentially a momentum situation, which means the rapid continuation to the upside after a short phase of consolidation (usually 2-3 days).
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Unfortunate but an opportunity nonetheless Welcome to warring times. Energy of all kinds, oil, and many of the likes will see major spikes as conflicts and tensions rise. Currencies will spike and crash and gold MAY inflate as times of uncertainties rallies gold bulls like school bells to kids for recess.
USOIL: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 73.387 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 72.481.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL The current conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a sharp spike in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a geopolitically sensitive region that is critical for global energy flows.
Key Effects on Oil Prices:
Price Surge:
Oil prices jumped over 7% on June 13, 2025, reaching multi-month highs. Brent crude rose to $76.190 close 73.535 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to around $77.542 before closing at 72.91 per barrel on Friday
Earlier intraday spikes were even higher, with Brent briefly surging over 13% and WTI over 14%, marking the largest single-day gains since March 2022.
Risk Premium and Supply Concerns:
The Israeli strike on Iran significantly raised the "risk premium" on oil prices as markets worry about potential retaliation by Iran targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil.
Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day (3% of global supply) and exports 1.5 million barrels daily, mainly to China and Turkey. Disruptions here could tighten global supply considerably.
Potential for Further Price Increases:
Analysts warn that if the conflict escalates, oil prices could surge beyond current levels, potentially topping $93 to $100 per barrel if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or attacks Gulf energy installations.
Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude could peak slightly above $90 per barrel before falling back as supply stabilizes.
Broader Market Impact:
The conflict has also caused stock market declines and a flight to safe-haven assets like gold, which rose sharply alongside the oil price spike.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to rise in the coming days due to higher crude costs, potentially increasing fuel prices significantly if the conflict worsens.
Summary
The Iran-Israel conflict has already caused a major jump in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a key oil-producing region. The risk of Iran retaliating by targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained higher prices, with some analysts warning of a possible spike to $93–$100 per barrel if tensions escalate further. This situation is closely monitored by markets given its potential to impact global energy supplies and inflation worldwide
#USOIL #OIL
Crude oilCurrent Price: 62.60
Mid-Point Range: 59.23 to 62.03
Upside Targets: 70.53, 75.53, 76.90 and 87.75 (Between 75.53 & 76.90 could be next
Posible range to be in a consolidation mode.
Downside Targets: 53.53, 47.15, 42.93, 30.70
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 73.374.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks
Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices.
Peak Demand Season Support
Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices.
Panic Sentiment Drive
Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices.
USOIL
buy@71-72
TP:75~76
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Crude Oil Weekly Chart Watch
The weekly crude oil line is still running within the channel. This is very interesting.
Last week, due to geopolitical conflicts, crude oil rose rapidly to the upper edge of the weekly channel.
It closed with a long upper shadow weekly K line.
This point is not suitable for chasing more. Observe more.
Wait and see
My personal opinion：Still leaning towards bullish
If it were you, what would you choose?
Welcome to discuss
Iran vs Israel Conflict: Which assets are being affected?The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has had a notable impact on global stock markets and currency pairs, primarily driven by concerns over oil supply disruptions and increased geopolitical uncertainty.
Here's a breakdown of the affected assets:
Stocks
Overall Market Decline: Major global stock indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and India's Sensex and Nifty 50, have experienced declines following the escalation of tensions.
Negatively Impacted Sectors/Stocks:
Airlines & Travel: Companies like United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, American Airlines, and cruise operators (e.g., Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Carnival Corp.) have seen sharp losses due to surging fuel costs and reduced travel sentiment. Hotel operators (e.g., Hilton, Marriott) and car rental companies (e.g., Avis Budget Group, Hertz) also felt the impact.
Consumer Discretionary: Companies tied to discretionary spending and those with high energy-input costs (e.g., General Motors, Ford, Target, Best Buy, Nike) have been negatively affected, as rising oil prices can impact consumer behaviour.
Technology & Financials: Broad technology companies, particularly those producing consumer goods, and the financial sector have seen declines.
US-listed Israeli Companies: Companies like Check Point Software Technologies, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Mobileye Global, and eToro Group experienced drops.
Positively Impacted/Benefiting Sectors/Stocks:
Oil & Energy: Oil prices surged, leading to gains for energy stocks such as Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, and Diamondback Energy.
Defence: Defence contractors like Lockheed Martin, RTX Corporation, and Northrop Grumman have rallied due to increased geopolitical uncertainty.
Gold Miners: Shares of gold miners (e.g., Newmont, AngloGold Ashanti) rose as gold prices climbed, driven by safe-haven demand.
Renewable Energy/EVs: Electric-vehicle maker Tesla and solar power companies like First Solar and SolarEdge Technologies saw gains, possibly as alternatives to fossil fuels.
Currency Pairs
Safe-Haven Currencies Strengthen:
US Dollar (USD): The US dollar has rallied against most G7 currencies, benefiting from safe-haven flows.
Japanese Yen (JPY): The Japanese Yen strengthened as investors sought safety.
Swiss Franc (CHF): The Swiss Franc also gained alongside other safe-haven assets.
Gold (XAU/USD): Gold prices surged to multi-month highs, trading above $3,400 per troy ounce, reflecting strong safe-haven demand.
Risk-Sensitive Currencies Weaken:
Euro (EUR/USD): The EUR/USD pair retreated, with the Euro being "hardly damaged" initially but experiencing downward pressure from the escalating conflict.
Australian Dollar (AUD) & New Zealand Dollar (NZD): These risk-sensitive Asian currencies weakened.
Indian Rupee (INR): The Indian Rupee weakened against the US dollar due to the impact of rising crude oil prices on India, a major oil importer.
While the immediate market response has shown volatility and a "risk-off" sentiment, some analysts suggest that the longer-term impact will depend on the conflict's duration and whether it escalates into a broader regional or global issue, particularly concerning oil supply disruptions.
Captures 1:15 in US OIL Today i captures 1:15 in us oil
the annalysis was simple and clean as always i took trade on breakout of zone with proper research & annalysis and booom, as always we got our profit
follow us for more learing here
Iran 🇮🇷 vs Israel 🇮🇱 Oil Rally #USOIL Buy 67.30Iran 🇮🇷 vs Israel 🇮🇱 Oil Rally
#USOIL Buy 67.30
SL 66.70
TP 67.50
TP 68.30
TP 69.70
TP 77.30
TP 87.30
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard 🧙♂️ SWFX
Oil Price Rally Stalls at $77.72, Just Below 2025 HighFenzoFx—Oil prices resumed their bullish trend, accelerating after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rally paused at $77.72, just below the 2025 high.
RSI 14 indicates an overbought market, while volume accumulation at $73.7 suggests possible sell orders. A consolidation phase is likely before further gains.
If oil pulls back, key demand zones at $64.00 and $66.00 offer bullish opportunities, with a potential move toward the 2025 high at $80.59.
Forget all the narratives and storylines about silver & oil.Forget all the narratives and storylines about silver & oil.
You only need ONE chart to understand the essential.
Oil prices surge amid Middle East turmoil
💡Message Strategy
WTI prices climbed to a nearly two-month high, weighed down by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is upward around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly oscillating upward. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range.
From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 80 line.
The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and hit a new high of 70. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. The K-line closed with a large real positive line in the early trading, showing an upward main trend.
The MACD indicator opened upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to break upward during the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.00-72.20，Target 75.50
USOIL:Go long
Stay on the long side.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@71.8-72.3
TP: 74-74.3
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
