UsdzarThe USDZAR decreased 0.2310 or 1.21% to 18.8042 on Friday April 26 from 19.0352 in the previous trading session. Historically, the South African Rand reached an all time high of 19.92 in June of 2023
ZARUSD trade ideas
USDZAR-B8Y strategy (still) 4-hourlyMy trading model had the right SL and we can re-enter lower again around 18.8000 below. The RSI is oversold, and we are way below GANN angle levels as well.
Sorry to state, and did not have the run down of course, but that is part of life. Other positions are fine, so we have to keep on tracking it.
Strategy BUY @ 18.7650-18.8200 and place SL below 18.6150. we need more room now for the oversold status we are in.profit level I suggest 19.0350 for now.
Blue wedge is narrowing on the ZARThe USDZAR has bounced up aggressively after the major blue support range held its ground at 18.40. The pair climbed a full rand to 19.40 within two weeks after touching the 3-month low of 18.40.
The red resistance range has however managed to come to the rand’s rescue which has allowed the pair to slide back below the downward blue trend line. The blue wedge I have been highlighting is narrowing and it is only a matter of time before we see a breakout.
The critical rate to watch remains at 18.97. A failed break below 18.97 will be the first indication of a top side break of the wedge which will see the rand fold to 19.65 against the dollar. A break below 18.97 will however allow the rand to re-test the bottom end of the wedge around the 200-day MA mark at 18.75. I’m currently leaning towards a top side break out of the blue wedge given the rand’s subdued gains from the recent rise in precious metal prices, the lead up to the local elections (29 May) and the broad-based dollar strength.
A break below 18.97 and the 50-day MA at 18.89 will however force me to reassess.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 4-hourly chartI had yesterday completely wrong, and it was because I felt GOLD should move lower, and it did not. It will of course move towards $ 2,100 over time, but not as yet as it has been holding its ground.
The pair was stationed within the triangle, and the idea of moving higher, for later SELL did not happen. It happens and its a part of trading.
Now we have a lower stochastic, and perhaps it has some room lower, but somewhere we will turn up.
Strategy BUY @ 18.9650-19.0200 and place SL below 19.9050 and profit order @ 19.3575 for now.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategy 4-hourlyThe pair is remaining high and GOLD remains low, and may move lower. even though I feel the pair will go south eventually, for now feel we may see a move higher breaking upwars through the triangle and reach 19.3500 area. Thereafter we sell again.
Strategy BUY @ 19.1750-19.2100 and place SL below 19.0750 and take profit @ 19.3400
USDZAR IS NOW GIVING US ANOTHER CHANCE TO ENTER AGAINAfter hitting the 100% Retest zone, USDZAR returned to the MARKET GLITCH STRUCTURE, providing us with another opportunity to make additional entries. More entries will be opened when the market the c-re-entry levels and more money will be made.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly The pair moved little higher on the back of GOLD decline.The stochastic is positive.
We are still protected by GANN resistance, and also still outside the ascending wedge, suggesting we may see lower levels later on, is my personal view.
Strategy SELL @ 19.1750-19.2150 and place SL above 19.3150 and take profit @ 18.9350.
USDZAR 21/04/2024Weekly:
-Last weekly bullish candle could get filled.
-Inverse H&S pattern.
Daily:
-Bullish M pattern.
-IC.
4H:
-Bullish M pattern.
-OB.
USDZAR BEARS NOW SETTING IN HEAVEY PRESSUREThe first entries are to be opened at the current price, with the hope that we will get the most out of that movement.
We looking forward to the movement giving the most.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chartAs noted previously, the SL had been placed fine, an d re-instated SELL @ 19.3100 area. Now we have declined sharply and stochastic is negative. we are attracting the 18.9000 direction based on GANN angle.
For now, we may have SOLD new (at the time I provided an analysis) at 19.2500-19.2800 area and now we are taking profit around 19.0150.
For new strategy SELL @ 19.1150 - 19.1650 and place SL above 19.3200 and take profit @ 18.9350 for now.
USDZAR 5-wave impulse.If the support at 19.10 hold we will se a move higher towards 19.60. A break below the critical support of 18.97 will invalidate the idea.
USDZAR-SELL strategy daily chartThe previous update on daily chart was a BUY strategy and worked out well. Profit order done @ 19.1750 area.
Now we are becoming overbought and regression channel suggests we may see a movement between 19.9300 and 19.4100 on top side. the stochastic is negative and therefore I see potential test of 19.0000 again
Strategy SELL @ 19.2575 - 19.3150 and take profit @ 19.0150. SL above 19.4150.
USDZAR-BUY strategy Daily chartThe pair is looking a BUY on daily chart, and range for BUY needs careful consideration, using 4-hourly as well. GOLD supports the likely chance for a stronger up move over time.
Stochastic is positive, and judging historical context, we have a chance to test 19.0150 and maybe we reach 19.2500 again.
Strategy BUY between 18.6150-18.7300 I feel. SL below 18.5150 and profit order @ 19.1750 for now.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chartThe SL was right to have, and reinstating at 19.3100 area, unfortunately was outside on the way and not being able to provide that idea. However, we are starting in a decline mode, but would prefer careful entry at the selected level.
Strategy SELL @ 19.2500-19.3000 when seen again and place SL above 19.4150. Profit order now @ 19.0150 area.
Possible 5-wave impulse on USD ZARA failed break below 19.10 will be an indication of a 5-wave impulse to 19.60.
Critical support level remains on 18.97
Re-test of rates above 19.00The rand has been able to weather the storms of the broad-based stronger dollar thanks to the spike in precious metal prices however the rand did stumble at the back end of last week following the higher-than-expected US CPI print. The critical rates to watch on the USDZAR pair is the 61.8% Fibo rate of 18.97 and the 200-day MA rate of 18.75. I expect the 200-day MA to hold its ground given the renewed geopolitical uncertainties which will see the pair re-test the 18.97 resistance rate. A break above 18.97 will see the rand fold further towards 19.15.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chartThe pair has made a wonderful climb and the daily chart suggestion worked out well as we reached that objective. Now the 4-hourly chart is starting to feel heavy on upside.
The stochastic is negative last few sessions already.
Strategy SELL @ 19.0200-19.0750 and place SL above 19.1550 for now. Profit order @ 18.8350.
USDZAR PLAYEDOUT NICEThis week on USDZAR bulls were having 100% chance of applying enough momentum for then to dominate the trend, since the sentiment have confirmed, we now gonna close buy orders.
USDZAR BULLS ARE TRYING BUY ALL MEANS :This week on USDZAR bulls are having 70% chance of applying enough momentum for then to dominate the trend, since the sentiment have confirmed, we now gonna open pending buy stop orders on the c-re-rentry level as displayed on the chart.
longDolla looks like it is gaining strengh this week . based on technical analysis my price action shows a 90%rule that the USDZAR should reach before falling but let's patiently wait for it
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chartThe pair has spiked a bit on the back of weakening GOLD price, which is heavily overbought for some time.
Stochastic is slightly negative, and on the high side, but did does not suggest we cannot see it return higher. I rather focus on the pattern, and as depicted, likely a "false bull flag" pattern is the case.
Strategy SELL @ 18.8700-18.9300 range and place SL above 19.0350. Profit order @ 18.6150 for now.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 4-hourly chartThe pair is under pressure and likely we may see a test of 18.5150.
Strategy SELL @ 18.7450 - 18.7750 and place SL above 18.8575 and profit order @ 18.5650.
