ZARUSD trade ideas
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY 3 hourly chart strategy KAGII am not very convinced that we will turnaround as yet. The issue being, longer-term charts showing still negativity for the pair for 6-hourly and beyond. The 3-hourly chart seems to have some positive indicators, and its oversold slightly. That is why am a careful BUY, and prefer neutral stance.
1. Strategy BUY @ 18.0750-18.1150 and take profit near 18.2750
2. Strategy SELL @ 18.1500 - 18.1850 and take profit near 17.9850 based on 6-hourly chart.
It's impossible but the USD/ZAR says it's going to R16,80I know I know.
No way, will we ever see the rand at R17.00 let alone R16.80.
But the charts say it's possible. I doubt it will be allowed with such inflationary issues. However, with an unstable US presidency and an uncertain world with the US Dollar it actually has some semblance of possibility.
HEre are some other reasons for upside for the ZAR:
1. High Interest Rates Attracting Investors
If global central banks start cutting rates while South Africa keeps them high, investors looking for better returns could pile into the Rand.
2. Stronger Commodity Prices Boosting Exports
Higher gold, platinum, and coal prices mean more foreign money flowing into South Africa, which naturally strengthens the Rand.
3. Government Pushing for Economic Reforms
If the government sticks to promised reforms—like fixing Eskom and reducing debt—investors might regain confidence in the economy.
4. Lower Inflation Stabilizing the Economy
If inflation cools down, it gives the Reserve Bank more room to maneuver and keeps the Rand from getting battered by price instability.
5. A Weaker U.S. Dollar Playing Its Part
If the U.S. Federal Reserve starts cutting rates, the dollar could lose steam, making the Rand look relatively stronger.
TECHNICALS:
Price <20 and the MAJOR 200MA
Price below Inv Cup and Handle
Target R16.80
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 6 hourly KAGII am inclined to see the pair a bit lower. Most indicators are still negative, and we have room until 17.8500 area main support area. I am not suggesting we go that fare, but there is little more room to test 18.0000 - 17.9500 area before recovery I think.
Strategy is suggested SELL @ 18.13509-18.1650 and take profit near 17.9850-18.0100 area.
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is reacting of the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.06195
1st Support: 17.90904
1st Resistance: 18.21062
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 6 horuly chart KAGIWe have some supporting evidence to see lower levels for the pair as indicate with my previous issued BUY strategy around 18.1000- 18.1350. However, I wish to note, that the decline can be a little larger based on KAGI chart. We clearly have broken below 18.3150 and outside the support of the triangle or APEX.
Strategy SELL @ 18.1650-18.2150 and take profit near 18.0350 for now.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 6 hourly chart GANNThe pair is under pressure and judging Fisher Form, we may see a little weakness more. The reason for BUY is that USDX and the AO and others not shown, show potential for recovery and overall we will likely see a return to 18.5500 area.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1000-18.1350 and take profit near 18.4950.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategy 6 hourly chart Line Break (2)The pair is trading in the lower band of the channel, and feels may go lower. However, based on the technical picture, we are still in BUY mode, and as mentioned yesterday, it is in a large range, and I remain neutral BUY since I have no clear green light to go ahead with being long.
Strategy for those willing: BUY @ 18.2350-18.2850 and take profit near 18.4150 for now. It stalled around there yesterday.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategy 9 Hourly chart - Heikin AshiThe pair is personally for me in a range, and no significance in terms of direction. I wish to note, we are slightly on BUY side as fisher form provides some support to that view point. We have a trend line around 18.4000 that must be captured first, before I would feel more confident in seeing higher levels. The trend-line holding it, is in fact a S/H/S top formation, as I had mentioned some days back which may have an overall objective of 17.2300 area.
For now shirt-term strategy BUY 18.3000-18.3400 and hope for the break and take profit near 18.5350. I prefer to be side line though.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategy 3-hourly chart - Heikin AshiThe pair is basing a bit now, and we have indicators suggesting we may see higher levels in the near future. The resistance 18.3650 area is in tact still, even though we tried and moved higher, but returned lower again.
Overall we are improving, and there is a chance to see movement back towards 18. 4900 test.
Strategy BUY @ 18.3750 or slightly higher on confirmed break and take profit near 18.5350 for now.
USDZAR-SELL strategy Daily chart Line Break (2)The possible S/H/S top suggest strongly we may see a large decline coming months to 17.2300 area. the head high vs. the neckline corresponding to it, suggest a roughly 1.12 points drop from the estimated break point 18.3300 area.
Strategy SELL current @ 18.25-18.40 (take it a wide range for the large objective) and take profit let's say at 17.4350 for now.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 18.32616
1st Support: 18.05807
1st Resistance: 18.46573
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is reacting the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 18.3261
1st Support: 18.0580
1st Resistance: 18.4657
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 6 hourly chrt Line Break 2xThis chart is useful for trend analysis is required. We have seen the lows 18.01s and we recovered strongly again. Line break chart suggest we may see higher levels, including Fisher form assisting the direction as well.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1950 - 18.2450 and take profit below 18.4800 area (trend line resistance)
USDZAR-SELL strategy Kagi chartThink we may have some corrective action up to maximum 18.2750 area I think. We can play the range as we are oversold and likely we will see 18.1050 hold short-term and the pair may range then between that and 18.2750 area. Overall we may see a move lower and test 18.0100.
Strategy SELL @ 18.2450 - 18.2750 and take profit near 18.0150 for now.
Range play possible between 18.1050 and 18.2750 for now.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 6 hourly chartThe pair went through 18.2900 area and was the catalyst for sharp down move and in line with Kagi chart I shared some days before that we have an overall objective somewhere 17.4500. However, nothing will be a on way street, and we are slightly oversold now. Careful BUY entry may be the way to go today.
Strategy BUY @ 18.1150-18.1450 and take profit near 18.2750 area.