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SOUTH AFRICAN RAND / U.S. DOLLAR

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ZARUSD trade ideas

USDZAR Finding Support on PitchforkThe USDZAR found support on the lower point of the Pitchfork & could not continue to the 200 day moving average, the expectation is price to begin trending upwards, the black and the pink lines form a parallel channel within the pitchfork, price fell out of that channel & where the black meets the pitchfork line is an interesting place for price to consolidate (double resistance) before another attempt higher. Given time, we expect the trend to support the Rand firming over the medium term. We must also be cognizant of the environment, recession figures will begin to feed into emotions, so a US dollar spike is not out of the question resulting in a hit on stock markets.
Long
by runyamhere
6
USDZAR analysis with the rand to strengthen to R15.90?Right off the bat, I normally get short analyses wrong with USD/ZAR. But the system is the system, so I have to keep to the rules. Since the trade hit my first target at R18.90, it's been forming an Inverse Cup and Handle. Now the price has broken below, which means the USD is likely to weaken from here. The indicators however are conflicted. 7>21 (about to cross) Price >200 - But the price could also drop below it entering a downtrend RSI<50 Target 1 for this analysis is an absurd R15.90. Let's see how this plays out. For argument sake, I hope it's right this time. Paying 27 US Dollars for 2 Prime cans was not the best investment of my life. And I know, I got ripped off!
Short
by Timonrosso
USDZAR - 200dmaUSDZAR has arrived at the 200dma after tagging my top side level of R19.13 Will need to see how it reacts here today and tomorrow. R18.43 needs a retest. The 200-day moving average is a technical analysis tool that helps investors and traders determine the overall market trend. It is calculated by taking the average closing price of a security over the past 200 days (or 40 weeks) and plotting it on a chart. The moving average can give traders a sense regarding whether the stock is in an uptrend or downtrend. When the price of a stock is above its 200-day moving average, it is generally considered to be in an uptrend, while when it is below the 200-day moving average, it is considered to be in a downtrend.
by Trader-Dan
4
Buying opportunitie on usdzarUsdzar tapped into a daily point of demand on a daily time frame, after it created a change of character then continued to break structure to the upside confirm bullish trend. All confluence have been met. 1. price confirmed reversal of structure and confirmed further by breaking structure ( drop base really,price dropped ,took liquidity and tapped into the daily poi.price then created a consolidation phase which is the base the price rallied up and broke structure.) 2. After price broke last higher low, created a chock. 3.price created liquidity in a form of trend line 4. Price left imbalance and also left an order block at a discount level of Demand. 2
Long
by wisemanhlokoa
1
USDZAR ShortAn area of interest is seen from the 4H to the daily timeframe. This is the area where retail traders were already taking their short positions with stop losses just above, and a lot of pending buy stops on the same level. What then happens in this area is that the market pushes above that level to hit stop losses and trigger buy stop orders and immediatetly returns below the level. This is a process known as a "liquidity sweep". This process is advantageous for the more patient traders because with the long position opened in order to liquidate the AOI, those orders have to be close in order to move the market lower as everyone expects. These are the levels we enter from.
Short
by Trade_Fanatics
Volatile FOMC and Non-Farm payrolls week aheadIt looks like the pair will complete an A-B-C corrective pattern which could allow the rand to pull the pair onto the blue 50% Fibo rate of 18.22. The navy-blue channel has been broken and the bottom end of the channel now serves as a neckline resistance. This neckline also coincides satisfyingly with the 50-day MA. The failed break above the 50-day MA as well as the resistance rate at 18.97 (the bottom of the previous 4th wave impulse) is rand positive. The pair is now working into a wedge between the 50-day MA and the bottom of the current smaller upward channel. A break below the blue 38.2% Fibo rate at 18.611 will confirm a channel break which will allow the rand to make some gains. The support range to watch is between 18.44 and 18.54 as the rand attempts the move towards 18.22. Technically the daily MACD buy signal is rolling over and it looks set to cross to a sell signal and the RSI also has room to move lower before hitting oversold zones which are both rand positive. Lots of volatility is expected for this week however, Thursday we have the latest FOMC minuets and on Friday it’s non-farm payrolls so keep stop tight for in case the small upward channel holds its ground. Strategy: Place sell limits anywhere above 18.75; take profits zones at 18.45 and 18.25. Longer-term support at 200-day MA (18.00) still looks strong for now.
Short
by Goose96
1
USDZAR | Weekly | UpdateUSDZAR | Weekly Looking to the left on USDZAR based on my initial analysis, we notice that we he had a target for USDZAR at 21.2xxxx - 21.5xxxx after which we saw USDZAR rally all the way up to 19.93xxx creating a new high for the USDZAR we saw it fail to break above our 20.xxxxx psychological level. After failing to break above the 20.xxxxx level we noticed the ZAR “try” to recover it’s losses against the USD creating or current base as after falling from around 19.93xxx we can see the USDZAR finding support at 18.08xxx and bouncing up from there and currently trading above our 18.5xxxx Psychological level at 18.7xxxx. Looking to the right, if USDZAR fails to push down and break our support at 18.08xxx - 17.74xxx we can consider that area as our new base and we can expect the USDZAR to push further up and may potentially break our 20.xxxxx psychological level while still expecting it to head up to 21.2xxxx - 21.5xxxx.
Long
by mosa_moshka
Neutral view atm... The rand closed the week roughly 7 cents weaker against the dollar after sliding to a high of 19.04 against the dollar on Friday. The rand was boosted by the risk-on investor sentiment at the back end of the week which allowed the rand to keep the pair below the imperative 50-day MA rate of 18.82. The pair is however forming an upward channel which could allow the pair to break above the 50-day MA resistance rate. The rand’s moves will be dictated by how market participants digest the data from the US. Technically the MACD indicator is holding a buy signal while the RSI still has room to move before entering overbought zones and a break above the 50-day MA will allow the pair to test the blue 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 19.10. On the flip side, a failed break above the 50-day MA will allow the rand to pull the pair on to the support rate of 18.61 and possibly lower towards 18.45. The rand also managed to keep the pair below the black 50% Fibonacci retracement and 50-day MA resistance which is rand positive.
by Goose96
USDZARI expect a Strong ZAR against Dollar in the next few months. Reason: - The USDZAR has given us WXYXZ correction from the past 12 months (June 2022 - June 2023), we can conclude on a complete cycle. (elliot waves) - We can therefore project for an impulse 5 waves down. - We have completed W1 and W2 ( at 50% Fib level), aiming for W3 at 261.8% of W2 Entry: - Apply SMC strategies at lower time frame (Preferably 15 minutesTF) - The South African Governor Mr Kganyago has indicated an undervalued ZAR and a projection of a stronger ZAR in the following months. (Fundamental news)
Short
by MelusiR702
1