Downside risk: 1 - Reciprocal ab = cd symmetry eyes sub-$5.00 2 - Predictive/Forecasting defines probable support at 23.99, limited upside to 36.97, bearish target at 7.28 OVERALL - BEARISH David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Durango, Colorado - USA ---------- TradingView - Alias: @4xForecaster
QUICK ANALYSIS: Here is another educational trade involving a combination of the Predictive/Forecasting Model and the Geo. As you recall, the "Model" is very good at establishing targets, but poor at timing. Combining the "Model" with the Geo offers a high-probability visual pathway towards these targets. In this particular case we have two sequential...
QUICK ANALYSIS: A proprietary pattern I have discovered and named JANUS suggests a top at 14.50790 today. The Janus is one of several proprietary patterns I have discovered and use as adjuncts to my Predictive/Forecasting Model and geometries (Geo and Wolfe Wave). However, they are often used as third-place elements, as they carry a lesser probability weigh than...
Friends, A quick analysis on the $EURGBP, illustrating a high-probability rally from current levels, based on a long-awaited reactive rally following the completion of the Geo's ectopic Point-5 at its most current 5-prime (5') position - See following chart: Predictive/Forecasting Model had defined a floor from which a long position was ordered and...
Predictive/Forecasting Mode calling for interim retracement/reversal. Background Geo overlay is mixed, with internal (black lettering) geo offering a possible cycle completion at its 1-4 Line per Mr. Bill Wolfe's Wolfe Wave pattern (www.WolfeWave.com), whereas a larger (grey lettering) would comply with Predictive/Forecasting Model at foreground, yielding the...
Friends, Here is a potential opportunity to witness a geometric cycle completion of a Wolfe Wave pattern, concluding at its 1-4 Line validation. WOLFE WAVE: Potential short-opp presents itself through the geometric completion of a Wolfe Wave at market close in this 4-hour chart. On last day of market, price reached the 1-3 alignment. This was paced into a...
Geometry completes at 5-prime, making 94.00 a significant bullish entrenchment to consider first and foremost. Level of Point-3 = 96.807 offers a probable short trigger value, corresponding to base of discreet nodular geometry. On its own, Predictive/Forecasting Model remains intent on 90.005. Background Elliott Wave appears to remain intact, as 4th wave...
Friends, With recent news of $GLD from Stan Druckenmiller positioning, I decided to pass the ETF through the Predictive/Forecasting Model and other technical screening combs: PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: The "Model" suggests a higher-probability decline with the following targets: 1 - TG-Lo = 97.65 - 17 AUG 2015 and 2 - TG-Lox = 86.37 - 17 AUG...
QUICK ANALYSIS: GEO: Price reached 5', calling for Geo's Off-Set Rule #2 application - This defines the highest probability target in the 2.11425/2.10857 range. The Geo takes into account distortions that may be occurring in the Wolfe Wave pattern, and thus adjusts a target of higher probability than that which is defined by the Wolfe Wave's 1-4 Line....
Friends, There are several technical hurdles likely to temporize further advances against the $GBPUSD: 1 - Completion of a Scott Carney's Shark-into-Five-O at the current price level. The 5-0 pattern is a natural acolyte of the Shark pattern, completing at 50% of the Shark's last swing (see 50% Fibonacci mark attainment in the chart): 2 - A Significant...
QUICK ANALYSIS: Perhaps one more contender is found in this $NZDJPY joining the ATHENA method group (see more currently developing in this linked room: www.tradingview.com ). PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: Model defines the following bullish targets: 1 - TG-Hi = 83.815 - 27 OCT 2015 AND 2 - TG-Hix = 85.014 - 27 OCT 2015 ATHENA: Feel free to read what...
Friends, I prefer not to dwelling in lower timeframe charts (e.g.: M15, H1) simply because they are often subjected to aleatories of higher timeframes where institutional traders tend to live. However, I have been in this one right before the splits, entering at 2.061 this past mid-December 2015, and been following this pawn either directly, or via other gold...
QUICK ANALYSIS: 1 - Internal reciprocal ab = cd symmetry points to 12.9022: 2 - Nascent Geo: 3 - Elliott Wave Contracting Triangle: 4 - Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Model defines the following bearish targets: -- TG-1 = 12.94603 - 16 SEP 2015 -- TG-Lo = 12.68373 - 16 SEP 2015 --TG-Lox = 12.51395 - 16 SEP 2015 Invalidation would occur if and once...
Friends, Nothing is what is seems, and this could not be any more true regarding the Geo. As we stack up our lessons for this past 24-hour period (that'd be the 5th lesson on occult geometry, Wolfe Wave, Geo - All the while offering a target on LIVE trades and charting), here is a rare case of an unusual Geo, in which only a select few features have been used...
Friends, $GBP vs. $CHG offers a high-probability of a geometric completion following the price pathway speculated in the chart (dashed orange pathway): PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: Predictive/Forecasting Model defined the following two qualitative targets: 1 - TG-Hi = 1.54017 - 09 AUG 2015 and 2 - TG-Hix = 1.57575 - 09 AUG 2015 ELLIOTT...
Friends, In the most immediate terms, $USDSGD is expected to meet significant headwinds at 1.46884, although the Predictive/Forecasting Model, perceives a possibility of a more proximate bearish entrenchment at the 1.43398 mark. In the longer-term (L/T) prospect, the Predictive/Forecasting Model defined the following qualitative targets: 1 - (L/T) TG-Hi...
Friends, As per last week, $GBPAUD reached its geometric target along the Geo's 1-3 Line - See the frame-by-frame completion of that target in the thread below, immediately following this analysis. For now, we are concentrating on the Geo's 5-point completion at its ectopic 5-prime (5') - As explained before, this placement is important as we seek a...
Friends, Look for a breach of the 2-4 Line (even beyond defined geometry) for a potential short signaling. Bears are starting to weigh on the $USDZAR pair, while #USDollar is also shoeing signs of fatigue across other pairs (in addition, look for internal weakening in $SPX and $USDJPY correlate). Background geometry is the Wolfe Wave with its 1-4 Target...