Friends, Following are a series of chart representing a top-down analysis of the $EURAUD pair. On a fundamental basis, I have shown in other charts a probable deterioration of the $EUR, against a likely appreciation in commodity-wide class, including #gold, platinum and palladium - This should impact on positively correlated currencies, such as $AUD, $CAD, $CHF...
Friends, A GREAT RESPONSIVE PAIR FOR THE MODEL: This $USDCHF pair has been quite consistent in its response to the Predictive/Forecastng Model. First, last December 2014, the Model was able to predict the dramatic crash of this pair (See 02 DEC 2014 analysis/chart here: ), hitting first the forecast bullish targets up to 0.99144, and then calling for a...
Friends, USDollar completed two superimposed bearish geometries, indicating high-probability decline in the most immediate times, as far as the 4-hour timeframe is concerned - See following H4 chart: In the longer timeframe (Daily), a bearish follow-through from the H4 chart would open the floor up to the following targets - A conditional structure would...
Friends, This Geo has lined up a significant number of condition, both intrinsic to its internal structure and rules (e.g.: reciprocal ab = cd symmetry of its 1-2 Leg, "Tunneling" using "Geo-Anchor"), as well as extrinsic factors, such as the background development of an Elliott Wave bearish impulse, which is in the process of completing its 5th and final wave -...
Friends, $SEK is expected to weaken in this pair, where an Elliott Wave carved out an outline of its Contracting Triangle through a series of 3-3-3 internal formations with more (leading triangle) or less (simple zig-zag) complexities. This analysis replaces a recent one, as the Geo lost its geometric validation - However, the foreground...
Friends, Following is the current #kiwi chart, highlighting a few of the recent market geometries that have developed, such as an Elliott Wave Contracting Triangle, which offered the mechanism of descent to the current levels, whereas a nascent Geo is now offering its own pacing, affording price a soft landing towards the Predictive/Forecasting Model target,...
Friends, Feel free to peek at some of the pre-analytical work I engage in a daily basis, involving currencies, commodities, stocks and indices. The current $GBPCAD comes from the "$GBP | Predictive Analysis & Forecasting" room (reference below), suggesting a continuation to the upside, with a Wolfe Wave pattern calling price along its dynamic 1-4 Line, whereas...
Friends, Here is an interesting challenge presenting from recent price action in $USDJPY, where price appears "to have been going nowhere". However, a methodical approach through Elliott Wave counts might simplify the field in terms of geometric options and probable direction. DECIPHERING THE ELLIOTT WAVES: The recent price action in $USDJPY may have left...
Friends, The Geo has completed its geometric cycle at a ectopic Point-5 level which is its most common occurrence, namely at 5-prime (5'). Based on the Geo's Off-Set Rule, price is expected to decline and find its highest probability target at the price level corresponding to Point-4. A prior analysis based on the Predictive/Forecasting Model had...
Friends, Following a back to back Elliott Wave Contracting Triangle (with internals a-b-c-d-e), wherein point-e offered a significant point of departure, we are now looking at a potential range-bound play, as defined by the underbelly from the first a-c Line extension on the upside, and a double-bottom support extended forward from similar 10 AUG and 23 AUG...
Friends, TRADE PREPARATION: As some of you might know, I post some of the preliminary studies in my little "atelier" where I analyze Forex pairs, indices, stocks, ETFs - Here is the link for your review (I do not really take request, and I don't do much of a job answering questions, since I consider that space a "basement-level of activity" - Still, there is...
Friends, THE GEO RULES: The Geo completed its 5-point regimen at its ectopic 5' level, triggering its compensatory geometric rule, namely: The Geo's Off-Set Rule, whereby: 1 - A price reversal from Point-5 offers the HIGHEST probability of attainment along its 1-4 Line (Wolfe Wave rule as well) 2 - A price reversal from Point-5' offers the HIGHEST probability...
Friends, Just as we hit all bearish #fibonacci-based targets in this chart (see "Linked To Related Ideas" below), we are now contemplating a rallying up to 0.64974, based on the Geo's Off-Set Rule, as price is expected to reverse course from an ectopic Point-5 completion as 5' to Point-4, the highest probability level of attainment. Note that price is...
Synopsis: 1 - Price traces two interlocked Geos 2 - Smaller (BLACK) Geo completes its 5-point regimen; Aims for 1-4 Line (Wolfe Wave rule) 3 - Larger Geo is pending Point-4 & 5 in the 19.10/1844 range 4 - TWO bullish targets exceed 1-3 Line of larger Geo: a -- TG-Hi = 36.20 - 30 AUG 2015 AND b -- TG-Hix = 39.72 - 30 AUG 2015 5 - Bullish Target may align with...
Friends, Look for this high-probability 1-4 Line validation as this Wolfe Wave/Geo completes, combined with a Fibonacci contraction levels one might consider using as supportive target definition: David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Durango, Colorado - USA ----- Twitter: @4xForecaster LinkedIn: David Alcindor ----- .
Friends, Watch for this potential decline as price completes the 5-point regimen of a Wolfe Wave, naturally seeking full cycle completion at the 1-4 "Take Profit" Line - See M15 chart: FIBONACCI & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS: At first glance, casting a Fibonacci matrix over the structural high-low with 0.386/0.500/0.618/0.786-Fibs as significant anchor levels...
Friends, Keep your SL tight if you are considering this S/T short opp. The larger timeframe remains bullish, but at this lower level, one might be able to calibrate a way up. Follow this chart as we move along, although I will also offer some updates on the more interesting and much larger timeframe. Best, David Alcindor Predictive Analysis &...
Friends, A with lessons and demonstrations offered over the past 24 hours (See $USDTRY, $NZDJPY, ... etc), here is another pair worth looking into, not so much from the perspective of a pending geometric completion, but as an example of developing a contingency plan. Here, we are contemplating a short (green scare representing a conservative, prudent...