Historically, BTC/USD has tended to peak when the 200-week simple moving average (200W SMA) approaches or crosses the high from the previous market cycle.
If this pattern holds, and assuming the 200W SMA continues rising at its current pace, the next top could occur sometime between January and May 2026.
If BTC accelerates earlier, the moving average would...
A simple technical analysis with one trend line and two horizontal lines that form a range in the $10k-12k zone shows that a revisit of those levels is not that far away.
Bitcoin has spent a lot of time in those areas, but with no clear retest.
That area converges, approximately, with the support trendline formed by the 2018 bottom and 2020 crash.
Things are...
