AlexanderGotay

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Directional play on IWM. With an implied volatility rank of below 10 I decided to buy some options (Yuck!) I am basically betting that the price will go down below $137 in the next 35 days enough for us to take some profits. The good thing about this trade is that we have basically a 50/50 chance to make money (48% probability), but we have a nice Reward Risk...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

At some point volatility has to come up.... So I bought the 14/15 Call debit spread and financed it with the 13 Put The trade: VXX superbull Buy the 14 Call Sell the 15 Call Sell the 13 Put 64% probability of profit Break even at 12.95

AlexanderGotay Updated 

After earnings, Implied volatility rank is still at 50 so looking to add premium to my portfolio theta I Sold the 65/62.5 Strangle on MRK. Trade: Short 65 Call Short 62.5 Put Collected $1.85 54% probability of profit Will look to close at 50% of credit received.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With 66 days to expiration (July 8) I sold the 1.11 Call on the Euro futures for .0092, which gives me a max profit of $1,150. I will look to close it at 50% of that. This gives me a 2.4% buffer to the upside and a 71% probability of profit.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With volatility this low I am looking for trades with IV percentile in the last 6months of above 25. XLP have an IV Rank of 14.5 which is low, but IV percentile of 33.5 in the last 6 months (which would meet with my criteria). I am placing an skewed Iron Condor, betting that it will stay within the expected move with a little skewed to the downside thinking...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With 32 days to expiration and a 42 IV rank I Sold the 39.5 Straddle and bought the 38.5 Put, now If the price corrects down we don't have any risk to the downside. The Trade: Short 39.5 Call Short 39.5 Put Long 38.5 Put Total credit of 1.15 per contract. 70.5% probability of profit

AlexanderGotay Updated 

SPY was up .70% and I expect a pull back to the 200 EMA eventually. In the meantime I wanted to make a neutral to bearish trade using a ratio iron condor or what is recently called by the tastytrade guys a "Double double". I am selling the -240/+243 -230/+223 Iron condor for $2.60. Using the SPY skew of the calls and puts I can sell twice as many of the credit...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

I didn't have any positions on EFA and With IV Rank at 47, I wanted to sell some premium. We are out of the ideal 45 days expiration window and since my portfolio theta is pretty low right now I decided to do laddered straddles. Selling the 62 Straddle with 32 days to expiration and another one with 60 days to expiration. This will give us an avg date of...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With a 6.5% move up in the last 27 days and also increase in volatility. I made a Call Ratio spread in addition to the other trades I already have in GLD, including a double diagonal and a strangle. Doing this trade alone is as high probability trade with a 83% chance to make money. Max win per contract is $250 Bought one 123 Call for every two 125 for a .50...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Made a custom Earnings trade on TSLA. Originally was going to make a bearish trade, but since today we had a over 2% negative move down, I decided to add the ratio spread to the downside. Sold the 330/340 Call spread for $1.40 and the (1)302.5/(2)295 Put ratio spread for $.20 Total credit $160 Max win is $905 at 295 price Max loss to the upside is $840 Naked to...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Sold the 155/145 Strangle for $2.50 on the weekly (May 5) cycle. Since Facebook has been on a big rally as of yet, I skewed the strangle a little to the downside (The Calls are closer to the money than the Puts). Lets see if we can continue our flawless earnings trade.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

This is a neutral trade with no risk to the upside. Its like a straddle with protection to the upside, then selling a ratio spread to move our break even down (Doubling our risk to the downside) The trade is called a spiked lizard by Liz and Jenny. The expected move is around $3 and we have an IVR of 60. With an expected 40% vol crush, lets see how this trade...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Sold the 36/37 Call credit spread and sold the 34 Put eliminating the risk to the upside. In total received $1.06. 72% probability of profit.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

I always look to have a trades on the most liquid ETF's and I just closed a Straddle on XRT so is time to redeploy with 45 days to expiration. IV rank is at 37. Sold the 40/43 Strangle on XRT for $1.02 per contract (30 Delta). 61% probability of profit Credit = $1.02 My break evens are below 38.98 and above 44.02 Will look to close at 50% of the credit received.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

KRE is a regional bank ETF, after a strong impulsive bull run, it looks like KRE is starting a correction. With a IV rank of 34 is at least decent volatility to try a neutral trade. I sold the 50/56 Strangle (25 delta) and collected $1.33 per contract. With 64% probability of profit at expiration we need the price to stay between $57.34 and $48.67 which is a...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

It looks like Sellers are starting to come in, and I don't think buyers will give up that easily, so I expect some 2 way action in the next 30 days. With a decent IV Rank of 39 I want to sell some premium to add to my theta numbers. The trade: Sold the 32/37 Strangle for $1.83 per contract 61% probability of profit Will look to close it at 50% of the premium...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

We have the French election coming up and other than my trades on FXE I didn't have much on play for that. The IV Rank on FEZ is pretty high at 77 and I am selling the strangle with 30 days to go. After the first part of the election we might get a decent volatility. I am betting that Euro companies won't be impacted as much and I can get paid on the...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Looking for a neutral play on XLE (I think we are starting to have 2 way action). IVR is not that high at 26, so doing less contracts (I don't have any other position right now on XLE). I sold the 69 Straddle for $2.78. Our break evens are just above the expected move, and this is close to a 54% probability trade.