AlexanderGotay

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Last 2 weeks, oil have been climbing up and now we are at the $50 handle which can be an interesting price. I believe it can still go higher, but its already pretty far from the moving average and will soon start to give us a correction down. Having already multiple positions in oil, I will sell a Call ratio spread (Buying 1 $51 call and Selling 2 $53.5 Calls to...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With clear divergence and a clear break of the EMA I expect Bonds to recover back up a little. Adding some positive deltas to my current positions on bonds, I will Buy The 164/166 Call Debit spread and Sell the 162 Put to finance the cost. That would put our break even below the Weakly trend line. Max Profit $2,171.88 Break even at 161'21 76% of profit

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Every time volatility is low we can make this type of trades expecting a high success rate. The Vix (volatility index) is below 14 so I like to redeploy a SPX PUT calendar buying the DEC 2115 PUT and selling the NOV 2115 PUT. This is a volatility and I like to always have this type of trades on. I got filled at 15.40 and my target is 10% of the cost or $154.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Gold looks like is losing momentum from the big move down. Its flirting to break the 20EMA on 4hr and we are over extended on the daily. Looking to take advantage of a correction I will be adding to my other positions by selling the 1230 PUT for $1,100. As long as the price continue to be above 1230 by November 23rd we keep the full Credit. Break even @...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

XLU have a 86% IV Percentile, which means that 86% of the days over the past year the Implied Volatity was below this level. Custom Put Ratio's Buy +1 NOV 48 PUT Sell-2 NOV 47 PUT BUY +1 NOV 46 PUT SELL-2 NOV 45 PUT This will give us a max profit of $171 with a 77% chance of making money. And we only lose if the price goes below $44.64. Since we are adding...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

IYR haved moved over 8% in the last 2 months. With an IV percentile of over 60% we can sell premium and get a higher probability trade. I will be using a combination of ratio spreads Selling the (2) 73 and (2) 78 Puts and buying (1) 75 put and (1) 81 put. This will give us the potential to win $330 per trade and giving us a break even of $72.84 with a 85%...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

After 14 days of mostly bullish candles, we get the first sign that the bears wants some action and/or some bulls taking profits, breaking the 20 EMA and the hourly trendline. Looking to profit from the next move down, I will be shorting the Natural Gas Futures and Sell a Strangle ( 3.2 Call and 2.85 Put) to reduce my cost basis and improve my probabilities of...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

We got some movement in Bonds, and a small rise in Volatility. The Implied volatility is above the last year average, knowing that volatility is always overstated I look every opportunity to sell some premium. This is a small trade, but I will be selling the 33/30 Strangle 49 days from expiration for $1.22 per contract with a probability of making money at...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

The last couple of days we saw volatility spike up. Knowing that the volatility will eventually go back to its mean we can make a high probability trade using the VIX -1.51% . By Selling a credit vertical spread, selling the 20 call and buying the 28 call with an expiration on November we have over 60 days to let the VIX stay below 21.45 to make money. We can also...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With the moved down in volatility the last couple of days and RVX (Russell Volatility Index) almost at the year lows a Put calendar seems like a pretty safe bet. I will be buying the Nov 1230 Put and selling the Oct 1230 Put. Looking to close it early as soon as we get a volatility spike.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

After 80 plus days in a sideways move consolidating, we are right at a point where Gold can start to move. With volatility at the lows, a good strategy would be to buy a double calendar to take advantage of any strong move that will make volatility expand. I will be buying the Dec 1365 Call and 1295 Put, and Selling the Nov 1365 Call and 1295 Put.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Sold a 25 days $127 Straddle on Facebook. We have earnings in 35 days, so I don't expect big moves until then and we will be out of it before then. Collected $520 per contract, we just need the price to stay between $121.82 and $132.21 for us to make $

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Oil is in the middle of a Correction. I still expect it to go down lower, but until then we can still trade it. My favorite strategy in this cases is to use a In the money Ratio Spread using December options (Buying one $51.5 Put and selling 2 $47 puts for a total credit). If it breaks to the upside, there is no risk, and if it goes down then I will short the...

AlexanderGotay

I will be buying the pull back to the 20 EMA, lets see if this is the beginning of the next move up.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

In this downtrend, if we get a strong close below the 20EMA is a good place to sell and expect to attack the bottom of the move

AlexanderGotay

After a failed attempt to close with a higher high, we get a strong rejection and a close below the 20EMA. Selling here can give us at least a 3 to 1 Return on Risk. The risk is worth it, even if we are wrong 60% of the time.

AlexanderGotay

I prefer to sell options rather than buying them, but the Implied volatility is still low and a correction from the last move up on the E-mini's will make the volatility expand, giving this trade a quicker path to profit. I will be buying a 2160 Put and finance part of it selling the 2120 Put. Risk to Reward is over 1:2 (Max loss of $600, and max win of $1,400...

AlexanderGotay

Looking to take advantage of the next move up I bought a covered call. Long 1 Futures sell 1 (175 call)