Long Spain , Short U.K. This pair trade has been successful 77.82 % of the time during the past three years. Trade should last about 15 days . Long EWP @ 33.17 Short EWU @ 18.52 Cheers Algo
The ECB announced that Greece cannot exchange it's junk bonds for Money. Although the market closed hours ago, the ETF GREK , took a massive 10 % hit in the last 15 min of the trading session. Te Euro also reacted negatively against the USD. Cheers Algo
This trade is doing great so far. Target is just a few bucks away. TSLA reports earning on 2/11/2015. Cheers Algo
Is possible to be determine when to be on the right side of the market , most of the time ? well yes, using simple market timing strategies such as the SPY against it's 200 ma, would help you avoid all the bear market in the last 20 + years . But is there another way to do this ? Here's a strategy i'm currently forward testing in my IB account. By calculating...
Here's a fun historic fact about the SPX . According to the National Bureau of Economic Research : " This year is only the 8th since 1929 to post a January loss after 3 or more consecutive up years,All prior 7 closed down for the year, (avg -14.8%), and all 7 were followed by a recession on average 7 months later. The prior years: 1953, 1957, 1973, 1981,...
As of yesterday close the S{PY was down - 1.7 % for Jan 2015, and will most likely close lower after the bell. The volatility was pretty high with 16.9 % for the month, offering plenty of opportunity for short term traders. The SPY remains above it's 200 MA , so this position remain open. However looking at my charts tracking the nine U.S sectors , i see that...
AAPL absolutely CRUSHED expectations : Revenue: $74.6 billion versus $67.5 billion expected. Earnings Per Share: $3.06 versus $2.60 expected. iPhone units: 74.4 million versus 65 million expected.
Apple will report quarterly earning on Jan 27th and I expect them to smash expectations. Wall Street expect 66 million iPhone sold over the last quarter with revenue of $67....BILLIONS. Ming Chi Kuo from KGI Securities, one of the most accurate AAPL analyst, forecasts Apple sold 73 MILLION iPhones. Of those ,42 millions iPhone 6 , and 16 million iPhone 6 + (...
Despite the volatility and unimpressive sales figures in China , I like TSLA at this level. Took a small position @ 190.68 , with a tight stop @ 183.25, target $225. cheers Algo
AAPL was down a bit in December , but the stock remains attractive. Will close the position only if price is below 99.30 at the end of the month. However I expect a monster quarter earning from AAPL. Q4 earning : 1/26/2015 Cheers Algo
Q4 Return : 19.9 % 2014 Return : 66.1 % Volatility : 16.7 % MAX DD : - 8.11 % We are rebalancing the positions for tomorrow. Cheers
Another year , another double digit return for the SPY. The trading year is not over yet , but I assume the SPY will finish the year with ~ 15 % return,including all dividend payment. 2014 has been pretty volatile for the SPY , with avg volatility at 11.6 % ( as of 12/29/2014) . October was by far the most volatile month this year, but the SPY end up positive...
Overall, the street expect oil price to go up. But the futures oil prices are much lower than those of the forecasters. From Goldman Sachs : " Forecasters and market participants disagree about the likelihood of a significant rebound in oil prices during the next 12 months. Many clients shares the views priced into the futures market that oil will remain below...
The sell off in oil continues to drag the market down . The S1TH is at 68 % , but 2/3 supportive indicators are negative. As per the rules of this system, long positions should be closed. Chances are will see oil at or below $50 this week. I t will be very interesting how investors react to this. Also keep an eye on treasuries and the mighty USD. Have a...
The SPY finish the month with a positive return of 2.73 %. The volatility for the month was incredibly low at 4.2 % , compare to 9.2 % for the previous month. Looking at the chart it is currently at the top of the channel, so December may be a bit volatile. However , it closed above it's 200 MA , so this trade is still open. *YTD return % : 13.75 % * Return...
Fantastic month for AAPL. new all time high, and the iPhone 6 is continuing to be a success domestically and internationally. I expect a little bit of pullback next month, but overall the trend is solid. I remain bullish on this stock, trade remains open. Cheers Algo
The S1TH seats at 80.19 % and 2 out of the three supportive indicators are positive. This means conservative investors may once again open new positions. Cheers Algo
The S1TH increased to 77.22 % this week. However , only one out of three indicators is positive, so this system is still out of the market. Cheers Algo