Alix-Pimodan

Alix-Pimodan

I hate doing pure technical analysis but that 1-year moving average bending down while the longer MA's are converging just looks too much like a mean-reverting move to be ignored

Alix-Pimodan

The index is going down, it has to -over a long enough period of time. I will not short but looking for the VNQ to go down and will dollar-cost average my entry. Over a very long time, this is a good ETF to hold with a nice dividend and upside potential and a nice diversification aspect relative to other holdings (SP500, EU600, Emerging, etc). I will look to buy...

Alix-Pimodan

I'm sometimes more interested in the Total World Index than the more focused ones (VTI, VEA, VWO, etc.). The economy is highly correlated and massive moves in one area bear down the rest of the world or support it up. The past year has been a mitigated market mostly held down by the interest rate and trade war and there's no sign of it truly easing up. Over time,...

Alix-Pimodan

No biggie in terms of return but super safe instrument with a very high probability of an uptrend at some point in the future. Inflation is picking back up and TIPS will have to climb back up. Also a nice yield for the buy-and-hold investors.

Alix-Pimodan

Both because of the impact of rates and the simple technical retracement, international real estate is going to suffer -this is true in Europe, Canada and also in Asia. Developped Asia and the global economy is still caught in the current and past trade issues; although seemingly unrelated to property, the tension and market sentiment are adding to the...

Alix-Pimodan

The rising dollar, increased interest rates, trade wars and all it entails mean that the emerging markets are NOT DONE trending down. The index has been mean-reverting and will probably go even further down. This is a great buy opportunity for long-term investors.

Alix-Pimodan

Fundamentals are still impacting the index and the irrationality of the US makes our technical analysis more arduous. The index is probably going down some more with trade concerns coming into light further. If we see another 5% down move, this will be worth getting in for the long haul.

Alix-Pimodan

A rather unique ETF tracking companies based in Africa -not just South Africa. The region has been hurt in the whole emerging turmoil and is clearly in a bear trend. If the index goes further down and hits support level, this will be a very interesting buy for the long-run, especially considering the interest and investment the continent attracts.

Alix-Pimodan

A lot of action will be based on fundamentals but I can see this ETF continuing its mean-reverting move and going further down by 5-10%. If it keeps on going down, it will be a great buying opportunity (long-term) and with a nice dividend yield.

Alix-Pimodan

The 1-year moving average is starting to turn bearish on a move to revert to the mean (3-year and 5-year MA). This will present a buying opportunity at different key levels, depending on your patience and risk profile.

Alix-Pimodan

Among emerging countries, Vietnam stands out as the one with the most growth potential -albeit a communist regime. If the index goes down further, along with the emerging market rout, this will be an interesting opportunity to get in. There is plenty of upside potential on the long-run. Unfortunately, just a 1.05% yield.

Alix-Pimodan

Still bullish on TSLA. People underestimate the magnitude of the business -it's not just about cars and it's not just about short-term cash or profit performance. From a technical perspective, this can go down a little further until bouncing back up.

Alix-Pimodan

Both on a fundamental and technical basis, this index is set to keep going down for 4-6%. As with most ideas published, this is an opportunity to get in. There is tremendous upside potential long-term.

Alix-Pimodan

Not pretending this is a sure thing, there's still potential for higher dollar versus Indonesian rupiah, but, from a technical analysis perspective, we're at a key level and very well poised for a quick correction.

Alix-Pimodan

No particular trading advice but this could very well be a pivotal moment, either to the upside or with a clear rejection and correction. Prices have clearly broke out but whether fundamentals will allow for further upside is uncertain.

Alix-Pimodan

Although the recent break above resistance is definitely a bullish signal, I do think we will see a reversal. The breath of the break and the two candles following seem to show that the market is uncertain and ready to drop back down at any moment. Add to this the recent political issues -which are issues- and the trade tariffs which do weight on...

Alix-Pimodan

Regardless of the resent -and somehow unpronounced- up move, the international market, particularly vulnerable to rising dollar and also the effect it has on EM's, the stocks in the SCHF index will continue to devalue by 5-10%. I bought already a few trading days ago at the resistance but at the same time still think there is room for further downside which will...

Alix-Pimodan

I recently published an idea on this very instrument calling for a reversal to the downside which ended up going the other way. I remain bearish on this index and the real-estate index, in the US and abroad. I do think they are a great investment to have (actually purchased a bit as part of my usual dollar-cost averaging and asset allocation model), but, this will...