All_in_the_game

All_in_the_game

The sp500 market is in real trouble right now has there has been a massive global M2 liquidity injection (starting Jan. 2025) but the market has been down overall. Money has been leaving the US back to the home countries as we can see in Hang Seng and Dax charts have been up in 2025 which matches global M2 exactly.

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I dont see anyone talking about is. I think this answers the question about where the AI liquidity came from. The Nasdaq has followed the central bank liquidity (the pink line) since the end of the covid crash in March of 2020. But in March of 2023, a divergence where central bank liquidity has gone down while the AI bull run took off. The money flowed into...

All_in_the_game

If we look at the Bitcoin chart. It has a long term tend up. This is just like the SP500 which always moves up on the long term trend for the last 100 years. There is just pull backs during the recession and then it continues the trend up. Bitcoin follows SP500 for the most part. So if we have a sell off in stocks due to recession, we could see the same for...

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Bitcoin tends to follow SP500. So it looks like a pull back to 7k or 8k before resuming back into a long term up trend and possibly to all time highs. Probably being acknowledge as a security by SEC and real bitcoin ETF will cause Bitcoin break out to new all time highs.

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We hit the high volume delta zone and rejected. Im looking for a pull back to 4350.

All_in_the_game

Here is the Vix upside down. It seems easier to see and draw the trend lines. We can see the likely path of the vix. The options expire this week.

All_in_the_game

If you are wondering why the market wont go down, its because central banks keeps injecting liquidity. You can clearly see with the indicator that since 2020 at least central bank liquidity is the only thing that move the market up or down.

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AAL should breakout lower. Recession is on the horizon and that is bad for travel business. There is liquidity under all those previous lows that will need to cleared out in order for the stock rise again. Im looking for bottom at $2.00 near all time low from 2008.

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We are moving up to 4300 to clear out all the liquidity between 4200 and 4300. Everyone is going to pile into the move up and all the short positions will have to be covered. Then, the big institutions are going to sell hard into this up move. We have 5% interest and bank runs as people move money to money market accounts that pay 5% and banks with not enough...

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Almost to the end of the triangle which ends in early 2023. Im sure it will break out before that as Fed continues to increase interest rates until something breaks. Looks like it is forming an inverted head and shoulders within the triangle.

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The Fed Reserve Pivot or Pause will not turn the market around. Check out the chart Fed funds rate and ES. The 2022 crash does not end until the Fed is done lowering rates back to 0% or close to 0% . In every crash from 2001, 2008, and 2020 the crash ended when the Fed was done lowering the Fed funds rate. It will be the same in 2022 crash. But, dont be tricked...

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Turning downward at 4060 to 4080 and downtrend continue to 3200 for the 1st target and 2nd target 3000. I am assuming once it gets low enough the fed will do their thing and pause or pivot.

All_in_the_game

Im thinking a movement down to $2 to $4 looks likely (im sure it will stop at $8 to $9 along the way) with the up coming sell of in stocks thanks to the QT and continued interest rate hikes. I know it sounds crazy. Enjoy.

All_in_the_game

Down until Fed changes its tune and says no more interest hikes or pivots and reduces rates. 3200 looks like a turning point After the mid term election in Nov. - history shows there is a positive return for the next 12 months. Google it. Not finanical advice.