FA: USDJPY 🏛 Pressure on the yen is exerted by data on inflation in Japan. Thus, the national consumer price index in September decreased from 3% to 2.5%, while the index excluding food and energy prices slightly increased from 2% to 2.1%. The current inflation dynamics is unlikely to contribute to the realization of the Bank of Japan's plans for further...
Gold Market Analysis: Gold has been in a strong rally since the beginning of the year, with only one minor negative month interrupting an otherwise consistent upward trend. Over the past year, the rally has been quite aggressive, but given the current market conditions, I would refrain from considering long-term positions at this point. Instead, short-term...
FA: Credit borrowing has risen as a result of lower interest rates as a response to periods of high market volatility. The rate has historically fallen as low as 0% in such conditions, which in turn further catalyzed money supply growth and inflation. Similar actions by central banks in Europe, China and Japan will cascade into a similar process. Technical...
FA: The majority of crypto market participants are currently in a depressed mood regarding the medium-term future of the crypto market as a whole. Such behavior of the crowd says first of all that weak hands are not ready to buy now, and the sawtooth movement, which started since March and has lasted for more than 6 months, puts even experienced participants in a...
In my previous analysis, I projected a reversal in GER40, expecting a corrective move toward the daily Fair Value Gap (DFVG) in the 18,000-18,200 range. Over the past week, the price has nearly reached this target. Looking ahead, I see two potential scenarios: 1. **Further Decline:** The price may continue to move lower, targeting the 1-hour FVG, which is also...
After my last post on GOLD the price nearly hit my target at the all-time high (ATH), but now we're in a tricky situation: 1. We’ve got equal lows (EQL) and equal highs (EQH) forming on GOLD. 2. The price grabbed liquidity from the previous week's high (PWH), then nuked and closed below both the daily open and weekly open (WO) levels. 3. On the lower timeframes...
After Friday’s manipulation during the NFP, price spiked up to the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and daily bearish order block (OB), rebalancing in premium before reversing downward. My final target remains the same—daily FVG at 1.0892-1.08356. Locally, I see two potential moves: A small pump up to the minor Breaker Structure (BTS) zone, followed by a sharp drop. A...
From my last analysis, the S&P 500 has fully reached my projected target. Right now, I'd like to see some sort of reaction here or slightly lower, around the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the 5325-5240 range. If we get that, I expect a push higher, potentially leading into the U.S. elections or even until the end of this year. However, if we don’t see that...
After Friday’s manipulation during the NFP, price spiked up to the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and daily bearish order block (OB), rebalancing in premium before reversing downward. My final target remains the same—daily FVG at 1.0892-1.08356. Locally, I see two potential moves: A small pump up to the minor Breaker Structure (BTS) zone, followed by a sharp drop. A...
Gold analysis 1/09/24 FA: Rate-cut rotation has a reputation as a sleepy time in global stock markets, and the U.S. is no exception. Historically after rate cuts market has a dive, also September is the weakest month for the US market in general. At the next FOMC meeting, they will cut the rate by 25-50 points, and this news is already in price. TA: Gold has...
EURUSD FA: few things that pushing down EUR are business sentiment and inflation in services 1. According to the European Commission, the overall Eurozone business sentiment index increased to 96.6 points vs 96 before. Business climate in industry is already in the area of local lows -9.7 vs -10.5. The most stable segment, services. 2. Everything but energy is...
Gold just took liquidity from the previous day's low (PDL) and previous week's low (PWL). It had the first market structure (MS) shift on the 15-minute chart, and now, after some consolidation and testing of the 15-minute order block (OB), it will most likely continue higher to take out liquidity from the equal highs (EQH) in the 2528-2531 area (which also...
FA: Historically, when the Fed rate is lowered in the U.S., there is one very simple pattern - the collapse of commodities! Of course, there are nuances related to the rate of downgrade.... Prices do not start falling at once... most often there is a time lag from 2-3 months to 8 months. It is important to understand the following... The USA controls oil prices...
I explained the fundamental part in my EURUSD post. Check it out here: Now, let's talk about the technical part: At the London opening, we saw significant manipulation downward with a liquidity sweep from the previous day's low (PDL) and other swings. Now, I would love to see an aggressive movement upwards toward the all-time high (ATH), where I'll be looking...
DXY analysis 1/09/24💵 Few things about it: DXY is oversold and it has 4h and daily FVG higher + It just tested the bottom of the global range (almost 2 years in consolidation), and most likely it will bounce till dFVG, On 15m and 1h time frame, DXY has an uptrend (MS( ChoCH) and BoS) until the uptrend on 1h is not broken I will not consider reversal on DXY DXY...