AndyHopkins

AndyHopkins Updated 

I. Gold Trend Analysis (1) Impact of Geopolitical Factors In the preceding period, intense conflicts between Israel and Iran—marked by reciprocal missile attacks—escalated tensions, causing gold prices to surge significantly and touch record highs. However, recent developments indicate both sides are attempting to communicate, prompting safe-haven funds to...

AndyHopkins Updated 

In the short term, gold prices have shown a downward trend under the combined influence of factors such as expectations of eased geopolitical tensions, economic data, and monetary policy outlooks. However, given the high level of market uncertainty, we must closely monitor the latest developments in the Middle East situation, changes in U.S. economic data, and...

AndyHopkins Updated 

In the second quarter of 2025, multiple inflation data showed signs of easing, leading to rising market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September or December. A decline in interest rates generally boosts risk assets including Bitcoin. Historically, Bitcoin prices have mostly trended upward during Fed rate-cutting cycles, as rate cuts...

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Recently, crude oil market prices have fluctuated sharply. The price of light crude oil futures for July delivery surged by $3.07 to close at $74.84 per barrel, up 4.28%; the price of Brent crude oil futures for August delivery rose by $3.22 to close at $76.45 per barrel, up 4.4%. This significant increase is mainly driven by the geopolitical risk premium...

AndyHopkins

Crude Oil Analysis Strategy (1) Diminishing Expectations of Geopolitical Risks Although conflicts between Israel and Iran remain intense, international mediation may facilitate de-escalation. Once negotiations commence or Iran exercises restraint in retaliation, market fears of crude supply disruptions will significantly subside. For instance, in past Middle...

AndyHopkins

A major piece of news has emerged from the U.S. Senate: it has passed legislation aimed at establishing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies known as "stablecoins", namely the *Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act* (referred to as the *GENIUS Act*). This news is bound to bring new variables to the Bitcoin market. Hong...

AndyHopkins

(I) Geopolitics: The Sword of Damocles Hanging Over the Market The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is teetering on the edge of explosion, with escalating conflicts between Israel and Iran exerting enormous pressure on crude oil markets. As **OPEC's third-largest oil producer** , Iran plays a pivotal role in global oil supply, pumping **3.35 million...

AndyHopkins

A few days ago, due to the tense situation in the Middle East—after Israel launched air strikes on Iran—investors panicked and dumped Bitcoin, causing its price to plummet. However, as the situation eased slightly in the past two days, some investors saw an opportunity and rushed to buy, pushing the price back up to the current $106,097. Since the start of this...

AndyHopkins

The Middle East situation has been as tense as a taut bowstring recently, with conflicts between Israel and Iran escalating continuously. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei has made a tough stance, vowing to militarily destroy the Israeli regime, while the Israeli military has detected multiple rounds of missile attacks from Iran. Donald Trump's call for all...

AndyHopkins

Market investors' expectations and sentiment toward the crude oil market significantly influence oil price trends. When geopolitical conflicts break out in the Middle East, investors fear disruptions to crude oil supplies, panic spreads rapidly, and large amounts of funds flow into the crude oil market, driving oil prices to surge sharply in the short term. After...

AndyHopkins

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is accelerating the processing of stablecoin license applications, and its impact on the cryptocurrency market will be transmitted to Bitcoin through multiple dimensions, specifically manifested in the following aspects: 1. Compliance Process Drives Market Confidence and Capital Inflow The implementation of Hong Kong's...

AndyHopkins

The Israeli air strikes on Iran have further escalated tensions in the Middle East. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has vowed that Iran's armed forces will use force to destroy the Israeli regime, while the Israeli military has detected multiple rounds of missile attacks launched by Iran. The reciprocal actions between the two sides have pushed...

AndyHopkins

From a geopolitical perspective, Israel's military strikes against Iran have instantly intensified tensions in the Middle East. As the world's third-largest oil producer, Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz—a key global oil transportation corridor through which approximately 40% of the world's crude oil is shipped. Markets are now highly concerned that Israel's...

AndyHopkins

A while ago, Israel launched air strikes on Iran. As soon as the news broke, financial markets were thrown into turmoil, and the price of Bitcoin also fluctuated sharply. Market expectations were already unstable, and coupled with such sudden geopolitical events, many investors felt uncertain and became extremely cautious in their trading. However, the Bitcoin...

AndyHopkins

Technical Chart Analysis From a technical chart perspective, the gold price has successfully broken through the key resistance level of $3,400 and is currently fluctuating between $3,430 and $3,450. This indicates that bullish forces have gained the upper hand recently, showing the intention to push the price further upward. The vicinity of $3,450 above has...

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Market Analysis Dominance of Geopolitical Factors Iran's successive retaliatory airstrikes against Israel have drastically worsened the Middle East situation, with geopolitical risks surging significantly. Against this backdrop, market uncertainty and panic sentiment have spread rapidly, prompting investors to flock to safe-haven assets. As a traditional...

AndyHopkins Updated 

Although prices have stabilized in recent days, the Middle East situation remains highly uncertain. Concerns persist that the conflict could further escalate, which might reignite investor panic and push Bitcoin prices lower. However, some investors view the decline as an opportunity, citing institutional forecasts predicting it could reach $200,000 by the end of...

AndyHopkins Updated 

Supply-Side Uncertainties Persist: Iran is seeking mediation and restarting nuclear negotiations. If the talks succeed and sanctions are relaxed, Iran's crude oil supply is expected to increase, which will have a positive impact on market supply. However, the U.S. currently requires Iran to completely stop uranium enrichment activities, and Iran has taken a...