This is an early stage of the possible trend reversal pattern head and shoulder, the key price is at 1.04970, where long possitions can be taken on the 4 hour chart. Please care to keep a reward risk ratio that is greater than 1:1.
BTCUSD HAS A TENDENCY TO COIL UP FOR A LONG TIME, AND WHEN THAT ENERGY IS RELEASED IT JUST MOVES LIKE SOMEONE IS CHASING IT... I HAVE ENCIRCLED THE KEY POINTS ON THE SUPPORT OF THE TL... THESE ARE TEXTBOOK MOVES, THEY REALLY ARE TESTING OUR PATIENCE. WE ARE STILL ON THE LONG BIAS, STILL TO BE CONFIRMED WHEN THEY BREAK THE RESISTANCE... SHOULD THEY BREAK THE...
A LONG TERM SELL PROBABILITY SHORTING AT AROUNG 1490S MAKES SENSE, BUT THE BEST EXECUTION MIGHT SHOW WHEN THE RED TRENDLINE IS BROKEN. BUT I WILL TAKE IT FROM 1490SAND APPLY THE STOPS, THIS IS WORTH WAITING FOR
THIS ANALYSIS IS BASED ON A BIT OF FUNDAMENTALS AS I APPRECIATE TRADING THIS PAIR MORE ON FUNDAMENTALS AS IT IS VERY SENSITIVE TO THOSE, THIS TIME AROUND IT MIGHT ALSO BE ONE OF THOSE CASES AGAIN. ESKOM, THE POWER SUPPLIER TO SOUTH AFRICA HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING POWER CUTS, AND THIS USUALLY DRIVES THE RAND WEAK, AND WITH THE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS THE RAND BEING AT A...
I THINK THIS IS A BEAUTIFUL OPPORTUNITY TO SHORT THIS PAIR LONGTERM, IT HAS BROKEN AND CLOSE BELOW A LOW TRENDLINE ON A MONTHLY TF....
I SEE A HEAD AND SHOULDER,USDZAR IS AN EMERGING MARKETS AND THESE MARKETS ARE CURRENTLY GOING THROUGH A HARD KNOCK, AND WITH THE COMING ELECTIONS IN SOUTH AFRICA ON WEDNESDAY I FORESEE AN EVEN WEAKER RAND.WE MIGHT SEE A RALLY FROM 14.50'S TO 15.20'S OR EVEN HIGHER DEPENDING ON THE OUTCOMES OF THE ELECTIONS.
THERE SEEMS TO BE A DAY FRAME H AND S PATTERN, AND IF IT PLAYS OUT WELL, IT WILL REACH TARGET 2, ESPECIALLY IF BRITISH FUNDAMENTALS GO TOO BAD THAN EXPECTED. YESTERDAY WE HAD A REVERSAL PATTERN(PIN) EVEN WHICH ALSO WAS A RETEST OF THE NECKLINE REGION OF THE H AND S. STOP LOSS GOES ABOVE THAT PIN.
The USD seems stronger across the board, and GBP is also as strong, but the technicals favour USD, and there is also a head and shoulder pattern I have left out due to some reasons, but a sell seems like a good trade for now. remember stops.