


Gold market fundamentals: Powell made a speech on interest rate cut last Friday. The September interest rate cut is a foregone conclusion, and the probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut has increased. The US dollar index and US Treasury yields continue to fall. The Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical crises are intensifying, and risk aversion...
Yesterday, the price of gold fell rapidly after breaking the 2500-point integer mark, falling as low as 2470, with a range of 30$. This coincides with my previous point of view. Yesterday, we bought near 2500, stopped loss in time after breaking, and turned to chasing the decline, making up for the loss caused by the buy order and earning 4K. Now the gold price...
Gold Market Fundamentals: Investors are largely convinced that a rate cut will happen in September, with the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields continuing to decline, providing strong support for gold prices. Revised data from the U.S. Department of Labor reflects growing Fed concerns over the labor market, reinforcing expectations of a rate cut. Escalating...
I have some personal matters today, so I don't have time to update you with detailed trading strategies. I will just briefly talk about it. At present, there is a risk of a correction in gold. If it cannot continue to break the previous high, I will not continue to be bullish. 2500 is a key point. If it breaks, it may adjust downward by 30-50$, so you need to pay...
Gold Market Fundamentals: The current rise in gold prices reflects the market's intense focus on Fed policy. The market widely expects a rate cut in September, with a 77.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 22.5% chance of a 50 basis point cut, which supports gold prices. This week's focus is on the Fed's policy minutes and Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole...
Generally speaking, after a sharp rise, if there is no special news, it will repeatedly step back to the support to determine whether it is possible to continue to rise. On the other hand, the current price is at a historical high, and it is hard to say that it will not fall by about $100 like the last time it broke through the historical high, so our transactions...
Friends in the channel know that my strategy has a high accuracy rate, even if it is not 90%, it is at least 80%. We achieved good results with our two short sales of gold yesterday. At the end, I made it clear that if the gold price breaks through the resistance range, it will test new historical highs again. Now the gold price is moving towards this prediction....
Gold market fundamentals: Yesterday's CPI data adjusted the market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut, from 50 basis points to 25 basis points (bad for gold) The ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas will be held in Doha, which will have an important impact on the situation in the Middle East (bad for gold) Although the Ukrainian army's...
Gold market fundamentals: The market believes that the Fed will definitely cut interest rates in September, but the uncertainty is whether it will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points. The decline in U.S. bond yields and the low dollar index make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies, providing some support for gold prices. In addition, the...
Judging from the current gold price, I think it is of little significance to refer to technical indicators. From the hourly chart, it is not difficult to see that gold has been fluctuating in the range of 2458 lows and 2475 highs in the past two days, and this state is very likely to change after the release of CPI data in 1 hour. The current gold price shows an...
Gold Market Fundamentals: Yesterday, gold prices surged by over $40 due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, driving safe-haven inflows. Israel’s military actions in Gaza, potential Iranian retaliation, and Ukrainian attacks on Russia’s Kursk region have all heightened investor demand for gold. Additionally, the market's heightened sensitivity to...
Gold market fundamentals: Affected by this week's US economic data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market currently has a 55.5% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, down from the previous 70%. The increase in geopolitical risks in the Middle East has led to an increase in safe-haven demand (it is not...
Gold market fundamentals: OANDA:XAUUSD The weak employment report prompted the market to expect a rate cut of nearly 105 basis points by the end of the year, with a 100% chance of a rate cut in September. This expectation has given gold some support, as rate cuts usually reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, with the rise of the US dollar index...
Today's Asian and European sessions have seen little volatility, with gold prices staying below 2400 and not testing 2420, indicating gold is still in a consolidation phase. Therefore, we should adjust our outlook accordingly. The 4-hour gold chart shows a new head and shoulders pattern forming, with prices near the shoulder level. Historically, reaching the...
From the hourly chart, we can easily see that the high point of gold is constantly moving down, which indicates that the overall downward trend is still continuing. In the previous article, I mentioned the decline of $95 on Monday. The Fibonacci retracement indicator shows that 0.382 is near the 2400 integer mark, and it also clearly mentions the bearish view...
OANDA:XAUUSD Yesterday, financial markets plummeted due to recession fears, but today global stock markets and stock index futures are rebounding. Gold, despite its drop, is expected to bounce back as a safe-haven asset. Interest rate futures have almost fully priced in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September Once recession risks are mitigated, gold's...
OANDA:XAUUSD Against the backdrop of concerns about economic recession, global assets are experiencing a sell-off. But as a safe-haven asset, shouldn't gold rise? Instead, it followed the sharp drop of $100. This situation is very abnormal, so I don't think gold will continue to fall. Once investors calm down and look back, gold will soon highlight its safe-haven...