Armanhammer

Armanhammer

Utilizing the Wyckoff Methodology to identify whether a trading range is in accumulation or distribution is critical to forming a directional bias and determining the probable future trend of the market. Trading ranges are formed on all timeframes and the price action within them contain key characteristics that can be used to identify what phase of the cycle the...

Armanhammer

I subscribe to Wyckoff Methodology quite heavily viewing all markets as being manipulated by the composite operator (invisible hand moving the markets accumulating supply creating the lows of the market and distributing supply creating the tops). Bitcoin over the course of 2021-2022 has completed a Macro Distribution Schematic. Viewing markets in trading ranges is...

Armanhammer

My Macro thesis for how to trade the Bitcoin market cycle is largely dependent on the Halving schedule, roughly every 4 years the supply of new bitcoin rewarded for each block mined is halved. This event is typically a catalyst that begins the next bull run. The ultimate bear market lows occur roughly 500 days before the next halving. Many assume that the...