AtoHoward

AtoHoward

Trade details: 65/60 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $1.00 Prob. of Max Profit = 70.13% Prob. of Max Loss = 10.10% Break-even @ $64.00 119 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting $68.00 support level to survive possible test before earnings report next week for an uptrend continuation before May '18 expiration. Using...

AtoHoward Updated 

Trade details: 66/61 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $1.82 Prob. of Max Profit = 4.90% Prob. of Max Loss = 29.12% Break-even @ $64.18 51 D.T.E. Trade plan: Straight up hedge against technology sector/semiconductor industry (NVDA + AMAT long put credit spread positions - both are linked below). Feb.'18 expiration chosen to focus on Feb.'18 earnings reports for...

AtoHoward Updated 

Trade details: 57.5/50 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $3.01 Prob. of Max Profit = 10.86% Prob. of Max Loss = 34.02% Break-even @ $54.49 50 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by overbought status + indication of correction/mean reversion analysis. Expecting pullback to moving average (VWMA) before earnings report in Feb.'18 for profit on weakening uptrend as seen in...

AtoHoward Updated 

Trade details: 105/98 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $2.69 Prob. of Max Profit = 13.29% Prob. of Max Loss = 35.05% Break-even @ $102.31 28 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by overbought + mean reversion signals Expecting for pull-back to the $100 level well within the at-the-money straddle expected move by expiration. Expecting to adjust aggressively to minimize loss if...

AtoHoward Updated 

Trade details for QQQ: 159/149 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $2.97 Prob. of Max Profit = 18.00% Prob. of Max Loss = 43.96% Break-even @ $156.03 52 D.T.E. Trade plan: QQQ identified to be overbought + sign of weakness compared to recent rally. SPY & QQQ are highly correlating, with QQQ as more volatile mover (suitable for debit spread). Feb. expiration has...

AtoHoward

Trade details: 47/42 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $0.98 Prob. of Max Profit = 69.49% Prob. of Max Loss = 13.53% Break-even @ $46.02 114 D.T.E. Trade plan: Similar bias as NVDA trade (check it out below). Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting $48.00 support level to survive possible test before earnings report in Feb.'18 for an uptrend...

AtoHoward

Trade details for SPY : 261/258 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $0.37 Prob. of Max Profit = 79.79% Prob. of Max Loss = 12.62% Break-even @ $260.63 52 D.T.E. Trade plan: QQQ identified to be overbought + sign of weakness compared to recent rally. SPY & QQQ are highly correlating, with QQQ as more volatile mover (suitable for debit spread). Feb. expiration has...

AtoHoward

Trade details: 175/160 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $2.93 Prob. of Max Profit = 72.17% Prob. of Max Loss = 14.05% Break-even @ $172.07 84 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting a response up or down from $191.20 support level test, probably during next week or the early in Jan. Expecting older support level to hold...

AtoHoward

Trade details: 100/90 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $1.85 Prob. of Max Profit = 68.04% Prob. of Max Loss = 11.34% Break-even @ $98.15 84 D.T.E. Trade plan: Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting old gap-up support level at $104.50 to hold after recovering from breakdown test on 12/04/17, until Mar.'18 expiration. RISKS: Break-even within...

AtoHoward

155/140 Put Vertical Credit @ $3.03 Apr-20 Expiration Break-even at $151.97

AtoHoward Updated 

Stock currently in horizontal channel after starting downtrend. Historical price action at resistance calls for a short entry at this point; high pressure for short at resistance level Stop @ 59.75 Upon stop, breakout entry @ 60.00

AtoHoward Updated 

Ideally should be done right before trading day close but here we go. USB is in general uptrend, so long position is sought. Initial long at 54.60 pullback stopped out at 53.50. Second entry with half position size at 52.75 pullback level, with subsequent long at 50 if pullback reaches here. Entry at 52.75 and 50 with stop at 49 was the initial plan. Expected...

AtoHoward Updated 

Short-term trend for LULU with RSI confirmation @ 65 mark last week. High probability initial Target for $65 Secondary Target @ about $63.75

AtoHoward Updated 

Strong channel downtrend since Aug 2015, with RSI overbought at ideal short entry levels (small green squares). RSI at overbought level again; signal to short in this case with harmonic period of about 6 months. Also current small double top at about $130 mark (short orange); stock expected to close gap to about $118 for initial target short-term target. That...

AtoHoward

Sorry, didn't put this up earlier but it's still valid. SGMO has bearish divergence between 11/14 last year and 01/13 this year (white arrows on chart and RSI ). Also as usual, RSI shows signal for selling (overbought). The price also happens to be at the downtrend channel resistance. The volume profile shows increased more seller-to-buyer ratio since 01/17....

AtoHoward

CHK had strong downward channel trend that turned around in Feb 2016. Ascending triangle pattern formation, on monthly, weekly and daily timeframes, for long-term swing in price to break upper resistance @ ~$8.00 (this is daily chart). Again, RSI has been so graceful in confirming possible short or long entries for the whole duration of the triangle's...

AtoHoward

Harmonic downtrend (green trendline) since double top in 2013 and 2014; has been trying to find a base in the 40's but is now in the 30's looking for a base. Currently at high for short-term and long-term and has high probability to fall. RSI confirmation @ 65. Historically, RSI here has done well at signaling short entries. SOHU is currently in short-term...

AtoHoward

Simple probability set up. Triangle downtrend started in 11/2016 and VNDA has only been through one full harmonic trend (wave) ever since. Second wave downward move imminent with RSI confirmation @ 35 and bearish $13 target. However, aggressive long entry for quick profit ($15 bullish target) especially with upcoming earnings. Upon $15 target, (expected RSI...