Tonight will be the night that can rank in the top few in terms of importance since the opening of the rate hike. A rate hike of 0.25% is already a high probability, will there be a small probability event that the rate hike will be stopped directly? Will the Federal Reserve release the message of turning? These will be the key for the market to price the...
The market continued to rise over the weekend. The rally took a month to complete at the beginning of the year. The current round took only eight days, in line with the characteristics of the third sub-wave. When the price reached 28,600, the minimum requirements were completed. It also announces that BTC is entering the second half of the operation of the bullish...
Last night's inflation data was in line with expectations. BTC price has been broken. Although it didn't stand firm, it also announced the liberation of all the hedging discs after last June. The short-term position can continue to go long. The annual analysis report mentioned a point: BTC trend is the most critical for incremental funds. This can be seen from...
The U.S. banking sector plunged again last night. This time cryptocurrencies and gold are moving in sync. The crypto industry has also become the first choice for safe-haven money after the U.S. banking sector revealed its problems. The market is forcing the Fed to re-examine the subsequent path of interest rate hikes. Which is more harmful, inflation or economic...
The Silicon Valley bank collapsed, and the USDC event ended. The Fed and Treasury stepped in to deal with the subsequent potential liquidity crisis. The 'Black Swan dust has settled, and prices have returned. The market is back to its previous pace. This morning's rise to repair the previous excessive panic does not mean that there is sustainability. The opening...
Last night's non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, which is positive. But the unemployment rate was also higher than expected, which is positive. The two data are consistent, reflecting the decline in stocks and the rise in increments. Combined with the layoffs of the tech giants, we can infer the situation of the U.S. job market: high-wage earners are...
The market saw a significant drop last night. And mainstream tokens such as BTC and ETH led the decline, while the smaller tokens were a bit stronger. This decline is a black swan event. After the silver gate, which is more involved in the crypto space, announced its liquidation, Silicon Valley Bank made another negative announcement last night, announcing the...
Yesterday to this morning is still bearish. ADP data higher again deepened the March rate hike of 0.5% expected. The silver gate event finally landed in the early morning, ending in a shutdown liquidation, and the market went lower again. The multiple blows to the market, starting with the February data negative, have brought several indicators back again to...
Last night Powell's hawkish speech caused market volatility again. The market has raised its judgment on the extreme value of interest rates to 5.75% now, raising expectations for a 0.5% increase in March. After the market has already priced at a 5.5% rate, the actual impact has been limited. The focus of the shock may be shifted down again to reflect the new...
The market has nothing new changed. The ongoing shakeout is a bit like the end of last year. The market activity has been greatly improved. The Fed's hawkish trend has come to a head. A reasonable range of shortcomings is also priced in, and the probability is not low. Combined with the subsequent hotspot, the active layout is the main task. At the same time,...
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting early this morning was in line with market forecasts, still tending to maintain multiple 0.25% rate hikes. The inflation target is unchanged. The actual impact has been small in the market and has fallen before this valuation. There was no mention of raising the inflation target to 2.8%, but this change will likely be...
The Nasdaq fell 2.5% last night. The weakness of US stocks drove the crypto market to adjust. As we mentioned yesterday, the inflation data and the Fed's view could be of little practical significance after the market has played this game for a year. The future is relatively straightforward. In the current bull market to 2025, BTC probably rose to about 100,000,...
The U.S. stock market has been closed in recent days. The market has been relatively quiet, and the game continues. The following events will bring some volatility. The first is the Fed meeting minutes early Thursday morning, with a one-month window until the following rate resolution. Thursday is likely to provide forward guidance. The impact will soon be...
The market rose steadily over the weekend, but there was some adjustment this morning. Overall it is still a short-term high position of oscillation and in a phase of uncertainty. The contradiction comes mainly from the weakness of macro data and the strength of technicals. Inflation and related data released this month have been shorting. For March, May, and...
The market continues to rise sharply. The main force's manipulation is clever. BTC rose more than most mainstream tokens. At present, only BTC and ADA have refreshed the highest level this year among the top 10 varieties of market capitalization. Now, the pull-up was the lightest, with fewer followers. Even in pulling up, shorting funds will continue to emerge....
Last night's inflation data was lower than expected, falling only 0.1%. The rise in the MoM data reflects that inflation is repeating itself and is a clear negative. After the release of the data, the number of people expecting the Fed to continue to raise interest rates by 25 points in June also prevailed. Expectations of a rate cut this year were also...
Yesterday afternoon, the New York Department of Financial Services asked to stop casting the new BUSD. The news had some impact on the market. BUSD saw a maximum drop of 0.5%. BNB saw a maximum drop of 10%. The incident started with the SEC's lawsuit against Paxos, framing BUSD as an unregistered security, consistent with the previous characterization of the...
Last night US stocks saw a decline, and crypto also returned to its current sideways range again. The varieties related to Shanghai upgrade are obviously strong pledge leader LDO has set a new record high. The direct beneficiary tokens of Shanghai Upgrade are naturally ETH and the pledge track. The Institute introduced the benefits of pledging through Lido at the...