INTRODUCTION - This is the 01/26/24 unitary (not binary), 15-min bar, 5-day partially-detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. This is the signal I caught last night, adjusted for bar size, time frame, vol-limits, with consideration for PCE/CORE PCE release...
INTRO - Are we going down again? AGAIN? Will 2000 hold? Will Jerome Powell cut gold bugs a break on last day of January? Have I given up intermediate forecasting? Well, short term trend mapping says there's only one good trade ahead of FOMC. That is short Thursday night into Friday and Sunday. DETAILS - I left off last post saying I caught a bearish signal. This...
INTRODUCTION - This is the second 01/19/24 binary, 3-hour bar, 16-trading day ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. From the notes in end of DRAFT 3, this revised "inverse head-and-shoulders" break-out scenario is derived from all combined current trends from micro to super long. This...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 01/19/24 binary, 3-hour bar, 16-trading day ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. From the notes in end of DRAFT 2, this is the "inverse head-and-shoulders" break-out scenario derived from current short and intermediate (over long and very long) regression...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 01/16/24 (daily) binary, 15-min bar, ten-day ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. I have talked twenty months, blah blah and blah, but all hat and no cattle. We are running out of time AND routes to complete this setup by 01/25 deadline. DETAILS -...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 01/14/24 binary, 15-min bar, ten-day ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. I have talked about this explicit time frame for twenty months. Trend maps called the low in aftermarket of Thursday 01/11 and is currently allowing nine...
WARNING - This is is just first draft to raise awareness of something that is not really favored to happen. SUMMARY - So I've been talking about this zone, 01/10-03/08, 2024, as being gold bull market's last legit break out window. And today is 01/11, so we burn 1 day and that's fine. There are number of reasons why ranging from technically, to cyclically, to...
HEADER - I started this series in September 2022 when Bank of England made the first move. This is the closure that this series deserve. SUMMARY - The following are the posts that nailed the 1610 turn 40 days ahead and forecasted the macro move to today: 1) DRAFT 1, 10/03/22, 4-hour bar, that warned of the incoming turn: 2) PART 2, 11/06/22, 90-min bar,...
WARNINGS - This is a test, this is only a test. SUMMARY - This is the 01/10/24, daily binary, 15-min bar, 72-hour ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. FOR REGULARS - Continuing from TEST 1, this is the most updated map as of 9:30 PM ET, 01/10. I have to get this up now because I...
THIS IS A TEST - This is only a test. SUMMARY - This is trend map for 72 hours detailed in 8 min bars (but posted as 15-min bars). DETAILS - I spent last 3 weeks searching for breakout that's not coming. So I am stripping this process of all things that did not work and keeping what has worked. This is a test of that new methodology.
WARNINGS FOR PEOPLE THAT ALWAYS NEED THEM - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted throughout duration of this forecast to supplement - NOT REPLACE - your trading discipline and risk management. As always, when...
WARNINGS FOR PEOPLE THAT ALWAYS NEED THEM - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted throughout duration of this forecast to supplement - NOT REPLACE - your trading discipline and risk management. As always, when...
GROUND RULES - I am writing this for only for my regular audience who have read my material for a while and know how I operate. I am not looking for a bigger audience, I have stopped looking for a while. If you haven't read my work in in the last four months, THIS IS NOT FOR YOU. I DON'T HAVE TIME TO EXPLAIN. PERIOD. FULL STOP. SUMMARY - I have said since...
SUMMARY - I have said since May of 2022 that January 10th to March 8th of 2024 would be the last window for a gold bull market breakout. It's 12:05 AM 01/04/24, counting the weekend, we are less than 6 days from 01/10 entry date. This is what regression mapping says now. DETAILS - I've already completed my entry earlier today around 2034. I did so because...
SUMMARY - I've talked for 20 months about 01/10/24 to 03/08/24 as being the last argument for gold bull market. We are 7 trading days from 01/10 entry. This is what my execution plan looks like now. DETAILS - So the range of extrapolations all fit inside the blue trapezoid. I have so many zig-zag routes that if I put them all up, they would fill out the rest...
SUMMARY - I've talked for 20 months about 01/10/24 to 03/08/24 as being the last argument for gold bull market. That is to say - if it's going to do - this is the last window to to make it a reality. This window now features four rallies of which this is the first one from 01/10 to 01/15, with a top around 2190 give or take. NOT LINEAR REGRESSION FORECASTING -...
SUMMARY - This is the 12/27/23, 15-min bar, 48-hour, ultra-detailed, CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. Continuing from #16!, I see an incoming staircase with a shot of closing all time high this Friday. So that's why this is DRAFT 1, in case I need a DRAFT 2. If not Friday, then 01/03-04 will give...
SUMMARY - This is the 12/22/23, 15-min bar, 12-trading day, semi-detailed, CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. Continuing from #15!, I discussed switching into intermediate trading mode where our focus is amassing entries for first top around January 24, 2024 (2280-2400, looking like 2310 right...