HEADER - Regressions say pivot is in in a big way. SUMMARY - As I said this morning in 1G, less detail, more usefulness. DETAILS - We are going to the first box where our plans for December-January short is still good, the levels though have changed. Please read previous links for background below ESPECIALLY THE LAST ONE, 1G. I will add notes later.
HEADER - This is testing reverse methodology (IRT PRIMARY, IRL SECONDARY). Price is retesting solid support (for this time frame). SUMMARY - This is what I get if I use IRT as main engine and IRL for support. DETAILS - I would BUY THIS DROP. Otherwise, bold forecasted lines lead skinny lines. Dark forecasted lines lead light lines. Reverse engineer for...
HEADER - This is the culmination of seven years of development in linear regression forecasting. This is what I have dedicated seven years of my life in order to do. That was seven years of hard work, seven years of data mining, seven years of "being a fool" and "chasing a ghost", seven years of blood and sweat and tears and most importantly, seven years I...
HEADER - This is what happens when I put "1F" through reconciliation of all waves through multiple ratios and settings of PIRL, IRL, and IRT (wave tracer). SUMMARY - So all of "PART 1" is focused on "THE REAL PIVOT", hence its title. In 1B, I charted generic 65-day chart, 1C was detailed 65-day chart, 1D was where I saw the binary nature of mid-January, 1E was...
HEADER - This is what my work was meant to do, forecast prices beat for beat. Let's see if its worth anything. SUMMARY - Please read previous posts for background. LInks are below. This is the finalized cheat sheet for 60 days as discussed in "PART 1E". STRATEGY - If prices moves to 12/22 beat for beat through the black boxes following gray highlight,...
HEADER - This is a supplement for 1D. SUMMARY - The boxes are a guide to a more refined cheat sheet if I have time. DETAILS - I am convinced, but not with conviction yet.
HEADER - This is an update to PART 1C. SUMMARY - I thought a great deal about my process over the weekend. I don't want to end this work because I made a mistake. So this chart cover the major outcomes I can see. Links to priors below. DETAILS - The dark bear route is the favorite, BUT IT MUST FOLLOW THAT ROUTE CLOSELY TO REMAIN THE FAVORITE. Meaning if it...
HEADER - This is a detailed version of 1B, a supplement for PART 1. SUMMARY - Price should follow blue path or weaker. If it follows orange path (especially if it hits that ellipse) then it should take the long route down starting in late February. In that scenario, I am not interested in another "reconciliation". I would shut this down for good. DETAILS -...
HEADER - This is an attachment to PART 1, as promised. The path to 1450. SUMMARY - This is price action through April 2023, but the focus is on price through 01/20. STRATEGY - Short first black box, cover second black box. DETAILS - The extreme upside momentum is about to run out by 11/21 or 11/22, next Monday or Tuesday, so the very first gray box. But price...
HEADER - These are two targets IRL forecast to hit by November 22 (so next 7 trading days). SUMMARY - I left off in PART 3-6 explaining what I expected in gold and why I have to focus on silver (for more background see all prior posts linked at the end). I thought that the best way forward was to show what both silver/gold should do simultaneously, but two weeks...
HEADER - This is the second supplement for development 75-day silver chart. After posting, I will not continue here, but in PART 3-7 linked here: SUMMARY - I have enough to forecast ot 60-65 at the end of 2025. DETAILS - See links below for previous related posts. END OF POST.
HEADER - This is a supplement for development 75-day silver chart. After posting, I will not continue here, but in PART 3-7 linked here: SUMMARY - The red route is current expectations. DETAILS - Notes on chart: A) previous long term generic route (with gray boxes for targeting estimates). B) previous short term (partial detailed) C) current expectations D)...
HEADER - I'm too slow. Should've gotten this up 2 hours ago. SUMMARY - I was in the middle of standardizing a regression set, so didn't have enough time. DETAILS - I'm too slow on both gold and silver, that much I know. Links to previous posts below. Will add if I have time.
HEADER - I confirmed the move is realistic, and I would say considerably likely, on four major sets of regressions. Meanwhile, I completed some important sets of detailing. SUMMARY - This is essentially a presentable version of PART 3-4, see notes in 3-4 for development. DETAILS - Please read previous posts in this series for background. Links are below. With...
HEADER - THIS chart is the important one. I will make at least 2, maybe 4 more drafts of this chart before finalizing. SUMMARY - The ENTIRETY of RUMORS PART 3, my thesis on revival of precious metals bull market, relies on silver prices through 02-20-23 AS THE LEADING INDICATOR. DETAILS - Please see links to previous posts in this series to see how we got...
HEADER - This the second supplement to RUMORS PART 3. SUMMARY - Considering everything stated in PART 3 and PART 3-1(SILVER), Gold price action should look closer to this. DETAILS - There should be a total of 4 SPIKES, we are half way through the first one. The second one should be around (before or after) December FOMC, the third one should be January FOMC, and...
HEADER - This is most relevant update for 3-2, GENERIC INTERMEDIATE. This is a part of my series expecting strong precious metals price action through late 2025. SUMMARY - This detailing is not SUPER DETAILING, but right now, silver is more important. So I will work on that next. DETAILS - As of right now, I fully expect price action to April to look more or...
HEADER - This is a supplement for "RUMORS OF A PIVOT PART 3". SUMMARY - The problem with silver is that it is WAY OUT OF POSITION. But it SHOULD BE because, again in theory, SILVER SHOULD LEAD THE SECOND HAlLF. DETAILS - Here is the compare/contrast vs. gold chart posted yesterday. I will add notes soon.