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MQP 23 WINTER IS COMING DRAFT 3
XAUUSD
, 240
Short
XAUUSD: MQP 23 WINTER IS COMING DRAFT 3
Updated 

HEADER - This is an updated look at price action through October. SUMMARY - In notes of DRAFT 2, I added that the 6/12 spike was weak and is very suggestive of a deeper move down in July. That said, I think 1740 area should hold for a second retest due October. DETAILS - See DRAFT 1 & 2 for details. Links are below. We are following blue path now, orange...

MQP 23 WINTER IS COMING DRAFT 2
XAUUSD
, 240
Long
XAUUSD: MQP 23 WINTER IS COMING DRAFT 2
Updated 

HEADER - This is a supplement. This is used to confirm that DRAFT 1 makes sense with all corresponding bollinger bands and their extensions incorporating some important trend lines. SUMMARY - Draft 1 was 3 sets of 3x regression layers. It was made using 9D, 3D, 1D, 12H, and 8H bars. That is to say that it focuses on longer (naturally more crucial trends). This...

MQP 23 WINTER IS COMING DRAFT 1
XAUUSD
, 1D
Long
XAUUSD: MQP 23 WINTER IS COMING DRAFT 1
Updated 

HEADER - Odds of August/September rally has dropped dramatically in last week. This is now the long term favorite. SUMMARY - This means that gold bull market thesis will be in doubt until November at the earliest. The setup for the rally would not be ready until December this year. Furthermore, if gold does not take this December's route up (and it maybe as...

MQP 22 DRAFT1, NO MORE MIRACLES FOR GOLD, TIME TO DIE
XAUUSD
, 160
Short
XAUUSD: MQP 22 DRAFT1, NO MORE MIRACLES FOR GOLD, TIME TO DIE
Updated 

HEADER - I ended 20H FINAL DRAFT hours ago. Stating that all longs have been closed. I am basically 300% short. SUMMARY - Failure to get to 1891/1892 today guaranteed this scenario next. The only question left is when 1700 will come? DETAILS - I will add later when I have time. But basically I see 1700 on 5/31, maybe even 5/30 (next Monday). Odds by...

MQP PRESENTS - 20H FINAL DRAFT
XAUUSD
, 27
Long
XAUUSD: MQP PRESENTS - 20H FINAL DRAFT
Updated 

HEADER - It's 1840.55 as I type this and 12:03 PM on the east coast. Gold really needs a strong close to keep this realistic. Final draft because gold is running out of time to make a new May high. I'm running out to time to prove this process worthwhile to some important people, and they don't seem to be too interested. Sigh... May 25th is FOMC minutes, May...

MQP PRESENTS - 20H (DRAFT 2) NEW ALL TIME HIGH BY 5/31
XAUUSD
, 40
Long
XAUUSD: MQP PRESENTS - 20H (DRAFT 2) NEW ALL TIME HIGH BY 5/31
Updated 

HEADER - This is second draft of 20H. SUMMARY - We don't have a bottom yet. The clock on this move running out. This is the only version of this move left that fits the curves. DETAILS - See 20H link below for background

MQP PRESENTS 20H DRAFT 4 - BARRING A VERY, VERY LATE MIRACLE
XAUUSD
, 80
Long
XAUUSD: MQP PRESENTS 20H DRAFT 4 - BARRING A VERY, VERY LATE MIRACLE
Updated 

HEADER - Is the gold bull still alive? Will faith be restored to shaken believers? SUMMARY - As stated in 21 A-B-C, I hedged for this scenario. Those hedges are now full blown longs. Despite odds of it going to zero with NO VOLUME INDICATORS showing it remotely possible, I held on to this scenario for so long because the foundation of my theory on price...

MQP 21C AND THIS IS HOW IT SHOULD END
XAUUSD
, 27
Short
XAUUSD: MQP 21C AND THIS IS HOW IT SHOULD END
Updated 

HEADER - It should be much closer to this vs. 21B. SUMMARY - Again, barring a very, very, very, very late miracle of 20H DRAFT 3 playing out, this is how gold goes down. Maybe for A VERY LONG TIME. DETAILS - Links for 20H, 21A, and 21B are below. I have a small hedge that pays for all my puts if 20H decides to play. Besides that, I am all the way in short...

MQP 21B - GOLD IS DEAD, BUT THIS SHORT IS SO MONEY!
XAUUSD
, 18
Short
XAUUSD: MQP 21B - GOLD IS DEAD, BUT THIS SHORT IS SO MONEY!
Updated 

HEADER - No more time. No way out. The only way is down. SUMMARY - Barring a miracle, this is going to happen. After 1760, 1720 will be next likely by 5/23, almost definitely by 5/27. Odds of 1700 are real for next week. DETAILS - This is continuation of 21A. Link is below. That 5 hours to stop bears gave us 1820, which actually took 7 hours. The...

MQP PRESENTS 21 A - IT'S OVER, FOR A LONG TIME.
XAUUSD
, 27
Short
XAUUSD: MQP PRESENTS 21 A - IT'S OVER, FOR A LONG TIME.

HEADER - Bulls have literally hours left to stop this move. Five hours max. SUMMARY - Clock is almost out. DETAILS - The 3x3 charts show this move is next. The only way to stop it is $40 spike up in 12 hours. The implications of this move for the rest of 2022 can not be overstated.

MQP PRESENTS - 20H (DRAFT 3) THIS WEEK FIRST
XAUUSD
, 30
Long
XAUUSD: MQP PRESENTS - 20H (DRAFT 3) THIS WEEK FIRST
Updated 

HEADER - This draft deals with just this week. SUMMARY - Everything in DRAFT 2 still applies after wards. I just don't have time to adjust the whole thing. DETAILS - Last 2 drafts in the links.

MQP PRESENTS 20H - NEW ALL TIME HIGH IN 12 TRADING DAYS
XAUUSD
, 45
Long
XAUUSD: MQP PRESENTS 20H - NEW ALL TIME HIGH IN 12 TRADING DAYS
Updated 

HEADER - I have much, much more conviction now. SUMMARY - I've covered the put hedges (paired of a straddle yesterday) this morning. 55% of trade funds in with 45% left for tomorrow. IRL RATIO/BAR - 3/4, 45-min bar, zoom in at 11-min, 22-min and zoom out at 90-min, 3H, 6H, 12H, D, 2D, 4D, 8D. DIRECTIONS - Upload IRL from my scripts page. You have to click my...

MQP 20G BEST I CAN DO ON SHORT NOTICE
XAUUSD
, 120
Long
XAUUSD: MQP 20G BEST I CAN DO ON SHORT NOTICE
Updated 

HEADER - If the signal holds true for next 60 hours. It should play like this. SUMMARY - Get long and stay long. Taper in today (5/10), tomorrow, and Thursday. DETAILS - Links for 20E & 20F below.

MQP 20F FIRST ENTRY NOW
XAUUSD
, 80
Long
XAUUSD: MQP 20F FIRST ENTRY NOW
Updated 

HEADER - I have enough conviction in May rally to take first entry now. SUMMARY - I have enough evidence that 20E IS TOO SLOW. DETAILS - The 80 hour set of curves have shifted into rally position. I have conviction that THE ENTRY FOR THIS RALLY IS NEXT 55 HOURS. That is all of Tuesday, all of Wednesday, and Thursday by 8 AM ET.

MQP 20D MOST LIKELY PATH FOR 80 HOURS
XAUUSD
, 160
XAUUSD: MQP 20D MOST LIKELY PATH FOR 80 HOURS
Updated 

HEADER - This is detailing for 20C. SUMMARY - This is what I said I would post in 20C. DETAILS - If I consider next 80 hours - AND ONLY NEXT 80 HOURS - of regressive curves, this is the most likely for now. I have confirmed this should be solid for 3 days or a tad longe, or until I post something stating otherwise. Links for 20A, 20B and 20C are below.

MQP 20E 15-DAY FORECAST
XAUUSD
, 60
Long
XAUUSD: MQP 20E 15-DAY FORECAST
Updated 

HEADER - This should be better than your average weather forecast. SUMMARY - This is culmination of everything since series 16. DETAILS - Links to 20 A-B-C-D are below, as are everything else since 17G. Unless my expectations for new all time high by 5/27 changes, I will post nothing else until then because my entire focus will be on execution. Usually, I...

MQP 20C MOST LIKELY PATH FOR 24 HOURS
XAUUSD
, 80
XAUUSD: MQP 20C MOST LIKELY PATH FOR 24 HOURS
Updated 

HEADER - This is a supplement for 20B SUMMARY - 3X layers produced this for incoming 72 hours. As of right now, this is much more credible than 19A. DETAILS - 5/11 orange vertical is CPI release about 8:30 AM ET. 5/12 red vertical is PPI release at same time. Regressions forecast made w/o consideration of events at that time. They just happen to line up...

MQP 20B MAY RALLY LIMITS, TRADE OF THE SUMMER
XAUUSD
, 160
Long
XAUUSD: MQP 20B MAY RALLY LIMITS, TRADE OF THE SUMMER
Updated 

HEADER - These are time/price limits for low and high for the next 15 trading days. SUMMARY - This combines everything in 19A and 20A and super simpllified. DETAILS - This is what the math says at 1882.93 right now: 1. the last 6 weeks I've been searching for that May rally 2. regression curves say the next 3 weeks (15 trading days) will deliver 3. there...

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