Binary_Forecasting_Service

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 26, 2024

So when a move like this happens. All the individual trend waves have to agree. The math says yellow route is not going to work, because of too much disagreement. Blue route IS THE ONLY ROUTE THAT WORK but that's not same as favored. IT IS NOT AT ALL FAVORED and should be considered a massive massive underdog.

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 26, 2024

This continues directly from notes in DRAFT 2. 1) there's nothing to do except wait 2) and even follow through to 7/3 will NOT... 3) make bull route the favorite 4) barring a surprise bull move to 2335 in next 60 hours 5) we won't know anything until morning of 7/2 6) we can't go in until we know

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 26, 2024

Either you kill gold bull market today, or everything on list above is going to happen. 1) this is not a debate 2) this is just a math problem 3) fundamentally, why would gold bull end? 4) I don't claim to know all the fundamentals 5) but from technical stand point 6) this is dead last route for gold bull market as a whole 7) not just "a rally on the way" 8)...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 26, 2024

This draft deals with the move to 2450 first. 1) insofar, this draft is same as July previous one 2) but more contained in that we are dealing with the move to 2450 only 3) which should be finished by next Thursday 4) but to also state that the base case, should be 3000 in 128 days 5) or by 10/31/2024 6) that is a 29% move 7) so let that sink in 8) I'll be...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 26, 2024

The break out tonight is wide open. But I gotta a feeling it's not going to happen. 1) all notes going into this I wrote in DRAFT 29 2) basically, bulls are late 3) and the only way to be on time is to move tonight 4) the setup is there 5) but price has to be up strong AT MIDNIGHT 6) miss this window, and you have to settle for 2450 7/5 7) and 2500 the...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 25, 2024

Sometimes figuring out direction is easy. But figuring out shape is hard like you don't believe. 1) we are going up 2) no idea what it looks like 3) bc it's not going to check down 4) to reset the blue wave 5) which means some annoying route 6) long story short, we are going up 7) July 5th high cut to 2655 8) I can always bump it later if I have to

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 25, 2024

The easiest escape momentum route I have ever seen. 1) down to 9 days with including July 4th 2) and price have chosen to eliminate the most logical routes 3) AND HAVE ALSO CHOSEN TO MAKE IT EVEN MORE DIFFICULT 4) by killing all of Tuesday's clock with sideways price action 5) it is 10:40 PM ET, price action in last 90 minute have eliminated plan B 6 that leaves...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 25, 2024

I can't walk away from a setup this good. It's stupid to walk away here. 1) all prior routes eliminated 2) we have a very rare break out setup (in the sense that it's strong AF) 3) with FOUR CONSECUTIVE LOW IN TEST 4) that is 2288, 2295, 2307, 2316 5) with everything ready to go EXCEPT 6) the FINAL MOVE FOR ESCAPE MOMENTUM 7) I don't know what it will look...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 25, 2024

Monday 6/24 and price still toying with 2320s-2330s, is it going to happen? Do we have enough time left? Did we just was several months chasing ghosts? I think we are about to find out: 1) in chart above, yellow is basecase 2) speed wise, this is only somewhat slower than draft 26-C 3) for now... 4) should we get the move for 2370 tonight 5) NONE OF THAT...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 24, 2024

This is the last draft. 1) because slower than this and the trends devolve into sideways for months 2) from previous draft 26-B, I've eliminated all those variations 3) this is the last variation of this rally in this precise window 4) which is a slower version of blue route (originally DRAFT 25) 5) watch the bold support line 6) going down there NOW? 7) would...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 24, 2024

From here on out, I really do not consider these adjustments a "separate draft". We are talking details of the same move. With that said, here's where we stand now: 1) orange is base case 2) and I know that it's slow now vs both yellow and blue routes 3) but trend engine has strong expectations this will pick up 4) and if the curve shifts again, it's more...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 24, 2024

THE CALL - 360 points in 9 trading days. INTRO - After nailing "2150 BY 03/08" breakout in March, I started talking about this move even before we got to 2200. The deadline for the 2640-2720 high is July 5th. As stated in DRAFT 25, the "super-coiling" of trends is about to break and send price to to 2660 by by next Friday 07/05/2024. July 4th is Independence...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 23, 2024

On Friday, we first eliminated DRAFT 24 (which is map for DRAFT 23). After that we used DRAFT 21 and eliminated both 21 & 22. The signal for 2640-2720 has been flashing for a month, with only 10 trading days to go ( but 9 minus July 4th), price is still coiling in setup mode. This coiling should (with caveat that this can explode ANY TIME NOW) in the...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 22, 2024

FOR CHART ABOVE: 1) with new high 2371+, yellow route has 2310 floor 2) no new high (now favored 60/40) has 2295 floor 3) & won't fight this line again until late Monday 4) rest of this chart is current base case 5) zoom out to see 7/3 2680 target 6) meaning base case is 2310-2680 in 8 trading days 7) counting only from Sunday not Friday 2295 low 8) this chart is...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 21, 2024

Replacement for DRAFT 23, no chart was available. 1) confirmed that rally is on 2) no more setting up 3) I didn't think we had anytime left either 4) but this works out so much better 5) w/o having to do proofs on whether or not a rally will fit 6) IT HAS BEGUN!

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 21, 2024

AND WE MISSED THE ENTRY! a) it was only possible to now today b) so I caught it as soon as I could c) otherwise GET ALL IN LONG!

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 21, 2024

SAME IDEA, NEW FLOOR. 1) the check down will take bit longer 2) and more staircase like 3) higher Sunday floor at 2320s 4) rest is the same 5) BUT 2-WAY VOL IS NOT OBVIOUS TO ME 6) this is not a move to day trade anyway 7) buy and hold for two weeks 8) not that hard

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated  Jun 21, 2024

There's only move left. 1) I am not sure there is another high 2) and if there is, I'm not sure what that means if anything 3) bc of the "layers" this move created 4) it's not coming down fast like other times 5) it's going to be the entirety of the next 15-16 hours 6) buy the low 7) sell 7/5 at 2660 give or take 8) the end