Most of my research surrounds tracking what the commercial hedgers are doing...the so called "Smart Money"
This could be the beginning of a reversal...
12660/70 area if reached will be where the bears pile in..imo !!
A break from the usual ! An exotic currency pair at best, but the principles the same..
Above the 50% fib level we look to buy on strength....If it holds look to test the 38% level.
Taking long position, stops below trend line...
Wait for the breakout or breakdown from the pennant for an indication as to whether or not we are going to test the top or bottom of the channel.
2017 has been a disaster for the dollar, according to analysts there little sign of change. what happens around this area should give us a clue as to where we are heading into summer.
Double top...Weekly Shooting star.. = Pull the 'short' trigger !!
If there's anything i am uncertain about regarding this trade is the news surrounding Facebook at the moment...its not good !! However this trade is on a futures contract and so i will be monitoring it over the next couple of Months.
Further upside for this pair imo. A break below the rising support at (1) would mean the Bears have regained control, if thats the case i would consider shorting down to the next rising trend line support and long it from there !!
The report written in the chart is based on chart patterns and basic support and resistance analysis, other factors need to be considered like data and news regarding this currency pair before entering into a trade.
The bears are rubbing there hands together as the downside prevails, all the bulls can hope for at this stage is that rising trend line support at the 7000 area holds !
Long term predictions seldom play out as you expect them to as data and news is changing all the time. This analysis is purely based on chart patterns and following a trend, which i might add some say is due to change !!
A break, hold and close above the trend line resistance on the Daily chart and this 'Short' scenario would be negated... so stops above the trend line resistance should suffice for this short trade. This analysis is designed for a swing trade that would typically last for days even weeks.