Buranku

Buranku

XAU/USD: Macro Drivers: Real Yields slightly positive → historically bearish, but offset by liquidity and geopolitics. Fed Dovish Tilt → market pricing cuts = bullish. Central Bank Demand (China, Russia) remains robust = structural bid. Liquidity Layer: Fed Net Liquidity ↑ → Bullish XAU. RRP down = cash entering markets → supports gold and equities. TGA stable →...

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The current macroeconomic backdrop, shaped by the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, highlights growing concerns over economic risks, particularly stemming from trade tensions and inflationary pressures triggered by tariffs. Despite a strong April jobs report, the Fed is signaling increased caution, warning that the risks of...

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The Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%–4.50% for the third consecutive meeting underscores a cautious stance in light of rising economic uncertainties. While the U.S. labor market remains strong—evidenced by robust non-farm payroll figures in April—the Fed has pivoted its tone. Policymakers now highlight increasing risks of...

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Macro & Equity Market Overview: Global equities are showing signs of fragility following a strong rally, with the S&P 500 down 0.8%, the Nasdaq 100 off 0.9%, and the Dow Jones losing nearly 390 points. Weakness was broad, with Russell 2000 (-1.1%) underperforming, indicating rising risk aversion toward small caps. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) spiked 4.7% to...

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Current Market Drivers for Gold: ---Safe-Haven Demand: Gold surged past $3,000/oz, driven by investor uncertainty regarding inflation, trade policy, and geopolitical risks. ---Inflation Hedge: Concerns over rising inflation, especially in the wake of Trump’s tariff policies, reinforce gold’s role as a store of value. ---Treasury Yields & Dollar Strength: Rising...

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Wall Street experienced significant declines as investors weighed President Trump’s tariff policies and doubts over a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. The S&P 500 fell 1.5%, and the Nasdaq dropped 2.2%, signaling heightened risk aversion. Simultaneously, investors sought safety in gold, pushing prices to a record high of $2,982 per troy ounce. Trump's threat to impose a...

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Stocks: A blistering 2 month rally left global markets closing 2023 with strong annual gains as investors bet that major central banks have finished raising interest rates and will cut them rapidly next year but decrease to 2, to 2.5 over 2024, 2025 and 2026. The MSCI World index, an indicator of global equities, had surged by 16 percent since late October and was...

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Rate cuts: The Federal Reserve declared rate cuts to be a little bit ahead and it’s an attempt to rein in the exuberance that has driven up stocks and bonds. Loretta Mester challenged expectations that the central bank would abruptly pivot towards lowering borrowing costs now it was more confident it had lifted its benchmark interest rate to a level restrictive...

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I started streaming on Kick as Pensativo58 and i will be making live trading in there in the mornings, its not financial advising, im there for entertainment, if you like to see how i think you can always pass by and follow its free anyways.

Buranku

Bank of England raise the interest rate 50 basic points but the market didn’t react as it should. Us might survive recession, but the UK seems to suffer more from it we might see GBP/USD reach the 1.25444 and GBP/JPY might reach 184.150 or even higher due to the interest rate differential. Today is PMI if the number will be above 50 the economy is growing if its...

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For my friends: Well, good to be back, I will be posting maybe not daily but we will see how it goes with my time. I might stream my trades as you know so you will be able to see it live and see me trade. I will stream random from trading or what I like doing so don’t just expect trading that is just a part of my day hahah. Today we have Jobless Claims and...

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Today there is no data. The focus this week is now on more cues from a string of Federal Reserve speakers this week, most notably Chair Jerome Powell on Friday. I probably will skip this week and not trade since to much uncertainty on the FED s plans, so i will take a small vacation to relax and recharge. cya soon guys

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News that came out that are important: The US Treasury Department said in a statement Friday that it had just $88 billion of extraordinary measures to help keep the government’s bills paid as of May 10. That’s down from around $110 billion a week earlier and that means that just over a quarter of the $333 billion of authorized measures are still available to keep...

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Today we have Exports and Imports. This data is very important since it allows you to calculate GDP: GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + Net Exports. Yesterday data came out mixed so I ended up not taking any trades. ALSO: (data gathered over many sources) The CME FEDWatch Tool which tracks the probabilities of rate changes implied futures...

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Today we have PPI and Jobless claims. As you know PPI measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. This is a measure of inflation that is complied from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. If PPI data comes lower Gold should go up since its deflationary But if PPI data...

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Today we have CPI and Core CPI. As you know CPI measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers and is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. Always pay more attention to Core CPI since it’s more important than the normal. If CPI data comes Lower Gold should go up cause its deflationary But if CPI data comes higher Gold should go...

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Today there is FOMC member talk where Williams will speak. John C. Williams is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York also his research focuses on monetary policy under uncertainty, business cycles, and innovation. He is a research associate at the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic. This will make his speech important for...

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Today there is no major data and since tomorrow is FOMC it’s good since it will make the market move in unstable ways. I will take the day off cause I’m waiting for the FOMC to start trading again. Yes i do know the FOMC that Im writing is and naming is John C. Williams who is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York also...