~playful macro and curve analysis here~ ~NFA, however, theta is ultimately helping this trade win as cash outflow and curve flattening seem more likely. Temporalizing the risk off scenario correlates somewhat to stagflation and would forecast an end to the Fed's increase in rates~
This might be one of the most accurate trends of seasonality in the VIX I could possibly find! Consider inflation, rising rates, a market bubble... A positive correlation between these three ideas tells me a glut of misused leverage and/or a wave of defaults is quite the prospectus for high volatility. I personally see this particular ETF inevitably tanking,...
This could be a fantastic buying opportunity, however, in other charts, I have marked an expected trend in VIX which would suggest caution. I will also chart various stock picks with an overall index and volatility trend analysis (as it changes) throughout the month...
S&P could or couldn't? lol 27% target is actually measured but can we look at volatility and expect this in the near term?! omg i'm full of questions but my other post may prove to be right with another general forecast for volatility,,, GL TRADERS!
Expecting lots of VIX action for the next few months, BE PREPARED!
looking at an incoming divergence on the daily long tern volatility expected fyi: this intraday is a 'quick' example for a beta of vix
breakout 1h (intraday beta); hedges into the next round of dip-buying; spoos continuing small rout w/ fundamentals
~value play~ will inflation bring back more favorable interest rates for banks? targeting 12/18 ≈ $28 -29