In this screencast I show a different way of tackling the markets. This is about trend-following which is a pretty difficult methodology - but it is the most powerful and potentially rewarding. I show how I made a decision to short. I am not promoting my own methodology. I encourage all new and seasoned traders to explore different methodologies to find what...
There is possibly a new trend and channel developing for the south. I'm watching this one carefully and placing alerts at key levels.
This post is modified and re-posted after it was banned (a matter of fact and the truth). Why? I was said to be promoting a broker's website seemingly because by I identified the source of quotation and said that they were being honest. I have now substituted the name the broker with a fictitious ABCXYZ (which is not the name of any broker as far as I am...
The screencast shows an interesting ranging pattern in an imperfect channel up. Price is now at a potential structure level.
Trends are not easy to spot when they're developing. I'm sure I looked at AUDCAD many times across several time frames in last 80 days. Now I'm seeing the trend on 12H better, having missed the boat several times! Jeeez this is so annoying! I suspect that several times I must have thought, "Nah.. it's about to reverse soon. " - and just ignored it very swiftly....
I'm following a theme of missed opportunities. Join me. Looking back is always easier - isn't it? I'm reflecting on what it is that made me miss certain trends. Blind spots? Disbelief? Doubts? Subtle fears? Laziness? I'm working on this. :) I'm discovering what led me not to take a short position on any of the first 5 opportunities. Certainly the third...
Good traders stalk 90% of the time and trade only 10% of time. Quote me. :) :) In this screencast I run through several superhot equities on the monthly time frame. The higher time frames are often the cause of surprises for people' on 15min - 1H time frames. Then the end of the screencast I look at the VIX on the 2 hour time frame for signs of...
Just to be 100% clear, I have not determined what Elon Musk was smoking on the Roe Jogan show. Media sources say it was pot. Video and audio evidence suggests that Musk knew or was led to believe that it was a cigar containing marijuana that about he was about to smoke. It is not clear if this was a prank. He smoked what he was offered. If it was a prank it...
In the screencast I start off with the USDollar index and look at the Yen. The US Dollar strength affects 'everything': forex markets, stock markets, and commodities. There are inverse correlations. Most of the times the DAX doesn't like a strong Euro, Wall Street doesn't like a strong Dollar, and the NIFTY doesn't like a strong rupee. There are reasons for...
In this screencast I start with GBPJPY 1h. This is where scalpers would be playing mostly. In the video I show that to get the big picture one has to look at higher time frames.
It's not looking good for Bitcoin on the bigger daily trend. Yes my opinion changes but that's only because I'm seeing new things happening - and my perspectives are different on different time frames. I've decided to wait.
This is well beyond technical analysis - into the domain of human psychology. In this video I theorise on exploiting FOMO - which is psychological phenomenon - instead of just being a victim of it. I look briefly at Ehterium as well. An important thing for all markets is that the point of greatest fear is also the point of greatest opportunity. Please note...
In this screencast I focus on 'lean hogs' and the Mexican Peso v Sterling. The core issue is the ranging pattern on the daily time frame (over the periods I'm looking at). In general these two instruments are highly volatile and risky. However, the pattern creates expectations (not predictions). In other posts I pointed out that certain instruments have a...
Having been on Tradingview for the last few years, I've observed that perhaps 'the most important' aspect of trading is hardly ever discussed. I'm not sure why that its. Look, this is a loser's game. How? Read on. Some key estimates: 1. 90% of traders will lose money consistently. . 2. 80% of trading success depends on managing individual psychology....
Loads of people are scratching their heads about Bitcoin at the moment, while some are chewing on their finger nails. For those types the big question is ' Is it going to go up or down?' The latter is actually a novice-type question. Novices are occupied with which way 'it's going'. More seasoned traders will know that all you can do is take a calculated...
One of the big issues for many traders is simply patience. In this video I'm showing how one set up could have taken 63 days to deliver around 500 points. What's the rush? Let the charts work for you. Patience and discipline takes time to develop, of course. Do the time. Take the time. Let time work for you. Sometimes a bit of judgement is required. But...
NVIDIA Iis at an interesting position. The gurus of fundamental analysis are saying it's ready for a pump north. I'm not so sure. A few years ago there was a major crisis and loads of stocks plummeted despite great earnings. I remember well as I was long on Disney, which had brilliant prospects, then had a great earnings surprise, yet the market fell like a...
Trend following is not easy because: 1. Finding trends requires a high level of attention to detail. 2. Removing disbelief as an emotional response. 3. Having lots of patience. I explain a few difficulties I've encountered.