The Indian Market has seen some an insane frenzy of bullishness in recent weeks. Favourable PMI numbers and overjoy about expanding economies have led the gamblers to go north like nobody's business in the last few days. Errh.. they forgot about supply chain bottlenecks. 🙄 The interesting thing about this position is what it 'makes'' you think - or is that...
No sleep for me tonight - and I'll be feeding on popcorn and beer! 🤣😂 Maybe a pizza or two. 🍕🍕 The set up here looks like a good short coming up. (Note the brutal disclaimers). 1. There is big trouble with Chinatown all over the world. Something about China banning shares on some American exchange - or something like that. The Dragon Index took a nose dive, and...
Peak excitement on Friday - as retail traders pumped various markets with billions in cash. This was alongside institutional traders who had been bailing out. Well, retail won a significant limb of this, from the bottom edge of what now looks like an ascending broadening wedge following a major bullish drive. Biden echoed the FED's mantra on transitory...
LOL! 😀 Right this is an amazing thing. You could see whatever you want in there. Is it a scallop? Is it an inverted cup and handle? Or if you're mathematical it could just be a curve. Some may even see a double bottom. With trading, you can see what you like. The formation may mean something or it may mean nothing. It's attractive though, so something could...
I'm responding to a few on how to survive and make some gains in wild markets (note the brutal disclaimer at the end). The DJI has been pretty wild so, I use it as an example. Figures shown here are not my own. I only use the figures to explain why it doesn't matter how you make your profits. HFT's will do similar things, so why can you not? Well, I show the...
It was 69 days of real hell, as Bitcoin crashed to a 61.8% Fib. Some will recall (or not) that I had said the daily trend switch was important. I was not flavour of the last 2 months for sure. Was I a doomsday predictor? I was not! The chart said something - not me. And now there is mounting excitement at the 61.8 Fib. Depending on which news you read, you...
I show two zones of advantage. The first has happened already. Those looking to short the DAX may be interested in another zone. Certainly shorting after a significant fall is not a great idea, especially as bulls may be looking at a possible double bottom. The zones do not mean that the market has to obey them! The zones create probabilities. An additional...
The choice is yours - you can see it any way you like. The technical features here are: 1. Reducing peaks of squeeze momentum. 2. Recent RSI is below 50. 3. Rejection of 4H ATR line. 4. Large area of consolidation. Caution: none of the above means that price has to crash. Just to be clear - price could well go to the moon. The technical situation in my...
Trend switches of the ATR on the 1D and 4H usually mean something on most charts. What they mean is a greater probability for price movement under the switch for short positions and above the switch for long positions. On this chart it does not mean that price cannot rise from under the switch. This is not how ATRs work. ATR's create probabilities. The situation...
A pattern with Gold could repeat. No predictions. Get ready. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following...
It's a kill zone. But wait - that doesn't mean that if you short in the kill zone you're gonna make loadsah money! It means that you need to be able to afford the loss. I never hide potential losses in any set up. Trading is about risk of failure and losses, so I always keep that in focus. One does not have to trade a 1D time frame. There are numerous...
Some may not be aware of the importance of lumber price movements. Basically lumber rocketed like nobody's business, then crashed (>50% correction) pretty quickly. This post is not an analysis of why lumber prices rose so crazily. Viewers will need to do some background reading. The collapse was the worst seen since 1978 . That's something to chew on. In...
It's not quite a head and shoulders just yet. This is about watching for potential situations and preparing for them. As I showed in other charts, sometimes we can get a a second right shoulder in ultra-bullish markets but there is no law on what can happen in these markets. Readiness is (almost) everything. Disclaimer: This is not advice or...
In the vid, I overview interesting moves in the DJI. Tensions are rising. The latest market burn down doesn't look great for the FED. But.. but.. when you have access to literally and endless supply of money, you can do whatever you like (almost). The FED has been throwing money into the so-called economy in the hundreds of Billions per week. I'm using economy...
This is a short and different take. The DJI could be about to correct - significantly. No promises. The Heiken Ashi candles are telling us something. Sound traders will listen to their 'voice'. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions...
A dollar surprise can still hit. There is a last line of defence for the Dollar. Price has come into a structure area, either a double-bottom or triple bottom, and the 3D ATR line is just below price. Some say that the US Dollar is bound to crash. That's not necessarily true. Read up on 'Dollar Smile Theory'. Disclaimer: This is not advice or...
Some will learn, some won't learn and some need to feel the pain but still won't learn. Few may recall that recently (linked post below), I said that the sharp switch on the Daily ATR was indicative (not predictive) of a trend switch for the south. That was transformed into a other lower time frame trend switches. On this chart you see a flattening of the 4H...
This looks like a channel, so I say it is a channel. The interesting thing about channels is that you will almost never get all price points on the lines. Price can break up and out then return in, or break down and out and come back in, or break totally out and stay out. But it's an opportunity for those who plan carefully. Stay safe. Don't get the Indian...