I started a short positition today around $114.20ish. I will be looking to add to the position on rallies or on a confirmed breakdown of today's low. Targeting at least the 80 day EMA for the short-term (coincides with rising channel trendline). Perhaps this time we may even test the 200 day Ema?? (though IWM would still be bullish long-term) I am not short due...
Trend is heavy bearish on all time frames. All indicators are on sell as well. Yet I started a (feeler) starter position long in GLD around $114.80 ish. Stop at 113.92. Targets will be based on the price action around all key fib levels and gann levels as drawn. I'll add only on strength from here on. I average up only not down. This trade should work by max next...
Not a neat chart. But I am going contrarian short here with hard stop at 1812. I believe with the taper atleast the rate of growth should slow down. Not necessarily bearish for the market in the long run for now
I initiated Tier 1 size long at $83.50. Might add a bit more depending on the close today. Risk is roughly 1-1.5% (below today's low) and reward should be roughly 6-7% (recent pre-earnings gap high) *Bullish breakout isnt confirmed yet. I am cheating to the long side.
Not bearish enough for long-term or intermediate longs to worry yet. But I am taking this short bet to hedge some of my longs in the portfolio. I am slowly scaling out of longs fully and starting to take tier 1-2 size short position in some sectors. Risk-Reward is good if trade confirms. Stop is just around 1.30-1.50% away from entry. Target 1 around 50 day EMA...
The daily chart for XHB has become too messy to trade effectively. Price reached resistance target of 61.8 fib (from 2007 highs-2009 lows) and is since in a wedge/triangle/complex H&S/consolidation. I am not sure of direction of the breakout but I am expecting volatility in the coming months. $30 and $31 have acted as strong res/supp points on the daily chart....
I am planning to follow a short-term long strategy (5-7 days max) in MS as stated on the chart. I got long tier 2 size as planned on Friday, I will add tier 3 if price breaks out prior highs. XLF showed relative strength and might lead other sectors next week if the reversal in SPY on Friday sustains. MS has been one of the best acting banks. Total size and risk...
Selling yen to buy gold (instead of using US$) has been a much better strategy if you wanted to be Long gold. If you notice since 2011 the price of Gold in terms of Yen has not had as much draw down (still in a large range) whereas gold prices in terms of US$ have collapsed since 2011. Price is at long-term channel support but there is a potential H&S which when...
Stalking for a breakout in ether direction. I don't have any position right now. Dollar Index is currently gaining strength and might be changing trend so maybe more chop time ahead for this pair. Risk-Reward potential on an up or down breakout is extremely good for the intermediate and long-term trend followers.
Price seems to have found support at the long-term monthly trendline for now. Bullish Thesis: Brazil is a resource and an emerging market play for my portfolio. Considering I missed the recent gains in commodity stocks (steel,coal), I believe long-term EWZ should rise too provided the overall trend in commodity stocks is confirmed bullish. Consolidation of the...
Interesting trade today with 10,000 calls bought today for Jan 2015 $50 strike by some institution. Maximum upside strike! Source:(twitter.com) My Perspective: The trade is very long term but still worth noting. It's either a large upside bet or probably a hedge. This trade might just be the 1st leg of a larger trade to come in the coming months. Hard to start a...
I have bought Dec. $31/$30 Strangle. I will look to add size next week if I can get better entries. This should be enough time for price to decide and confirm a direction. i am not sure of long/short but I am sure volatility should increase in either direction.
I bought USD/CAD from 1.0250 and will add on dips close to 200 day MA which is currently acting as strong support. DXY is gaining strength. MACD crossover is bullish. 55 day MA is above 200 day MA which too is bullish. 200 day MA is in line with the rising bullish trendline. If the bounce sustains, long-term bullish target would be 1.05-1.06 range which has...
I started a Tier 2 size position short around $106.93 avg. I have a tight stop risking around 0.60% to perhaps make around 3%. Risk-Reward for this sell trade looks good to me. MACD bearish crossover + Divergence. RSI divergence. Although Moving averages are pointing bullish.
I started a Tier 2 size position short around $106.93 avg. I have a tight stop risking around 0.60% to perhaps make around 3%. Risk-Reward for this sell trade looks good to me. MACD bearish crossover + Divergence. RSI divergence. Although Moving averages are pointing bullish.
I bought a small starter position around $80.07. It's more like short-term counter trend trade. If some sort of a Govt. Deal goes through over the weekend, USD should see a pop. Looking to add to position on strength in next week or two. If SPY breaks down further, USD should catch a bid as "apparently" safe haven currency. I am keeping a tight stop as price...