Looks to have one more potential high after completing this wxyz pattern which I've seen many times. Might double/triple top at .025 but it should at the very least re-test.
The final low will be difficult to determine but in the meantime there is a decent short term long just below the recent lows.
This correction is well underway and almost complete. If it doesn't develop into something complex or sideways (low chance imo), then we can see all time highs possibly into the $4000+ area. A bunch of good news will suddenly happen (or bad news in the financial sectors/governments/etc).
A moonshot is possible after a correction. In terms of practical trading, there's plenty of ways to play this pattern. Personally, I will be selling all spot holding above $950 and buy them back below $750. A little conservative I must admit.
I wouldn't long here despite all the good news: - Ring CT - Coinbase rumours - Gui If I miss the boat, so be it. The top is when all news is good. In saying that, I'm not a fan of shorting in general. I'll wait for the next opportunity.
All news is good, feels IMPOSSIBLE to go down doesn't it? This is how people buy tops. I would not short it, but definitely stay cautious.
Dont get drowned out by the noises and doom talk, this is a clear long. I will update later with a better picture, but do not short at the very least.
Previous support level and some fib lines here, expecting at least at 50%+ gain bounce from here. Not sure what happens after.
The ultimate target is difficult or even impossible to predict. It should be either of the following (my rough estimate chances in bracket) 1. 0.024 (50%) 2. 0.0185 (40%) 3. New highs (5%) 4. 0.016 (5%) I can't see a situation where it just dies off here. Remember, btc moon while feels invincible, is not a certainty.
Sure feels gloomy surrounding XMR with the BTC highly anticipated moonshot. But isn't this what a bottom feels like? Will stick to plan here and manage risk:reward/stop loss accordingly. Can't say I am overexcited getting into this position but these counter-intuitive trades are usually the biggest winners. If you are feeling this, plenty of other traders are too.
Just added some EW counts for those interested. Possible targets are any of the fib retracement, with 61.8% the most likely.
My first long here. Sometimes you don't need to over complicate things.
If this is not correct, I give up. But I can't see any other pattern.
Corrections are often tricky and only obvious in hindsight. However, as we are approaching the end of the correction, the picture becomes more clear.
Looks like what I suspected to be a wave 3 turned out to be a wave 5 of the same degree. If that is the case, then we have had 3 waves retracement and will continue down.
109 is the 61.8% retracement which is the minimum target. The movement will be sharp and quick.