Our overview: Jitter due to the Red Sea tension persist. CoT released Friday "net long positions" report, showing an increasing long positions in futures and decreasing in options by the "non commercial". This could suggest that the market could be close to an upward movement of the price. Waiting for market mover data and news. Trends analysis:...
Our overview: Red Sea tension on focus again. Divergence on hourly RSI. On breakout and close on hourly timeframe above $74.00 push the price straight to area $75.60/$76.00. On the other side, breakout of $72.80 could push again the price towards the bottom of the trading range. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C,...
Our overview: Negative EIA data, worse then the previous API release, push the price back to retest the support @$71.00. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3. Our current strategy: Moderately Long looking to follow...
Our overview: Conflicting API data once again suggests caution. Big draw in crude counter with big build in gasoline and distillates. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 2. Our current strategy: Still moderately...
Our overview: The selloff of the yesterday's session, redraw the intermediate(green) trend's structure with a deep wave 2. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 1. Our current strategy: The breakout of $72.50 in the...
Our overview: Weak demand balance Middle East tensions bringing to the market a substantial weakness. Resistance @$74.00 showed in the first days of the year to be strong enough to reject the price two times. Our overview in the short period is long with target in area $79/$80. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C,...
Our overview: Despite EIA report a big draw in stock and the impact of the Red Sea commercial routes disruption, is still not clear, the market experienced a deep selloff. In our opinion due to end of year portfolios correction and take profit. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave B, intermediate(green): downward corrective structure...
Our overview: Once more API data highlighted weak demand, let's see if will be confirmed by EIA report scheduled today. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave B, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave A, minor(yellow): downward impulsive structure wave 5, intraday(orange): downward impulsive structure wave 3. Our current...
Our overview: RED SEA uncertainty regarding commercial vessel traffic routes still on focus. Waiting for the API data. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave B, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave A, minor(yellow): downward impulsive structure wave 1, intraday(orange): downward impulsive structure wave 5. Our current...
Our overview: Weakness and negativity prevail waiting the API report tonight. In the overnight session price steady at the support area @$73.00. Technical signals: RSI negative and Stochastic negative. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 5, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B, minor(yellow): impulsive structure wave...
Our overview: Definitely OPEC+ policy disappoint the market. The Cot report released Friday, referring to data until the previous Tuesday, then few day before the OPEC+ meeting, highlighted that the commercial barely increased(1%) their net long positions in options, reverting the trend of the previous report. Furthermore, a news from 'businessinsider.com' say...
Our overview: Definitely OPEC+ policy doesn't convince the market. Massive selloff with more tha 500K contract traded, push the price to re-test the trend/neck line. Market could enter in latera trading range. Technical signals: RSI negative, and Stochastic negative. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 5, intermediate(green):...
Our overview: Strong GDP in US, and hope on the OPEC+ meeting, offset the build in crude stockpile. A bigger then expected production cut would push for a Christmas rally. Today is mandatory stay neutral at least till is gonna be clear the OPEC+ policy. Technical signals: RSI and Stochastic positive. Trends analysis: We maintain an overall positive overview with...
Overview: After several tentative, finally the trend line has been broken. Yesterday's CoT report (Commitment of Traders) highlighting that commercial and not commercial are reducing their net long positions in options. This could be a signal that area $73/$75) is an accumulation's area, at least for the current conjuncture, confirming our strategy. Eye on API...
Overview: Weekness due to the OPEC+ meeting uncertainty. Strategy: Positive Delta looking for a technical rebound and waiting for the CoT report which is gonna be released today. We hold moderate positive position. Our current delta: @$74.20: +0.20 Technical signals: RSI negative, Stochastic in oversold area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective...
Overview: The price just approach the first important resistance area, a downwards trend line. This dynamic resistance has already rejected prices 3 times since its formation. Lateral trading waiting Wall Street's short session. Strategy: we hold delta neutral position waiting for a breakout. In this case, we will go long with a stop level @$76.30. Our current...
Overview: EIA data and OPEC+ meeting postponed, make tumble the market. My dear volatility!!! Strategy: Neutral. Follow the market. Our current position's Delta @$76.39: 0.03 This are all the corrections we made today 5)rebalance: @$76.39 (from 0.23 to 0.03) 4)rebalance: @$75.70 (from 0.62 to 0.03) 3)rebalance: @$73.90 (from -21 to 0.30) ...
Overview: Another massive build on API crude oil stocks, conflicting with a big distillate inventory draw, and next Sunday OPEC+ meeting are the main factors driving the market to a stall awaiting the official EIA data scheduled today. Strategy: Neutral following the market. Our current position's Delta: -0.09 barely negative Last rebalance: at...