Gold has been on the rise for the past six months, leading to some recent speculation by traders and economists that it may be due for a pullback. We are not "gold bugs" here at The Gartman Letter. We do not believe that Western culture is doomed to fail. We are not of the mindset that the world is coming to some inglorious end; indeed, we are not even certain...
Don't short! Buy gold!
Stocks in global terms have fallen by 0.8% since we marked the markets for the first time this week. For the year-to-date, stocks in global terms are actually down 2.2% while stocks here in the US as represented by the S&P are up 1.7%. Further, the bear market that began in late May of last year when our International Index hit 11,185… its all-time high…is now...
We begin then by noting that the CNN Fear & Greed Index is still above 80 in openly “greedy” and thus openly over-extended-to-the-upside territory. Some might call this “nose-bleed” territory and we shall strongly… indeed very strongly…suggest that buying equities here shall be in the end an ill-advised investment philosophy or action. We remain, however,...
SHARE PRICES, SINCE FRIDAY’S MARK, HAVE MOVED NOWHERE as our International Index has lost one single point as five of the ten markets in our Index have fallen and as five have risen. Given that our Index finished last year at 9,556 and given that it is 9,238, for the year-to-date stocks in global terms are down 3.3%, while stocks here in the US as represented by...
We are weary… and very so… about hearing of the supposed strong relationship between stock prices and energy and we have had quite enough of it to last a very long while. The simple fact of the matter is, judging from the two charts the page previoius of WTI crude and the S&P in monthly terms going back to the spring of ’11, that if there is a correlation between...
When the facts change, I change; What then do you do, Sir? The facts are changing in the world of crude oil; demand is still rather strong and supplies seem to be rising but only modestly. Further, the term structures are shifting. We had been, on balance and really quite openly, bearish of crude for the past several years, erring always to sell crude’s rallies...