ESMorg

ESMorg

If you want to copy and paste these levels on your chart for the new June contracts: - Scroll to the bottom outside of this chart publication and look for three dots (…). - Click on those dots and select the option that says “Make it Mine” or “Grab this Chart”. This will instantly apply my whole chart setup to your own TradingView account. Of course all you need...

ESMorg

Yesterday, the plan for ES was straightforward: rally to ~5755 (adjusted for the June contract, previously 5703 on March) to back-test the 3-month megaphone breakdown from last Monday. The market followed through with an 88-point rally to that level before selling off. As of now: • 5720 (reclaimed) and 5698 are key supports • Holding above keeps 5739 and a...

ESMorg

On Thursday, ES reclaimed 5558, triggering a long setup that led to a rare green day. The 5645 target was hit on Friday after a strong trend day. With that momentum, today is likely to be more complex—hold runners. As of now: • 5599, 5615 are key supports • Tests of 5599 and recoveries of 5615 are actionable setups • Holding above keeps 5644, 5666+ in...

ESMorg

Yesterday was all about 5558 in ES. After a drop to 5512 support, bulls needed to reclaim 5558 for upside. That level was tested twice before a sell-off, but once it cleared at 8:30 PM, buyers stepped in, pushing the market +20 points higher. As of now: • 5598, 5615 are the next upside levels as long as 5558 (now weaker) holds • A break below 5558 opens the...

ESMorg

This week has revolved around one key level in ES: 5568-72, which has been lost and reclaimed four times. At 11:20 PM yesterday, it triggered a long setup from an a textbook failed breakdown, leading to a 65+ point rally—and overnight, the same pattern repeated again. As of now: • No change—5568-72 remains weak support • A 5599 reclaim sets up a move to 5616,...

ESMorg

Since I prioritize Failed Breakdowns, my job is pretty simple—do absolutely nothing until we get one. This is how you keep an incredibly high wind rate, while easily scaling your accounts. Yesterday, the 5569-72 reclaim triggered the long setup, leading to a 70+ point rally to the 5608 target, where we’re still holding. As of now: • 5599, 5569-72 must hold...

ESMorg

Yesterday marked the largest red day in ES since the August 5 capitulation low. After deep sell-offs, squeezes typically come from my core setup: The Failed Breakdown—which triggered at 9:30 PM, now up +75 points, as outlined in the plan sent out yesterday evening. As of now: • Hold the runner • Next targets: 5668, 5688, 5703 • If 5628 fails, expect a dip to 5609 first

ESMorg

For the last three days, 5720 has been the key battleground in ES—testing, bouncing, breaking below, squeezing, and repeating. After another bounce to the 5764+ target on Friday, we’re back under it again. As of now: • Same setup: 5720 must reclaim to target 5745, 5763 • If 5700 fails, expect a dip to 5676 first

ESMorg

ES has been revolving around 5757-63, acting as a key magnet. It held as support in the morning, leading to a rally toward 5822, but once it failed in the afternoon, the market sold off to the 5725 target. Now, NFP will dictate the next move. As of now: • 5763 must recover to target 5777, 5794, and 5822 • On an NFP flush, 5714 and 5700 must hold to prevent...

ESMorg

ES has been stuck in the same range for nearly four days, with 5858-5875 acting as resistance and 5763 holding as support. Yesterday followed the same pattern—I was looking for a rally to resistance, we got it, and then the market reversed back down. As of now: • 5777, 5763-57 are key supports • Reclaiming 5798 sets up a move toward 5809, 5822+ • If 5757...

ESMorg

Yesterday was the most volatile session in ES since August, with three 100+ point round trips. I was looking for a squeeze to 5875—we hit 5875 exactly. As of now: • Size down—volatility remains high • 5798, 5784 are key supports • A recovery of 5822 is needed to push toward 5858 • If 5784 fails, look for a drop to 5763, then new lows

ESMorg

Yesterday, the breakdown short idea I mentioned at 5938-42 triggered a 100-point sell-off in ES. Coming into today, as noted in the plan yesterday evening, losing 5850 would set up a sharp short trigger—and we just got it, dropping 25 points so far. As of now: • 5814, 5798 are next downside targets if selling continues • To reverse and rally, 5857 must reclaim

ESMorg

Last Friday around 1 PM, a Failed Breakdown near 5860 was triggered after multiple tests of support. Once reclaimed, it set up a strong long, and holding over the weekend paid off—now +130 points from that entry. As of now: • At resistance, so nothing to do but hold and wait • 5977, 5938-40 = key supports • If momentum continues, next upside targets are 6004,...

ESMorg

Yesterday marked the sixth consecutive red day in ES—the first time since April 2024. After breaking down from a two-day base yesterday around 2pm, 5875 was the sell target, and it hit exactly at close before forming a base overnight. As of now: • 5875-80 is support but weakening • Holding above keeps 5913 and 5939 in play • If the overnight low fails, expect...

ESMorg

ES has remained in the same 6020-5930 range all week, with triggers continuing to play out well. Yesterday, I noted that 5958-62 had to hold and reclaim 5988 to spark a rally. We hit 5958-62 exactly at 8 PM, reclaimed 5988, and rallied +25 points. As of now: • Hold runners, as things are getting more complex • 5996, 5988-86 must hold to keep 6020 and 6042 in...

ESMorg

Despite all the volatility yesterday, ES is right back where it started. After holding ~5933 support, the target was 5996, a major resistance shelf. As expected, it’s taking time to break through and has held all night. As of now: • Hold the runner • Staying above 5988 keeps 6004, 6015, and 6020+ in play • If 5988 fails, expect a dip toward 5962-58

ESMorg

Yesterday, all attention was on the 5993 area in ES. I expected a rally back up to 6043 off that level, and we saw it hold in the morning before pushing back to 6043. Later into the close, the market retested 5993 area again, sparking a 20-point rally. Overnight, a strong flush occurred, but the level was reclaimed, printing a textbook failed breakdown—5993 is now...

ESMorg

On Friday, after breaking below 6104 support, ES delivered a rare trend day. This set up a rally to kick off the week, with a reclaim of 6042 acting as the long trigger around 6pm. The first target of 6068 was hit exactly. As of now: • Hold the long runner. • As long as the market stays above 6042, 6068 again, then 6092 and 6104 next up, and the...